The last Friday of the regular season includes Coors Field and some top shelf pitching options. I wouldn’t want it any other way. Let’s unpack this 15-game slate.
Madison Bumgarner – SF vs. LAD – $11,700 – Clearly these NL West foes are familiar with each other, but that shouldn’t keep us off one of the game’s best pitchers. The Dodgers have been the worst offense in the league against left-handed pitching this season due in part to their lefty-centric lineup, and this current group has had limited success against MadBum, with a .301 wOBA over 91+ innings.
Yu Darvish – TEX vs. TOR – $12,700 – We know K’s are king here on DraftKings, so Yu Darvish is always in play for me in GPP’s. His hefty asking price should drive down his ownership totals, and the Rays have had some of the highest strikeout nights this season.
Robert Gsellman – NYM vs. PHI – $6,600 – Robert Gsellman and the Mets are strong favorites against the Phillies, and Gsellman has some solid strikeout upside considering his favorable price. With the top tier pitching options and Coors bats on this slate, we’ll need to find places to save without sacrificing too much upside.
Daniel Norris – DET vs. ATL – $7,800 – I would never consider Daniel Norris a cash game play, but he’s shown the ability to pile up K’s. The Braves have been ‘playing out the slate’ since April essentially.
Nolan Arenado (3B) – COL vs. MIL – $5,500 – The Rockies are this slate’s low hanging fruit, with an implied team total of 6.8 runs. The catalyst of Colorado’s lineup has been Nolan Arenado all season long, and he’s my top play on the board despite his price tag. His .303 ISO against right-handed pitching certainly helps.
David Ortiz (1B) – BOS vs. TOR – $5,300 – Papi kicks off his final regular season home stand tonight against the Blue Jays, and while the Red Sox are gearing up to make a long run into October, there’s plenty of narrative on the table here if you’re looking to spend up on Ortiz. Jays starter Marco Estrada and his fly ball tendencies certainly don’t hurt Ortiz’s viability.
Carlos Santana (1B) – CLE vs. KC – $5,000 – Carlos Santana is rounding into form as he and the Indians head into the post-season. Santana has been hot of late, with a significant spike in hard-hit rate and average fly ball distance over the past two weeks.
Matt Kemp (OF) – ATL vs. DET – $4,700 – The one part of Matt Kemp’s game that’s still elite is his power when facing left-handed pitching. This is a perfect spot for it too, since the aforementioned Daniel Norris struggles with fly balls when he’s getting hit hard. I think Kemp runs into one tonight.
Trea Turner (2B/OF) – WSH vs. MIA – $5,400 – Trea Turner has been such a beast since the All-Star break and he’s finishing strong as well. Setting the table for the Nationals tonight against Andrew Cashner, Turner’s in a prime spot to deliver, and he’s seen a spike in his hard-hit contact rate over the past two weeks.
Carlos Gomez (OF) – TEX vs. TB – $4,200 – Moving from Houston to Dallas has certainly been beneficial for Carlos Gomez, and he’s thriving hitting atop the Rangers’ lineup. Up against Tampa’s Matt Andriese, Gomez and the Rangers have a healthy implied team total tonight of 5.4 runs.
Brian Dozier (2B) – MIN vs. CWS – $4,100 – Brian Dozier has no business being $4,100 against a left-handed pitcher, but here we are. White Sox starter Carlos Rodon has been flashing a bit of his immense upside of late, but that’s not a reason to balk on the elite power that Dozier offers at second base.
Adam Rosales (2B/3B) – SD vs. ARZ – $3,600 – Adam Rosales and his Padres’ teammates benefit from the sizable park shift here, going from San Diego to Arizona’s hitter-friendly environment. The multi-position only helps Rosales’ case.
Jurickson Profar (2B/3B) – TEX vs. TB – $3,100 – Another multi-position eligible asset, Profar will likely hit in the 2-hole if he’s in the lineup today. That’s a prime spot for just $3,100 on a team with an implied team total like the Rangers 5.4 runs.
Chris Davis (1B) – BAL vs. NYY – $3,600 – Massive left-handed power in baseball’s best park for left-handed power against a pitcher who struggles with surrendering hard-hit contact? I know Davis hasn’t done much lately, but there’s a lot to like here for just $3,600.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is RyanFix) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.