As I always do on Sunday, this Targets article will cover the entire all-day slate of games that we have on DraftKings. Feel free to get me on the ol’ Twitter machine with any questions @SBuchanan24.
Justin Verlander – DET vs. BAL – $12,300 – On paper, the Orioles are most certainly an intimidating team to have a pitcher go against. With the amount of power this team possesses, they certainly have had their way at times this season. However, I like this spot for Verlander, as the Orioles haven’t been all that impressive away from Camden Yards. Verlander faces an Orioles team with a 22.8 K%, which ranks 7th in the league for teams on the road. Verlander owns a 10.2 K/9 at home this season while holding opposing hitters to a .263 wOBA and a .241 OBP. With the high strikeout potential, Verlander has a legitimate chance to rack up yet another solid start on the season. Averaging 25.7 FPPG over his last five starts, Verlander has been one of the most consistent starters in the league.
Luke Weaver – STL vs. MIL – $4,800 – Weaver is still dirt cheap, and I’m really not sure why anymore. With five starts under his belt, Weaver is averaging 16 FPPG with an 11.1 K/9 with a 1.36 WHIP. He faces the Brewers for the second time this season, where Weaver pitched six innings allowing three runs on four hits with a 10:2 K:BB ratio. As always, the strikeout potential against the Brewers is always sky high, as they own a 26.8 K%, which leads the league. With this game being at Busch Stadium, I think it’s extremely likely that Weaver will not even return value on his salary, but once again exceed it. I think it won’t be much longer before Weaver starts seeing his price bump up significantly, so jump on him before it does.
Mike Trout (OF) – LAA vs. TEX – $5,600 – Trout is on an absolute tear right now that ‘s almost unfair to opposing pitchers. Over his last 10 games, Trout is 17-37 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs, seven RBIs four stolen bases and 13 runs scored. In case you were wondering, that comes out to be an average of 15.7 FPPG. Quite the run if you ask me. The icing on the cake is that Trout has historically hit Derek Holland well, going 13-35 with four home runs.
Paul Goldschmidt (1B)- ARZ vs. SFG – $5,000 One of my favorite matchups to exploit, Goldschmidt is facing a left-handed pitcher at home today. In case you haven’t heard, Goldy is an absolute beast in these situations, owning a .521 wOBA with a .756 SLG. Surprisingly enough, Goldy has only hit three home runs in these situations, although he’s scored just fine for fantasy players even without them.
Mike Napoli (1B) – CLE vs. MIN – $4,300 – Napoli has the luxury of facing Jose Berrios tonight, who still can’t seem to figure things out at the major league level. Coming into this game, Berrios is allowing a .466 wOBA to right-handed batters with a .685 SLG with seven of his nine home runs allowed. An extremely streaky hitter, Napoli has hit three home runs in his last 10 games and could be on the verge of another hot streak.
Corey Seager (SS)- LAD vs MIA – $5,500 – Seager is tied for the second most expensive hitter on this slate, but he has a fantastic matchup on tap. Seager faces Jose Urena, who is allowing a .396 wOBA to lefties at home with a .581 SLG. Seager is great in these spots, owning a .393 wOBA against righties on the road with a .528 SLG with eight home runs.
Jayson Werth (OF) – WAS vs. PHI – $4,300 – Werth has been crushing left-handed pitching all season, so with a matchup against Adam Morgan on tap, this is a no brainer. Coming into today, Werth owns a .396 wOBA against lefties at home with a .511 SLG. Morgan has been a puddle on the mound against righties, owning a .395 wOBA with a .601 SLG.
Brandon Crawford (SS) – SFG vs. ARZ – $4,200 – Zack Greinke has not pitched well at home this season; so I have no reason to believe today will be much different. At home, Greinke is allowing a .340 wOBA at home and a .342 to lefties. Crawford owns a decent .341 wOBA against righties on the road.
Todd Frazier (3B) – CHW vs. KCR – $3,600 – With Ian Kennedy on the mound, the expectation that he’ll give up at least one home run is high. With 31 home runs allowed on the season, Frazier seems like a nice punt play at third base today. With 13 home runs at home against a right-handed pitcher this season, Frazier is simply on your team for a quick 14 points and nothing more.
Buster Posey (CATCH) – SFG vs. ARZ – $3,600 – Posey feels too cheap even in his matchup against Greinke. If this was at SFG, maybe I wouldn’t be as interested, but at Chase Field is where I like this matchup. Posey owns a .326 wOBA on the road against righties with six of his 12 home runs. With how poorly Greinke has pitched at home, it’s not out of the realm to expect something from Posey here.
Mark Trumbo (OF) – BAL vs. DET – $3,100 Trumbo is dirt cheap in his matchup against Justin Verlander and rightfully so. However, Verlander has allowed 26 home runs on the season with 18 of those coming at home. Grabbing someone with 41 home runs on the season for just $3,100 could end up being a steal. For what it’s worth, Verlander has allowed 10 home runs since the All-Star Break, putting him on pace for the 16 he allowed before it.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.