We are playing out the daily fantasy baseball string with Cleveland looking to sweep the Blue Jays in four, though it will be a difficult task with this game in Toronto against RHP Aaron Sanchez.
In the nightcap, we have the Los Angeles Dodgers hosting the Chicago Cubs for Game 3 in the National League Championship Series which is currently tied at one apiece. It is going to be a tricky situation with four excellent pitchers taking the bump tonight, so let’s see what the numbers tell us!
Jake Arrieta – CHC at LAD – $10,800 – Does anyone remember Arrieta’s last performance in Dodgers Stadium? Well it was in 2015 and he pitched a no-hitter. Now we cannot even fathom that happening again; however, it goes to show how amazing Arrieta’s last two seasons have been from a statistical standpoint. He has gone 18-8 this year with 198 strikeouts in 203 1/3 innings pitched with a 3.10 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.
Rich Hill – LAD vs CHC – $9,200 – Hill isn’t a safe play, having gone just seven innings in his two starts against the Washington Nationals in the first round of the playoffs. With managers quick to pull their starters when they are in trouble, it can be infuriating for daily fantasy players. That said, in those seven innings of play, Hill did rack up 13 strikeouts, so he has upside even with the specter of a shortened appearance looming over his shoulder.
Carlos Santana (1B) – CLE at TOR – $4,200 – This is not an easy matchup against RHP Aaron Sanchez, who allowed fellow right-handed hitters a .231/.273/.318 slash line this season with just four home runs allowed. However, it is a great differentiation play as I think most gamers are going to look to Edwin Encarnacion on the other side of this matchup, even though he is facing RHP Corey Kluber. This season Santana has been smooth against same-handed pitching with a .388 wOBA and a .290 ISO.
Josh Donaldson (3B) – TOR vs CLE – $5,100 – Donaldson is a luxury who will be tough to work into our lineups. Yes, it is a tough matchup against RHP Corey Kluber; however, Donaldson has had success with six hits in sixteen career at bats against The Klubot. While that is a small sample size, we need to use what we have on a small slate, and Donaldson is arguably one of the top three hitters on this two game slate.
Kris Bryant (3B/OF) – CHC at LAD – $4,600 – Bryant gives us some flexibility with his multi-position eligibility, and he has been amazing this season against southpaws with a .438 wOBA and a .330 ISO. The 36-year old Dodgers starter LHP Rich Hill has had a late career resurgence with a new pitching philosophy, and he has allowed right-handed hitters a minuscule triple slash line of .188/.272/.260 which makes Bryant a very expensive proposition in a difficult matchup. However, there are only a handful of players in the pool tonight so we need to focus on overall talent and power upside as it will be home runs that carry the daily fantasy teams to victory.
Corey Seager (SS) – LAD vs CHC – $4,000 – The rookie is no stranger to big situations, and he has already become one of the most reliable hitters for the Dodgers. He had four multi-home run games this season and even poked one over the wall against RHP Max Scherzer in the first round of the playoffs. He is the shortstop I want to target today, even in this tough matchup against RHP Jake Arrieta.
Tyler Naquin (OF) – CLE at TOR – $2,800 – Naquin is capable of putting one over the fence, which would greatly return value on his cheap salary. He is the guy that will provide us with much needed salary relief and even though he will be hitting in the bottom third of the Cleveland batting order, he has upside with a .378 wOBA and a .230 ISO in 325 lefty/righty matchups this season.
Chase Utley (2B) – LAD vs CHC – $3,400 – While I would prefer to work Jason Kipnis (2B) – CLE at TOR – $4,000 into my lineups, the extra $600 is affording me a better overall roster build. Utley is no stranger to post-season action having spent the bulk of his career with the Phillies who were fixtures in the playoffs for five straight seasons between 2007 and 2011. Veteran experience goes a long way when each pitch in a game is meaningful.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is emac) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.