Targets will focus on the 12-game slate tonight, which features a number of aces to choose from at challenging prices, and a few potential high-scoring games from which to pluck some studs and values. Any questions, please find me on Twitter @JasonWalker_72 — let’s do this!
Masahiro Tanaka – NYY at TBR – $11,200 – Tanaka faces the Rays, who have struck out 29% of the time over the past seven days. Plus, Tanaka dominated the Rays just 11 days ago.. to the tune of 34+ fantasy points in New York – a better hitter’s park.
Corey Kluber – CLE vs. KCR – $11,900 – Kluber has a slate leading 30.8% K-rate over the last 30 days, higher than Scherzer or Sale. His SIERA has been 3.30 and the Royals have been pedestrian at a 84 wRC+ and 3.6% walk rate over their last seven games.
Chad Kuhl – PIT at MIL – $6,200 – Like the Rays, the Brewers have been human windmills over the last week, striking out 29.1% of the time and scoring a 93 wRC+ despite having a .228 ISO over that span. Kuhl has been really good away over the last month, recording a 3.33 xFIP and 22.1% K-rate in 17.1 innings over that span.
Luis Perdomo – SDP vs. ARI – $6,300 – Perdomo is a manage-the-damage starting pitcher, but has some in use on DraftKings, as he has gotten to 20 fantasy points in three of his last five starts. The Diamondbacks have struck out 24% of the time over the last week and are 26th in wRC+ against RHP for the season, including home games.
Carlos Beltran (OF) – TEX vs. LAA – $4,100 – Jered Weaver, in 30 IP since July 1st on the road, has a 6.41 xFIP and has allowed 2.40 HR/9 IP. Against LHB over the same span, that xFIP jumps to 7.34 and he’s upside down in K-BB%. Beltran should take advantage.
Mark Trumbo (OF) – BAL vs. BOS – $4,600 – It’s a bad time to lose your mojo as a RHP entering Camden Yards. The Orioles feast on RHP at home, and Trumbo is the leader of the pack with a 160 wRC+ and .333 ISO in 234 PA at home against RHP this season. Buchholz, the aforementioned RHP, has a 5.29 xFIP with 2.79 HR/9 IP over his last 45 batters faced away from home.
J.D. Martinez (OF) – DET at MIN – $4,400 – Martinez, against RHP on the road in his last 30 plate appearances, has a 216 wRC+, .360 ISO and .490 wOBA. The Tigers have an implied total of 5.2 runs tonight against MIN SP Berrios.
Freddie Freeman (1B) – ATL at NYM – $4,800 – Freeman, on the road against RHP for the season, is at a 199 wRC+. Since August 1st, in 89 plate appearances, he has a staggering 297 wRC+/.567 ISO/.617 wOBA. Colon is terrible against LHB anyway, too, so don’t overthink it.
Brian Dozier (2B) – MIN vs. DET – $5,200 – In 71 plate appearances since August 1st against RHP at home, Dozier has a 262 wRC+/.594 ISO/.563 wOBA. Dozier should be leading off in a Twins lineup that has an implied 4.9 runs tonight.
Kris Bryant (3B/OF) – CHC vs. CIN – $4,500 – Batting second at home with an implied 5.6 runs projected for the Cubs, Bryant is in a great spot. Since August 1st against RHP at home (95 PA), Bryant has a 175 wRC+, .262 ISO and .434 wOBA.
Francisco Lindor (SS) – CLE vs. KCR – $4,100 – Cleveland is great at home against RHP’s and Lindor, since August 1st in split, has a 174 wRC+ and .435 wOBA. He should be batting third and the Indians have a solid 4.5 implied run total tonight.
Gary Sanchez (CATCH) – NYY at TBR – $4,600 – Not a believer? He’s got a 229 wRC+, .390 ISO and .510 wOBA in 68 plate appearances against RHP away from Yankee Stadium.
Carlos Gomez (OF) – TEX vs. LAA – $3,900 – Should be leading off against Jered Weaver, and since leading off, Gomez has a 206 wRC+/.400 ISO/.482 wOBA. Plus the Rangers have a 5.9 implied run total tonight.
Josh Bell (1B/OF) – PIT at MIL – $2,900 – Jimmy Nelson, at home against LHB, since July 1st, has a 5.68 xFIP over 61 batters faced. Bell has hit RHP well, with a 140 wRC+ on the road against them, and he should be batting second. He delivered a 11 fantasy point game at the same salary level Tuesday night.
Addison Russell (SS) – CHC vs. CIN – $3,800 – Already mentioned the 5.6 run implied total for the Cubs, and Russell, who should be batting fifth tonight, has a solid 123 wRC+ and .212 ISO against RHP at home since August 1st.
C.J. Cron (1B) – LAA at TEX – $3,800 – Solid 128 wRC+ away from LAA against LHB, with a .480 SLG. TEX SP Holland has a 5.07 xFIP in 36.1 innings against RHB at home this season.
Jefry Marte (1B/3B) – LAA at TEX – $3,800 – Also, there’s Marte, who has a 197 wRC+, .286 ISO and .463 wOBA in split here. The Angels, meanwhile, have an implied run total of 4.7 and Cron/Marte should be batting 5/6 in that lineup.
Mitch Moreland (1B) – TEX vs. LAA – $3,100 – Very reasonable play here to take advantage of LAA SP Weaver’s poor away numbers vs. LHB. Moreland, since July 1st, (82 PA) has a 142 wRC+/.311 ISO/.395 wOBA at home against RHP.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.