MLB Targets: September 15th

We have a 14-game main slate tonight, so let’s not waste any time. The best place for last minute info, other than DK Live of course, is Twitter. Find me there @RyNoonan. Let’ dig in.

Pitcher

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Stud

Chris Sale – BOS vs. TB – $13,100 – Chris Sale has been insane this season, and this specific matchup has been a fantasy goldmine on a few occasions already. It’s a matchup that’s ripe for Ks, and although Sale’s run of double-digit strikeouts has stopped, his upside is unmatched on this slate. He’s a great play in cash games here.

Other Options – Robbie Ray ($12,500), Luis Severino ($12,000)

Value

Sean Newcomb – ATL vs. NYM – $6,700 – The Mets’ September lineups have been just atrocious. I don’t love Sean Newcomb because walks can be an issue for him, but a 9.4 K/9 at this price point is intriguing, and that allows access to some of the best bats on this slate.

Other Options – Charlie Morton ($8,100), Alex Wood ($8,000)


Catcher

Stud

Gary Sanchez – NYY vs. BAL – $4,800 – Gary Sanchez has essentially been in his own tier at the catcher position all season long. His viability always comes down to whether or not you’re stacking the Yankees. He’s often too expensive to play as a one-off, but he’s squarely on my radar if I’m loading up on these Yankee bats against Gabriel Ynoa.

Value

Yasmani Grandal – LAD vs. WAS – $3,300 – The Dodgers have been scuffling for over a month now, and rightfully so, we’ve seen the price of their top bats plummet. The switch-hitting Grandal has fared much better against right-handed pitching this season and is priced well against flyball-heavy Edwin Jackson.

Other Options – Yan Gomes ($3,300)


First Base

Stud

Jose Abreu – CWS vs. DET – $4,600 – Do you know who leads the American League in total bases? Yeah, not who I thought either. Jose Abreu has quietly put together another strong season on the South Side and has three, four-hit games over his last six starts. He also has a pretty strong sample of owning Tigers’ starter Anibal Sanchez.

Other Options – Rhys Hoskins ($5,300), Joey Votto ($4,900)

Value

Joey Gallo – TEX vs. LAA – $4,100 – Also eligible at third base, few corner infielders have the power upside that Joey Gallo has, and he’s really cheap. I love using the free-swinging lefty when he’s facing a right-hander that doesn’t miss bats, and that’s what we have here tonight with Bud Norris.

Other Options – Wil Myers ($4,300), Matt Davidson ($3,300)


Second Base

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Stud

Jose Ramirez – CLE vs. KC – $5,500 – Jose Ramirez’s 2017 season has been outstanding, and his ability to crush both left- and right-handed pitching makes him a great play in DFS because he’s not as susceptible to platoon splits as most of his peers. You can play him at second or third base, and he has enough upside for tournaments while being a high floor guy for cash games. The team is red-hot, and Ramirez is my favorite way to get exposure to them.

Other Options – Brian Dozier ($4,900)

Value

Dee Gordon – MIA vs. MIL – $3,900 – The Marlins’ leadoff hitter is an interesting tournament play due to his multi-stolen base upside. The Marlins are facing a combination of Milwaukee relievers tonight, and I like the top of their lineup quite a bit. I usually don’t have much Dee Gordon exposure, but when he’s under $4,000 in a good spot, he’s worth consideration.

Other Options – Yoan Moncada ($3,800)


Third Base

Stud

Nolan Arenado – COL vs. SD – $5,400 – It’s probably +EV to get a piece of the Rockies and their 6.8 implied-team total tonight, right? I think so, too. This is a fairly affordable price tag for Nolan Arenado considering the matchup against a below average lefty in Clayton Richard. Arenado has put up video game numbers against left-handed pitching this season, with a .505 wOBA and massive power. Fire him up.

Other Options – Freddie Freeman ($5,200), Jake Lamb ($4,500)

Value

Manny Machado – BAL vs. NYY – $4,100 – In May and June I was begging you to keep playing Manny Machado because he was just too cheap, and after a dominant two-month stretch, he’s cooled a bit and is back down at $4,100. In tournaments, I love the upside of Machado, and using him helps you differentiate off of the likely popular plays in Colorado.


Shortstop

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Stud

Francisco Lindor – CLE vs. KC – $5,600 – The Indians’ leadoff man is fairly split neutral, but has shown slightly more power when facing a lefty on the season. I never thought Lindor would be a 30+ home run bat in the majors, so I’m very impressed with his development over the past two seasons. The top of Cleveland’s lineup is a strong pivot in GPPs.

Other Options – Jose Reyes ($4,300)

Value

Corey Seager – LAD vs. WAS – $4,100 – I know Corey Seager’s game logs have not been impressive lately, but I think he’s going to get hot here again at the right time for L.A. His average distance and flyball rate are up over the past two weeks, and his hard-hit rate is in line with his seasonal average. The distance spike and fly ball rate pair well here tonight with Edwin Jackson on the hill for the Nationals.

Other Options – Trevor Story ($4,200)


Outfield

Stud

Mike Trout – LAA vs. TEX – $5,300 – I’m going out on a limb here, recommending the best player in the game, but I like targeting Trout when he’s facing a low-strikeout right-hander like Rangers’ starter Nick Martinez. The lack of platoon splits, the fact that it’s a Coors Field slate and the high price tag could keep Trout’s ownership down, which is a mistake due to his exceptional wOBA, ISO and SLG against right-handers.

Other Options – Charlie Blackmon ($5,500), Giancarlo Stanton ($5,600)

Value

Austin Jackson – CLE vs. KC – $4,000 – Hitting second between Lindor and Ramirez is a cushy spot for Austin Jackson, and he’s penciled in there anytime Cleveland faces a left-handed starter. Jackson has massive platoon splits that are worth exploiting. His wOBA, ISO and SLG are all more than 100 points higher when he’s facing a southpaw, which sets up well for him tonight against Jason Vargas.

Other Options – Christian Yelich ($4,000), Khris Davis ($4,300)

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is RyanFix) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.