The Cubbies have granted us one more day of daily fantasy baseball in the Divisional Round after they won in dramatic fashion last night in the thirteenth inning against the San Francisco Giants. Once again this is a pretty thin player pool consisting of just four teams, and as we have seen throughout the playoffs, managers are quick to go to the bullpen.
John Lackey – CHC at SFG – $8,600 – Since June 30th, the Cubs hurler has gotten to the sixth inning in twelve of his fourteen starts. The only two where he didn’t reach this milestone were his last start of the regular season and in his Labor Day Weekend start against these same Giants. In that game he allowed one hit and one run in five innings on a very efficient 76 pitches. If we exclude Eduardo Nunez who is dealing with a hamstring injury and unlikely to start, the remaining San Francisco hitters have managed just three hits in 25 at bats against Lackey.
Matt Moore – SFG vs CHC – $7,500 – After dealing with injuries and stamina issues in the second half of the season, Moore was great in his last two starts going 15 2/3 innings with two earned runs, eleven base runners allowed and seventeen strikeouts. Although Chicago has a formidable collection of hitters, they have just one collective at bat against Moore, so he should have surprise on his side the first time or two through the order.
Corey Seager (SS) – LAD vs WAS – $4,200 – The Nationals are being cagey about naming their starting pitcher, but it will almost assuredly be a righty. Seager has homeruns against RHPs Max Scherzer and Tanner Roark so far in this series, and it would not be a shock to see him get a third against either RHP Joe Ross Jr. or RHP Reynaldo Lopez in this must win game.
Kris Bryant (3B/OF) – CHC at SFG – $4,300 – This is the most difficult hitting environment in baseball, however, Bryant was phenomenal against southpaws this season with a .438 wOBA and an absurd .330 ISO buoyed by 14 home runs and nine doubles in 156 at bats against lefties.
Anthony Rizzo (1B) – CHC at SFG – $3,800 – Do not shy away from Rizzo in this lefty/lefty matchup with LHP Matt Moore. During the regular season, Rizzo excelled against same-handed pitchers with a .362 wOBA and a .210 ISO.
Jayson Werth (OF) – WAS at LAD – $3,900 – This season against southpaws, Werth tallied a .432 wOBA and a .300 ISO in 141 plate appearances. While we do not know for certain who the starter will be between Clayton Kershaw (who is going on three days of rest) or rookie Julio Urias, they are both lefties, leaving Werth in good position. Werth is hitting .417 this series with five hits in twelve at bats including two doubles and a home run. He is the Nationals heart and soul and will be ready with his steady veteran presence.
Danny Espinosa (SS) – WAS at LAD – $3,200 – While he is hitless in seven at bats this series, Danny Espinosa has been hit by three pitches which count the same as a walk and are just one DraftKings point less than a single. If he connects against the Dodgers’ southpaw this afternoon, there is a good chance it will be for extra bases with his .260 ISO versus lefties this season.
Dexter Fowler (OF) – CHC at SFG – $3,900 – Once again, pricing really does not matter today, however, this is a value spot for Fowler who is “under-the-radar” with his switch-hitting abilities and speed in a game where EVERYTHING COUNTS! He is better against lefties with a .380 wOBA and a 0.880 OPS across 144 plate appearances and he is somehow still being overlooked by gamers even with the small post-season player pool.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is emac) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.