Today’s targets will focus on the two games on Thursday/Friday slate, which includes some of the best pitchers left playing this season. Any questions, please find me on Twitter @JasonWalker_72 — let’s do this!

Pitchers

MLB: ALDS-Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians

Studs

Corey Kluber – CLE vs. TOR – $10,300 – Kluber had a 3.26 XFIP with 30.6% K rate against RHH at home this season. He’s a favorite at home, where the Indians have done very well against RHP this season, putting a win inline here.

Rich Hill – LAD at WAS – $8,700 – Hill, on the road since August 1st: 2.90 xFIP, 32.8% K-rate, 3.1% walk rate, 0.52 HR/9 IP. Against RHH in split (54 batter sample): 2.38 xFIP, 37% K-rate, 1.9% walk rate.


Batters

MLB: ALDS-Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox

Studs

Carlos Santana (1B) – CLE vs. TOR – $4,600 – The Indians, as mentioned above, do well against RHP at home. Santana, who should be batting first, leads the way for the team this season with a 158 wRC+, .303 ISO, .409 wOBA in 242 plate appearances this year in split.

Jose Ramirez (3B/OF)= CLE vs. TOR – $4,100 – – He’s surprising in split, with a 153 wRC+ and .402 wOBA against RHP at home this season, which covers 217 plate appearances. Also, his strikeout rate is a mere 7.8% and walk rate 8.8%, making him a threat with runners on base.

Francisco Lindor (SS) – CLE vs. TOR – $4,200 – Lindor has a 148 wRC+, .396 wOBA against RHP at home this season (see, this Indians team was tough at home against RHP), and should be batting third, in the middle of a ton of positive splits here.

Jose Bautista (OF) – TOR at CLE – $4,000 – If I’m picking one Blue Jays bat on the road in this situation, it’s Bautista, who had a 137 wRC+ and .376 wOBA on the road against RHP since August 1st (171 plate appearances). Both Encarnacion and Donaldson were worse in split, especially since that time.

Corey Seager (SS) – LAD at WAS – $4,400WAS SP Max Scherzer has struggled against LHH at home, and more so recently. Since August 1st (74 batters): 4.81 xFIP, 18.9% K-rate, 7% walk rate. Seager had a solid 145 wRC+ and .392 wOBA in split.

Bryce Harper (OF) – WAS vs. LAD – $3,800 – Reverse split here, something LAD SP Hill did not manage well this season, Harper had a 151 wRC+ and .292 ISO, with a .402 wOBA against LHP in 28 plate appearances since August 1st.

Daniel Murphy (2B) – WAS vs. LAD – $4,300 – Like Harper, Murphy had a 147 wRC+ and .397 wOBA against LHP at home for the whole season (81 PA). Since September 1st, it’s a 172 wRC+, though in a super small 12 PA.

Values

Mike Napoli (1B) – CLE vs. TOR – $3,600 – Ridiculously low price for Napoli, who hammered RHP at home to the tune of a 154 wRC+, .321 ISO and .404 wOBA this season.

Joc Pederson (OF) – LAD at WAS – $3,500 – Joc had a 169 wRC+ and .387 ISO since September 1st against RHP on the road. He should be batting sixth against WAS SP Scherzer who, as stated above, has had recent poor showings against LHH at home.

Adrian Gonzalez (1B) – LAD vs. WAS – $3,500 – Was good all season on the road against RHP, but since August 1st, he had a 151 wRC+ with a .324 ISO and .401 wOBA, all with 43.4% hard contact.

Yasmani Grandal (CATCH) – LAD at WAS – $2,900 – Quick set in split for Grandal: Since August 1st (70 PA), he has a .269 ISO and .516 SLG.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.