There are twenty-two teams in action on Saturday night and while we do not have the embarrassment of riches taking the hill like we saw on Friday, there are solid options we can look to in all game formats. Let’s dive in to the numbers!
Max Scherzer – WAS vs PHI – $14,400 – This will be the fifth time that Scherzer has started against the Phillies this season, through the first four he is 3-0 with 29 innings pitched, four home runs and eight earned runs allowed and a phenomenal 36 strikeouts. He will need another masterful performance to provide value on this lofty salary, but if the track record is any indication, he definitely can get there.
Jon Gray – COL at SDP – $10,600 – Don’t let this price point and his 4.51 ERA scare you away! In his previous three meetings against the Padres this season, Gray has one win with 20 innings pitched, allowing just 15 baserunners and seven runs (five earned) which have been offset by a whopping 30 strikeouts. The Padres roster has changed since Gray last faced them in early June, however, they still have the worst offensive efficiency against right-handed pitching this season and the third worst overall since the All-Star Break.
John Gant – ATL vs NYM – $5,400 – Gant is officially back in the rotation and reached 113 pitches in his start last Saturday in Philadelphia where he had an adequate performance against the Phillies. We are going to need to find some value somewhere if we want to get Scherzer in our lineup and Gant looks like the discounted dandy most equipted to get close to the mid-teens from a DraftKings point perspective.
Bartolo Colon – NYM at ATL – $7,000 – On the other side of this game we have RHP Bartolo Colon who continues to truck along in his age 43 season with his mid-to-upper 80mph fastball. Somehow he still gets it done, even when the hitters know what is coming. Current Bravos batsmen have just three home runs and fifteen doubles against Colon in 212 at bats. While he doesn’t have tremendous upside, he could reach 20 DraftKings points, which is two below what he has averaged against Atlanta in two prior tilts this season.
Daniel Murphy (2B) – WAS vs PHI – $5,100 – Murphy continues his torrid season, in particular with his effectiveness against right-handed pitching. In 351 at bats he has a .416 wOBA and a 1.010 OPS with 19 home runs, 73 RBI and 66 runs scored. Enjoy!
J.D. Martinez (OF) – DET vs BAL – $4,300 – This is a great matchup for Martinez who has been on a heater now that he is finally healthy. He should have no issues against RHP Ubaldo Jimenez and is a threat for a multi-extra base hit game with his skillset.
Freddie Freeman (1B) – ATL vs NYM – $5,200 – Speaking of extra-base hits, we have Freddie Freeman and his .300 isolated power (ISO) in a lefty/righty matchup with RHP Seth Lugo. This season, Freeman has 27 doubles, 23 home runs and three triples and has been phenomenal since the Braves acquired OF Matt Kemp to hit behind him this summer.
Mark Trumbo (OF) – BAL at DET – $4,500 – The Orioles will be in Comerica Park today to welcome back RHP Jordan Zimmermann who is returning from his THIRD disabled list stay. Trumbo possesses tournament winning upside with his ability to hit multiple home runs in any game and he may be flying under the radar today. Actually, with Baltimore’s success this season against right-handed pitching and Zimmermann still carrying some name recognition, we can look to Manny Machado (SS/3B) – $4,800, Chris Davis (1B) – $4,700 , Adam Jones (OF) – $4,900, Pedro Alvarez (1B) – $3,900 and Hyun Soo Kim (OF) – $3,200 as part of a contrarian team stack on Saturday night.
Mike Napoli (1B) – CLE at MIN – $4,000 – This is an amazing matchup for Napoli against LHP Hector Santiago, who has allowed a 1.70 HR/9 rate and a hefty 36.2% hard contact rate over his last sixty starts. Despite his success this season in righty/lefty matchups posting a .380 wOBA and a .890 OPS, Napoli continues to be overlooked by daily fantasy gamers.
Ryan Schimpf (2B) – SDP vs COL – $3,800 – Schimpf knocked in his 18th home run of the season on Thursday night giving him two in his last four games. He has been a tremendous upside play this season in lefty/righty matchups with a .380 wOBA and an absurd .380 ISO over 204 plate appearances. He will be facing RHP Jon Gray who is a talented young pitcher and of course more effective when away from Coors Field, but I still like this matchup and it may just keep Schimpf’s popularity in check for tournaments.
Justin Turner (3B) – LAD at MIA – $4,300 – Turner continually is passed over by the average gamer who sees a righty/righty matchup. Don’t be that person! Even with his frigid first couple months of the season, since the beginning of 2014 among hitters with at least 900 plate appearances against right-handed hitters, Turner checks in at #10 with a .387 wOBA during that timeframe. The others: Mike Trout, Joey Votto, David Ortiz, Bryce Harper, Freddie Freeman, Anthony Rizzo, Miguel Cabrera and Paul Goldschmidt. That is fine company!
Martin Prado (3B) – MIA vs LAD – $3,600– Prado is never a sexy play, but he is a nice option against southpaws as he is a pesky hitter who seeming wills his way on base. Over his last 115 plate appearances in righty/lefty matchups he has compiled a .463 wOBA and a 1.100 OPS. He won’t hit many home runs, but he does have gap power and has the heart-of-the-order hitting behind him which helps him score runs.
Adam Duvall (OF) – CIN at PIT – $3,800 – This will be the Pittsburgh debut for RHP Drew Hutchison who was part of the salary relief trade with the Toronto Blue Jays receiving Francisco Liriano and two prospects. Since the beginning of 2015, Hutchison has faced 349 right-handed hitters allowing a .398 wOBA, a 34.8% hard hit rate and a 1.68 HR/9 rate. Hutchison is going to have to show me he is better before I stop targeting him throughout the rest of September, beginning with Duvall here.
Drew Butera (CATCH) – KCR at CHW – $2,900 – If Salvador Perez remains out, we can look to Drew Butera as a fine discount option against RHP James Shields. This season in 85 plate appearances against right-handed hurlers, Butera has compiled a .385 wOBA and a .260 ISO.
Andrew Toles (OF) – LAD at MIA – $2,600 – With Yasiel Puig back after serving his minor league penance and rumors of Andre Either nearing a healthy return, opportunities could be sporadic for Toles. If he makes the Dodgers lineup however, we will want him in ours against RHP Tom Kohler. Through 70 plate appearances this season against right-handed pitching, Toles has tallied a .426 wOBA and a 1.040 OPS. He will provide a great deal of salary relief and cheap upside.
Matt Joyce (OF) – PIT vs CIN – $3,600– Joyce has been playing every few days, but he is one of the best Pirates against right-handed pitching as evidenced by his .396 wOBA and .260 ISO through 204 plate appearances this season.
Greg Garcia (SS) – STL vs MIL – $3,200 – This could be the perfect position to save with perennial punt play Greg Garcia. Though he will likely be in the bottom third of the lineup for the Redbirds, he has had sustained success this season against right-handed pitching with a .356 wOBA and a .810 OPS and RHP Chase Anderson is not going to intimidate many hitters.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is emac) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.