With the Brewers and Cubs playing a matinee in Chicago, Friday’s main slate on DraftKings is 14 games. The Rockies have the highest implied team total on the slate at a whopping 6.9 runs, but we have nine other clubs with totals above 4.7 runs, so there are numerous alternatives if you’re looking to fade Coors in tournaments. Let’s dig in.
Max Scherzer – WSH vs. ATL – $13,700 – The slate has a few high-priced aces but none are in as good of a spot as Max Scherzer. The Braves have the lowest implied team total at just 2.9 runs, and their .157 team ISO against right-handed pitching helps neutralize Scherzer’s occasional struggles with homers.
Matt Moore – SF vs. STL – $8,200 – Matt Moore’s current form has been excellent, and he’ll look to build on that here at home against the Cardinals. St. Louis is exploitable against lefties with swing-and-miss stuff, and Moore’s recent success has included the strikeout totals that Moore flashed earlier in his career.
Luke Weaver – STL vs. SF – $5,200 – Matt Moore’s opponent, Luke Weaver, has just as much K upside as Moore but will cost you $3,000 less, making him a great option today. He’s not working deep into games but he’s piling up the whiffs while he’s in there, raising his floor every time out. If he works six innings here he’ll likely return 4x his salary.
Felix Hernandez – SEA vs. HOU – $8,000 – It’s been a bit of a mixed bag of late for Felix Hernandez but he’s never been cheaper than he is today. Outside of his recent hiccup he had been on a solid run, and despite the less than stellar fantasy output, he can still miss bats and he’s limited the hard-hit contact against him over the last few starts.
David Ortiz (1B) – BOS vs. NYY – $5,600 – And he’s really going to retire? David Ortiz is always in play and makes for a great tournament play today because first base is loaded with cheaper options. Fresh off a 26 DKFP game last night, Ortiz will face off against righty, Luis Cessa tonight. It’s certainly a favorable matchup.
Nolan Arenado (3B) – COL vs. SD – $5,500 – The best hitter on the team with the highest implied team total of the day. Sometimes it’s just that easy. If you’re playing Coors bats, than I’d recommend starting with Nolan Arenado and build from there.
Joey Votto (1B) – CIN vs. PIT – $5,300 – It’s been an incredible second half for Joey Votto. Truth of the matter is, he was crushing the ball during the first half too but ran into some terrible ball-in-play fortune despite a career-best hard-hit rate. The second half results should continue here against Ryan Vogelsong.
Corey Seager (SS) – LAD vs. ARZ – $5,100 – It’s a limited sample size but Seager has handled Zack Grienke well in his young career and he’s been a line drive machine lately, regardless of the opposing pitcher.
Rougned Odor (2B) – TEX vs. OAK – $5,100 – Rougned Odor’s game log over the past month is quite a sight and it’s understandable why he’s at $5,100. Hitting in the middle of the lineup with power makes him more of a tournament play than a cash game option in my opinion, but he’s worth a look tonight.
Miguel Cabrera (1B) – DET vs. CLE – $4,400 – Team BABIP will be allllll over Miggy today. He clearly has some actionable ownage against Corey Kluber, with a .602 wOBA, .500 batting average, and five home runs in 44 career at-bats.
Stephen Piscotty (OF) – STL vs. SF – $4,200 – If you aren’t in on the Matt Moore play noted above, then consider Stephen Piscotty in tournaments. He should be low owned, especially with a negative park shift heading to San Francisco, but he has immense power against left-handed pitching.
Ryan Raburn (OF) – COL vs. SD – $3,400 – Ryan Raburn is always in play when he’s at home against a lefty. There’s a case to be made for fading him (and his teammates) in tournaments, but there’s no need to get too cute in cash games here in my opinion.
Pedro Alvarez (3B) – BAL vs. TB – $3,400 – The Orioles are very familiar with their AL East opponent, Chris Archer. The current roster has a .349 wOBA against him in a fairly sizable sample size and Pedro Alvarez is a cheap way to get some big power upside in your lineup.
Andrew Benintendi (OF) – BOS vs. NYY – $2,900 – Andrew Benintendi returned on Thursday after a short DL stint due to a knee sprain but I like stacking Boston bats today and using Benintendi as the wheel to that stack is a nice way to get unique exposure to a solid expected run total.
Eric Hosmer (1B) – KC vs. CWS – $3,500 – Eric Hosmer has some tournament appeal here. The lefty on lefty matchup against Chris Sale will keep him off of nearly everyone’s radar, and rightfully so. He has had a bit of success against Chris Sale though, and when he makes contact he’s done something with it. (1.048 OPS vs. Sale).
Devon Travis (2B) – TOR vs. LAA – $3,800 – Devon Travis has been a bit of a reverse splits guy since entering the league, and his current form is strong with a 33% hard-hit contact rate over the past few weeks. Facing soft-tossing Jered Weaver is a great spot to look at Travis for less than $4k in my opinion.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is RyanFix) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.