Wednesday’s main slate brings us 12 games and plenty of excellent pitching matchups. We have a multiple pitchers who enter play in great form, and some familiar names who are priced down and make for intriguing plays as a second starting pitching tonight. Let’s dig in.
Top 5 Pitchers
1) J.A. Happ – TOR vs. TB – $11,700 – J.A. Happ has been remarkably consistent and occasionally spectacular over the past two months. On Wednesday he gets Tampa and their 27.1% strikeout rate against left-handed pitching, raising the expected floor and upside for Happ in this matchup. Some may pause at the high price point, but he could still return three times his salary in this spot.
2) Justin Verlander – DET vs. SEA – $12,900 – Paying up for Justin Verlander is probably a difficult task today, but his massive strikeout upside is back and makes him intriguing in an otherwise difficult matchup against Seattle. The Mariners have been one of the most consistent offenses in the league this season, and have been a top-5 club against right-handed pitching for most of the season. I like Verlander’s upside because he’s compiled nine or more K’s in four of his past five starts.
3) Drew Pomeranz – BOS vs. NYY – $9,100 – If Drew Pomeranz can keep his pitch count down and not give up a ton of free passes here against the Yankees, than I think he has tremendous tournament upside. The Yankees are among the worst offensive clubs in the league, and they’re especially terrible against southpaws. They’re dead last in isolated power, minimizing the damage that we can expect if Pomeranz isn’t hitting his spots.
4) Jaime Garcia – STL vs. CIN – $7,800 – I’m not a big Jaime Garcia fan, but he has pitched well at times this season and he’s coming off of a solid outing against the Braves last week. The Reds have had a difficult time with left-handed pitching this season and enter play on Wednesday ranking 27th in wRC+ against them. This game is in St. Louis and while I’m not a big ‘home/road splits guy’, there’s a large enough sample here to indicate that Garcia is a much better pitcher at home than on the road.
5) Robbie Ray – ARZ vs. NYM – $9,700 – Strikeouts cure all ills on DraftKings, and if you aren’t sure just look at Robbie Ray’s game logs. He’s been able to put up decent DraftKings scores despite giving up five runs in both of his past two starts solely because he’s missing a ton of bats. The Mets are a perfect opponent for Ray, with a low walk rate and 23.9% K-rate against lefties this season. He’s pricey, but if he’s able to limit the damage here than he has legitimate 30-point upside.
6) Jose Quintana – CWS vs. KC – $10,300 – Jose Quintana’s 2016 has been the definition of a cash game play. He’s been incredibly steady and consistent, rarely putting together a huge fantasy night, but even more rare are the starts where he struggles. If I’m using one of the $10K+ pitchers tonight in cash games it’s going to be Quintana.
7) Felix Hernandez – SEA vs. DET – $8,400 – From a fantasy perspective it was great to see Felix Hernandez pitch eight innings in his last start in a win against the Angels. We hadn’t seen Felix work that deep into a game all season so perhaps he’s turning things on to finish the year. He’s always worth a look at home when he’s taking the ball in front of the King’s Court.
8) Ian Kennedy – KC vs. CWS – $8,900 – The White Sox offense has struggled ever since the calendar turned to May, and Ian Kennedy will look to continue that trend on Wednesday night. He’s had some positive home run regression after giving up an unsustainably high number of homers to start the season, and his solid K/9 raises his floor in this spot at home. He’s in play for both cash games and tournaments.
9) Dallas Keuchel – HOU vs. MIN – $7,700 – After a slow start, we’ve seen a much better version of Dallas Keuchel lately, including a complete-game three-hit shutout of Texas in his last start. His price is very appealing here, but the Twins have been on a tear and are full of guys that demolish left-handed pitching. I like what we’re seeing from Keuchel, but I’d proceed with caution, even at this price.
10) Ervin Santana – MIN vs. HOU – $9,000 – Ervin Santana is Dallas Keuchel’s counterpart on Wednesday night, and he enters play in his best form of the season. He’s pounding the strike zone and is missing a decent amount of bats as well, something that we haven’t seen from Santana since his Anaheim days. The Astros are scuffling a bit offensively, and I think Santana’s price tag will keep most at bay. He’s very intriguing in tournaments.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is RyanFix) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.