Wednesday’s 10-game evening slate offers a good mix of top tier talent and discounted viable pitchers which makes for the perfect combination for both cash games and tournaments. Let’s take a look at the group that’s worth considering. You can find me on Twitter, @RyNoonan. Let’s dig in.
Top 5 Pitchers
1) Yu Darvish – TEX vs. OAK – $11,400 – You hear it here all the time and that’s because it’s true: K’s are king on DraftKings. Since this is true, few pitchers offer the safe double-digit floor that Yu Darvish provides every time he takes the mound. The A’s don’t strikeout a ton as a team, but Darvish’s upside is unmatched on this slate.
2) Jon Lester – CHC vs. MIL – $11,200 – The Brewers have been respectable against left-handed pitching, with a .341 wOBA and 107 wRC+, but that 26.5% strikeout rate is just too good to ignore if you’re willing to pay up. He and Darvish are basically interchangeable at 1 – 2 tonight, but I give the slight edge to Darvish due to what I anticipate will be lower ownership in tournaments.
3) Carlos Carrasco – CLE vs. CWS – $8,700 – Carlos Carrasco’s price is starting to crawl back up to where it needs to be, but he’s still just too cheap. He’s facing one of the league’s worse offenses against right-handed pitching, the White Sox, and he has just as much strikeout upside as anyone on this slate. He’s the best cash game pitcher on the slate in my opinion.
4) David Price – BOS vs. BAL – $8,600 – It hasn’t been the smoothest of debut seasons for David Price in Boston, but his true talent indicators think he’s a very different pitcher than his current 4.29 ERA. That gets tired after a while when you consistently fall short of expectations, but I don’t believe that Price is much different than the guy we’ve seen the past few seasons. The Orioles are much better against righties than lefties, so that bodes well for Price and his still upper-echelon strikeout upside.
5) Dylan Bundy – BAL vs. BOS – $4,600 – Great price point intersects with terrible matchup here as Dylan Bundy takes on Mookie Betts and the league’s top offense in the Boston Red Sox. The young Baltimore right-hander has been excellent over the past month, and has pitched well enough to be priced much higher than $4,600, but he’ll have his hands full against Boston. You just have to decide whether or not he can muster up enough production at $4,600 to make it worth it.
6) Scott Kazmir – LAD vs. PHI – $7,600 – I rarely tout or roster Scott Kazmir, but he’s worth looking at tonight due to his opponent. The Phillies are dead-last offensively against left-handed pitching with a league-low .286 wOBA and 74 wRC+. Also, Kazmir and the Dodgers are favorites tonight, so I believe he’s useful in cash games.
7) Homer Bailey – CIN vs. MIA – $8,900 – Sample sizes don’t get much smaller than Homer Bailey’s 14 2/3 innings so far in 2016, but his pedigree is solid and the sample has been good. Despite some bad batted-ball fortune, Bailey has put up some useful fantasy totals due in large part to his high strikeout rate. The Marlins offense took a big hit this week as Giancarlo Stanton was lost for the season, so despite Miami’s low K-rate against right-handed pitching, I think he’s in play here.
8) Sean Manaea – OAK vs. TEX – $6,600 – Home runs have been an issue for Sean Manaea, and it’s difficult to expect that to change tonight in the humid air of Arlington, Texas. With that said, Manaea has pitched well since his rocky debut earlier this summer, and he whiffed nine Rangers last time he faced them in Texas. Definitely more of a tournament option than cash game play in my opinion, and I think he’s worth considering.
9) Jake Thompson – PHI vs. LAD – $4,100 – Phillies’ highly touted pitching prospect Jake Thompson is looking to build off of his last start, and he’s worth a look at his near-minimum salary. Last time out against the Rockies he only allowed two hits while striking out six over five innings. And while the Dodgers have been warming up, particularly against right-handed pitching, his price allows you to spend up on both an SP and some top bats.
10) Yordano Ventura – KC vs. DET – $7,800 – It’s been an up and down year for Yordano Ventura but he’s coming off of consecutive strong outings against two of the hotter offenses in the league in Minnesota and Toronto. He’s also had success in both of his outings this season against the Tigers, so the combination of current form and matchup-specific success bodes well for Ventura on Wednesday.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is RyanFix) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.