Catchers

RankPlayerTeamOppSalary
1Buster PoseyGiantsRockies$3,900
2Welington CastilloDiamondbacksPadres$4,600
3Jonathan LucroyBrewersNationals$3,600
4Salvador PerezRoyalsBlue Jays$3,100
5J.T. RealmutoMarlinsMets$4,000

  • Buster Posey actually has a great matchup in a righty/righty situation that may go overlooked. Tyler Chatwood is worse against right-handed batters. Posey is really the only big right-handed bat near the top of the Giants order, and his price is below $4K today.
  • ‘BEEF’ Welington Castillo is one of my favorite bats to use when he is at home and facing a left-handed pitcher. He tends to bat 4th or 5th in those situations and has produced a big wOBA and ISO since the start of 2015. He faces the lefty Christian Friedrich who has struggled with right-handed bats and gets a big park downgrade having to pitch in Arizona.
  • Lucroy is still hitting around .300 this year, his $3,600 price is cheap and he hits in the heart of the order. Gio Gonzalez gives up more hard contact and a higher average to right-handed bats, so Lucroy and the rest of the righty-heavy top of this order should be in line to score some runs.


1st Base

RankPlayerTeamOppSalary
1Paul GoldschmidtDiamondbacksPadres$5,400
2David OrtizRed SoxRangers$5,200
3Freddie FreemanBravesPhillies$4,900
4Edwin EncarnacionBlue JaysRoyals$5,300
5Miguel CabreraTigersIndians$3,900

  • Christian Friedrich struggles with right-handed bats and is getting a negative park switch. Goldy smashes left-handed pitching to the tune of a .458 wOBA and a .241 ISO score since the start of 2015.
  • Big Papi Ortiz can still smash right-handed pitching and A.J. Griffin has a high lifetime fly ball rate, which translates into an elevated amount of home runs allowed. We know Ortiz has power and that is backed up by his .439 wOBA and .345 ISO score.
  • I like Freddie Freeman as a tournament upside play here. Zac Eflin has been tagged for 13 runs in his 20 innings of Major League work, with left-handed bats doing some damage against him. Freeman is the best bat on Atlanta and gets the park bump in Philly today. He owns a nice .378 wOBA with a .239 ISO score since 2015.


2nd Base

RankPlayerTeamOppSalary
1Jose AltuveAstrosMariners$5,300
2Daniel MurphyNationalsBrewers$5,200
3Brian DozierTwinsAthletics$5,100
4Starlin CastroYankeesWhite Sox$2,800
5Dustin PedroiaRed SoxRangers$3,900

  • Altuve has done well with a 8-for-23 lifetime line against Taijuan Walker. Walker struggles on the road where his high fly ball rate hurts him more often, especially in a home run friendly Houston ballpark. Walker has reverse splits, so right-handed bats have more home runs and a higher average against him. All these things work in Altuve’s favor.
  • Zach Davies is not a bad pitcher, but he does struggle with left-handed bats. Murphy hits in the clean up spot and owns a .374 wOBA with a robust .219 ISO score against right-handed pitching. Lefties not only have a higher average, but they also have a huge fly ball rate against Davies – advantage Murph.
  • Dozier has been hitting 4th lately, and faces Manaea who has been horrendous against right-handed bats since his call up. Dozier hitting fourth has home run and RBI upside against a lefty, with an ownership rate that will likely be dwarfed by the bigger names in his price range.


3rd Base

RankPlayerTeamOppSalary
1Danny ValenciaAthleticsTwins$3,800
2Josh DonaldsonBlue JaysRoyals$5,600
3Miguel SanoTwinsAthletics$4,400
4Alex RodriguezYankeesWhite Sox$3,500
5Manny MachadoOriolesDodgers$4,200

  • Valencia has made a career out of smashing left-handed pitching. He owns a .386 wOBA and a .209 ISO score since the start of 2015. He faces Tommy Millone who has allowed right-handed bats to hit .337 against him this year, with 4 home runs in only 23 innings of work.
  • Josh Donaldson gets an extreme fly ball pitcher in his home run friendly home park. Donaldson owns a big .390 wOBA and a robust .268 ISO score against right-handed pitching since the start of 2015. With the park switch to the Rogers Centre, those fly balls Chris Young allows are more likely to land in the seats.
  • Sano has been hot since coming off the DL and has raised his numbers against left-handed pitching. He owns a .400 wOBA and a .259 ISO against them since his call-up last year. He faces Sean Manaea who has been struggling with right-handed bats.


Shortstop

RankPlayerTeamOppSalary
1Corey SeagerDodgersOrioles$4,800
2Jonathan VillarBrewersNationals$4,100
3Francisco LindorIndiansTigers$4,700
4Carlos CorreaAstrosMariners$4,400
5Brandon CrawfordGiantsRockies$3,900

  • Corey Seager has been hot lately and has raised his numbers up to a wOBA of .404 with an ISO score of .241. He faces Chris Tillman, who is allowing less home runs this year, but struggling with left-handed bats.
  • Jonathan Villar and his Brewers teammates profile very well against Gio Gonzalez. Gio struggles with the right-handed bats, and Milwaukee will throw five of them out on the top of the order against him. Villar sets the table and does it well with a wOBA over .360 as the lead-off man. He gets max at-bats at the top of the order, and his team should be able to put up some runs against Gio.
  • Lindor has a .350ish wOBA, which is solid, and he has shown some early success against Sanchez, which gives me a lot of confidence he can build on that here.


Outfield

RankPlayerTeamOppSalary
1Nelson CruzMarinersAstros$5,300
2Mike TroutAngelsRays$5,400
3Bryce HarperNationalsBrewers$4,900
4Giancarlo StantonMarlinsMets$4,300
5Stephen PiscottyCardinalsPirates$4,500
6Michael SaundersBlue JaysRoyals$4,300
7Gregory PolancoPiratesCardinals$5,100
8Odubel HerreraPhilliesBraves$4,600

  • Nelson Cruz against a left-handed pitcher with a stadium boost tops the list for me today. Keuchel has struggled with right-handed bats this year as they are hitting almost .070 higher against him at .286 with 12 home runs in 82 innings of work. Cruz owns a monster .455 wOBA and .346 ISO score against lefties since last season and is 8-for-20 lifetime against Keuchel with 2 home runs.
  • Mike Trout faces a reverse splits pitcher in Jake Odorizzi who allows a higher average and more home runs to right-handed bats. Trout owns a .417 wOBA and a .285 ISO against righties since 2015 and is in line for another big game here.
  • Zach Davies was roughed up in his last outing and has struggled with left-handed bats all year. They have a higher average and a high fly ball rate against him, which can lead to home runs. Harper is a big left-handed power bat with a .444 wOBA and a .310 ISO since the start of 2015.
  • Stanton has snapped out of his funk and that makes him dangerous here. He owns a .410 wOBA and a ridiculous .414 ISO score against lefties since the start of last season. Stephen Matz is pitching hurt and has been giving up more hits and runs lately while trying to gut out his starts. With Ozuna and Stanton crushing lefties, I doubt he will be able to get through the Marlins order unscathed today.
  • The Cardinals are not great against left-handed pitching with the exception of Stephen Piscotty. With Jameson Taillon on the DL, they will face fresh call-up Steven Brault today. Piscotty owns a .432 wOBA and a .234 ISO score against left-handed pitching, so this is an ideal spot for him.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is BRich11) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.