Ahhhh nice to see that it’s Wednesday and I have your undivided attention. No NFL until Thursday, but we’ve got a full night slate of MLB games to tide you over until people are forced to watch the atrocity that will be Texans-Bengals. The Rockies are playing the D-Backs, but that game is usually more enticing when it’s at Coors Field. Anyway, don’t want to lose your attention to NFL again, so let’s get to it.
Aaron Nola — PHI vs. MIA — $9,100 – I’m willing to throw out Nola’s previous two starts vs. the Marlins and hope for a bounce back from the young ace. His main problem against Miami is the long ball, having allowed five HRs in three starts. If he can limit that, well, everything else should fall into place. Nola has contrarian value with a high ceiling.
Other Options: Yu Darvish ($10,300), Doug Fister ($8,800)
Martin Perez — TEX vs. SEA — $6,100 – Among bargains, Perez instills the most confidence. His price remains affordable despite a personal seven-game winning streak. Perez has allowed three or fewer runs in six of those seven starts, getting great run support from the Rangers throughout the stretch. The run support should continue with Mariners SP Mike Leake boasting a 4.21 ERA on the road this season.
Other Options: Jack Flaherty ($6,300), Tyler Skaggs ($6,200)
Christian Vazquez — BOS vs. OAK — $3,400 – Things could get very ugly in Boston tonight if Jharel Cotton can’t keep things together. Vazquez continues to split starts, but has multiple hits in three straight games, and is batting .394 with six RBI in his last 33 ABs. He’s also batting .376 with 14 XBHs (7.8 DKFP per game) at home this season.
Other Options: Willson Contreras ($3,600), Jonathan Lucroy ($3,500)
Jason Castro — MIN vs. SD — $2,500 – Castro has a tough matchup in a pitcher’s ballpark but is just too damn hot right now. He’s batting .345 with three HRs and six RBI in his last 29 ABs, including two HRs, three runs and four RBI last night vs. the Padres. If he draws the start, Castro has plenty of upside for tournaments.
Other Options: Matt Wieters ($2,500)
Rhys Hoskins — PHI vs. MIA — $4,700 – The legend of Rhys Hoskins continued last night when the rookie belted two more HRs, Nos. 15 and 16 on the season. He’s got four in his past four games and, what’s this? Dan Straily on the hill for the Marlins? 26 HRs allowed in 29 starts? I’ll take Hoskins way-too-friendly price to the bank, thank you very much.
Other Options: Ryan Zimmerman ($4,300), Mark Reynolds ($4,000)
C.J. Cron — LAA vs. HOU — $3,100 – Cron is striking out at a rate only rivaled by Aaron Judge, but his upside is there. He’s got 11 RBI in his last 11 games, with a .400 BABIP in that stretch. The Angels are in must-win mode and get the Astros at home, the struggling Lance McCullers Jr. on the hill for Houston. Cron is batting .280 in Anaheim, where he also has a much less upsetting strikeout rate (32 in 132 ABs).
Other Options: Tommy Joseph ($3,300), Trey Mancini ($3,200)
Howie Kendrick — WAS vs. ATL — $4,500 – Kendrick is a solid cash-game option vs. the Braves with Luiz Gohara expected to start. In his MLB debut, Gohara was shelled by the Rangers, allowing six ER on four hits with four BBs. The Nationals lineup won’t be any easier to get through, and Kendrick is looking to extend his hitting streak to six games.
Other Options: Paul DeJong ($4,300), Dee Gordon ($3,900)
Ozzie Albies — ATL vs. WAS — $2,900 – Listen, it’s never ideal going up against Max Scherzer and the Nationals. But Albies is on a 10-game hitting streak, batting .349 with eight runs and six RBI during the stretch. He went 3-for-5 with three runs and a solo HR vs. the Nats yesterday, two of his hits coming off Gio Gonzalez, not an easy feat.
Other Options: – Chris Taylor ($3,500), Brandon Drury ($3,400)
Travis Shaw — MIL vs. PIT — $4,600 – In 15 games vs. the Pirates this season, Shaw has five HRs, nine RBI and four 2Bs (9.5 DKFP per game). Chances are Tyler Glasnow will struggle in his first big league start since June, so the Brewers may be a solid team to target in a stack tonight.
Other Options: Anthony Rendon ($4,900), Justin Turner ($4,200)
Derek Dietrich — MIA vs. PHI — $3,000 – If you’ve read all season, I love contradicting myself. If Nola struggles vs. the Marlins again, you’ll want a piece of their lineup. Dietrich is getting hot with homers in back-to-back games and is averaging 6.7 DKFP per game vs. the Phillies this season, 1.1 higher than his average. He’s also done his best work on the road (.271 BA).
Other Options: Brandon Phillips ($3,500), Cory Spangenberg ($3,100)
Carlos Correa — HOU vs. LAA — $4,500 – Speaking of contradictions, Correa is a bit cheap, don’t ya think? Sure, he’s mired in a 7-for-38 slump (.184 BA) but has four of those seven hits in the past three games. I like Skaggs in this spot at home, but the Astros lineup could also throw up a lopsided number if it wakes up.
Other Options: Zack Cozart ($4,600), Eduardo Escobar ($4,400)
Freddy Galvis — PHI vs. MIA — $2,900 – There aren’t many reasons to pay down for a SS, but Galvis has some pop. He’s belted nine of his 11 HRs at Citizens Bank Park and is averaging 7.4 DKFP in 17 games vs. the Marlins this season. Galvis isn’t a bad stack option with Hoskins for a cheap price.
Other Options: Jordy Mercer ($3,300), Yangervis Solarte ($3,300)
Mookie Betts — BOS vs. OAK — $5,300 – Betts had a monster game in the series opener vs. the A’s, going 3-for-5 with two runs, a triple, two HRs and six RBI (44 DKFP). His pitching matchup vs. Cotton is even better tonight and Betts comes in priced fifth among OFers on the slate. He should be the center of your Red Sox stack.
Other Options: Giancarlo Stanton ($5,600), Matt Olson ($4,400), Gerardo Parra ($4,300)
Danny Santana — MIL vs. PIT — $3,400 – As I mentioned before, the Brewers will face Glasnow having not pitched in three months. Santana is batting .303 with two HRs, five RBI and a pair of SBs in his last 10 games (8.8 DKFP per contest). He’s striking out a lot, but that doesn’t worry me considering the matchup.
Other Options: Jason Heyward ($3,300), Max Kepler ($3,200), Mark Trumbo ($3,100)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is bzweiman521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.