We have a full 15 game slate tonight with plenty of solid pitching options. Take a look at who I like tonight that even includes some pitchers at Coors Field tonight! As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Top 5 Pitchers
1) Madison Bumgarner – SFG vs NYY – $13,000 – Bumgarner gets a matchup against one of the worst offenses in the league against left-handed pitching, the New York Yankees. This Yankees team owns a .305 wOBA against lefties with a .316 OBP and a .388 SLG. Truly, those are some REALLY weak offensive numbers. Now, the potential downfalls for this matchup are the stadium and strikeout potential. With this game taking place at Yankee Stadium, it is certainly a thumbs down here, but I’m willing to overlook that. The strikeout potential is still very high, as Bumgarner has done wonders against teams in the bottom five in K%. Coming into today, the Phillies, Braves, Dodgers, Yankees and Indians are all in the bottom five in K%. In four games against the Dodgers and Phillies and Braves, Bumgarner owns an 11.8 K/9.
2) Michael Fulmer – DET vs. CHW – $11,700 – Fulmer has been nothing short of fantastic this season. Over his last 10 games, Fulmer is averaging 23.9 FPPG with a microscopic 0.83 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and opposing hitters own just a .153 batting average. Fulmer faces the White Sox on the road tonight, where he somehow has pitched 10 of his 14 games this season. The White Sox are not hitting right-handed hitters well at all, owning a .305 wOBA with a .310 OBP and a .394 SLG. With a decent 21.3 K% for the Sox, Fulmer can look to improve upon his 8.1 K/9 this season. Fulmer is a fantastic option on this full 15 game slate.
3) Matt Shoemaker – LAA vs. HOU – $10,000 – Shoemaker is fresh off his best start of the season against the Chicago White Sox where he a complete game six hit shutout with 13 strikeouts for 51.7 fantasy points. Shoemaker has pitched 21.2 innings against the Astros this season allowing five runs on 20 hits with a sparkling 24:3 K:BB ratio. Shoemaker has been much better at home than on the road, but this is against a team he clearly gets the best of, and his price tag isn’t that bad either. I’m more than willing to take a shot with Shoemaker here.
4) Yu Darvish- TEX vs. KCR – $11,300 – So we have lots to love and lots to hate with this start in my opinion. First, let’s hate his price tag. At $11,300, he’s wayyy over priced for a pitcher that hasn’t even reached the sixth inning in his four starts this year. He’s throwing a TON of pitches, as he’s averaging 84 pitchers per start in just five innings on average. He’s also walking a bunch of guys because of this, with 10 walks in those four games. On the other side, he’s struck out 28 during that span, which comes out to be a 12.6 K/9. He can certainly grab some K’s against the Royals tonight, but how deep will he pitch in the game? His price tag makes him very unsafe in my opinion, but he does have plenty of upside.
5) Adam Conley – MIA vs. NYM – $9,400 – Conley is quietly putting together a solid season for the Marlins. The young left-handed pitcher is averaging 20.5 FPPG over his last five games with a 31:9 K:BB ratio. He takes on the Mets for the second time this season where he scored 28.5 fantasy points on six innings allowing no runs on four hits with a 9:1 K:BB ratio. Conley is nicely priced at $9,400 and provides some decent value for someone who I think will be overlooked on this slate tonight. With the Mets owning the third highest K% of 23.8% against lefties, Conley should be a serious consideration tonight.
6) Tanner Roark – WAS vs. SDP – $10,500 I think I’d like Roark more if he was $1,000 cheaper. $10,500 feels a bit pricey for a pitcher that is averaging just 18 FPPG this season. Don’t get me wrong, he’s been good this season, I just think the price is a bit high. We all know the strikeout potential when facing the Padres, as they own the second highest K% against righties at 24.5%. However, Roark was only able to grab five in his last start against them. Roark has never been a big strikeout guy to begin with; aside from his 15 K performance against the Twins (so random) he hasn’t had more than seven in a start.
7) Jason Hammel – CHC vs. MIL – $7,900 – I’m on the fence about this start for Hammel. First and foremost, he’s a great value at just $7,900 with the matchup he has on tap. Facing the Brewers, who strikeout more than any other team against right-handed pitching, certainly garners some attention. Hammel has faced this team once already and recorded seven strikeouts in six innings pitched, but that also came with four runs allowed on five hits. The problem with Hammel is that he doesn’t go very deep into games and thus caps the upside he could possess. So far this season, Hammel has seen at least the seventh inning three times this season out of his 18 starts. It’s a very iffy start for Hammel, but one that could end up being a sneaky one.
8) Julio Teheran – ATL vs. COL – $6,500 – I don’t normally showcase pitchers that are pitching in Coors Field, but Teheran at $6,500 carries such tremendous value. Even though it’s like comparing apples to oranges, Teheran just made a great start against the Rockies in Atlanta his last time out, going seven innings allowing no runs on three hits with a 5:1 K:BB ratio. It’s never easy to trust a pitcher at this ballpark, but he COULD end up being a fantastic value on this slate.
9) Gerrit Cole – PIT vs. PHI – $7,400 – It doesn’t really matter who is facing the Phillies at this point, as every pitcher feels like they’re in play in this matchup. Cole will take the mound for the Pirates in his second start off the disabled list. And yes, in case you were wondering, the Phillies continue to dwell in the basement in the league in terms of offense. Coming into this game, they own a .297 wOBA against righties with a .287 OBP and a .381 SLG. Even if Cole isn’t at 100%, you have to think he’s in a good spot just due to the matchup.
10) Jon Gray – COL vs. ATL – $8,400 – Man, both pitchers at Coors Field being profiled for tonight, it’s madness! Gray gets a home start, which is never favorable, but it is against the Braves. Like Teheran, Gray has faced this team away from Coors with some good results. At Turner Field, Gray went seven innings allowing no runs on five hits with an 8:3 K:BB ratio. We all know the park factor here is dramatically different, but Gray has been decent at Coors this season, averaging 18.1 FPPG in 7 home starts this season. Intriguing.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.