Breaking down the top ten pitching options for the day is a lot more fun on a full 15-game slate than an 8-game slate, but the struggle here is more about who the options are versus the lack of a full slate. Though 10 of the 16 pitchers are listed here, it’s hard to consider them to all be viable. Tonight has ‘tournament only’ written all over it. If that quick intro doesn’t have you foaming at the mouth, I don’t know what will. Let’s jump in!
Top 5 Pitchers
|1||Rubby De La Rosa||Diamondbacks||Pirates||$7,600|
|5||Marco Estrada||Blue Jays||Yankees||$8,400|
1) Rubby De La Rosa – Diamondbacks vs. Pirates – $7,600 – No offense to Rubby, but when he’s the top option on the slate you know things aren’t pretty. He’s pitched pretty well this season though, entering play with an 85 cFIP (anything below 100 is above average) and 3.13 DRA (deserved-run average). He’s notorious for his extreme handedness splits, but the Pirates are about as right-handed as a team can be, and pitching in PNC Park is an excellent park shift for Rubby.
2) Steven Wright – Red Sox vs. Rockies – $8,800 – Steven Wright has held hitters to an average exit velocity of just 90 mph so far this season, under the league average of 94.5 by a sizable amount. The knuckleballer also generates a strong swinging-strike rate and possess some of the best strikeout upside on the slate. His 3.51 DRA tells us that we shouldn’t be fully buying what we’ve seen so far, but his 95 cFIP is encouraging and means we shouldn’t expect the floor to completely crumble under him either.
“The loss of Josh Reddick makes the A’s lineup a lot less potent”
3) Hisashi Iwakuma – Mariners vs. A’s – $7,500 – The loss of Josh Reddick makes the A’s lineup a lot less potent, and it also makes them very right-handed, at least in terms of productive fantasy assets go. That bodes well for Iwakuma who has limited right-handed bats to a .301 wOBA since the start of 2015. If you’re playing cash games on Wednesday, I think you have to start with Iwakuma.
4) Scott Kazmir – Dodgers vs. Reds – $7,900 – The Reds are slightly below average against left-handed pitching, and that fact alone is why I’d be interested in Scott Kazmir. He’s been a bit of an enigma this season, pitching well in difficult spots while struggling mightily in spots that are favorable on paper. His 112 cFIP doesn’t instill much confidence.
5) Marco Estrada – Blue Jays vs. Yankees – $8,400 – I like what we’ve seen from Marco Estrada so far this season, but this is a difficult spot for him. His 44.4% fly ball rate is the highest on the slate, something that doesn’t bode well for him in New York with its short porch in right field. He’s missing bats so he has tournament appeal, but Yankee Stadium is just about the worst spot for a pitcher with Estrada’s profile.
6) Mike Foltynewicz – Braves vs. Brewers – $6,400 – The Brewers are striking out 27.1% of the time against right-handed pitching this season, so we need to consider Foltynewicz on Wednesday. He was shellacked by the Pirates last time out, but he put together two nice outings prior to that if you’re looking for a silver lining.
7) Junior Guerra – Brewers vs. Braves – $7,400 – Junior Guerra is coming off of an 11-strikeout performance against the Cubs in his last outing, so he’ll likely be on everyone’s radar against the Braves. Their 75 wRC+ and .089 isolated power makes them an easy target on most days and Wednesday’s no different.
“. . . his 4.6 K/9 makes it hard for him to score 20+ DraftKings points unless he has another complete game shutout”
8) Matt Andriese – Rays vs. Marlins – $8,100 – Price really isn’t an issue on this slate, but $8,100 is a bit rich for Matt Andriese. He had an outstanding start a few weeks ago against the A’s, but his 4.6 K/9 makes it hard for him to score 20+ DraftKings points unless he has another complete game shutout in him.
9) Dan Straily – Reds vs. Dodgers – $6,400 – Dan Straily’s sub-3 ERA is aided by a .230 BABIP and 85% strand rate, so don’t go chasing waterfalls or his shiny ERA. The Dodgers have been really bad against right-handed pitching this season, but I’m not sure that they’ve been bad enough to roll out Dan Straily.
10) Collin McHugh – Astros vs. Orioles – $7,100 – The Orioles .192 isolated power against right-handed pitching is the second highest mark on the slate, bad news for Collin McHugh. McHugh has really struggled against righties since the start of 2015, allowing them to pound him to the tune of .335 wOBA over that year-plus.