Wei-Yen Chen vs. HOU ($8,200) (1:35) – Chen would normally have an even better chance of earning the win against Houston, but Keuchel has obviously also been throwing great. But the four runs Chen gave up last time out in seven innings were the most on the year, so he is keeping his team (and your fantasy team) in it virtually every time out.
Jake Odorizzi vs. SEA ($8,000) (7:10) – He’s gone at least six innings every time out, and has maintained an average of more than five K’s per outing. That alone is enough for a decent fantasy outing, and he’s got a solid chance for the W tomorrow against this team as well.
Tsuyoshi Wada vs. WAS ($7,600) (2:20) – I get the feeling that eventually – and maybe sooner rather than later – we are going to be talking about Wada in the stud category. He struck out nine in 4 and 2/3 in his first outing of the year last week.
Bartolo Colon vs. PHI ($7,200) (1:10) – It’s a stretch, I know. He has struggled his last three outings, including one against the Phillies. But still, the matchup has something to do with it. Colon might be prine to a mistake pitch here and there, but he can eat up enough innings to be valuable, especially if he can put himself in line for the W.
Russell Martin vs. Hector Noesi ($4,400) (7:07) – Noesi is an easy target, and Martin is a rare bright spot at the catcher position, so putting two and two together here was easy.
Stephen Vogt vs. Shane Greene ($4,000) (4:05) – Vogt has been a rare bright spot at the catcher position all season long, and while his numbers seem to indicate that his production is beginning to normalize, he is still one of the best hitters for his position in the game, and his price tag doesn’t make him unattainable.
Wilin Rosario @ Jason Marquis ($3,800) (1:10) – Marquis hasn’t had a good start in a month, and the Rockies will look to capitalize on that fact even if they aren’t in Coors Field. Rosario manages to produce most often when the team as a whole is looking good, so hopefully he will be a beneficiary.
Yadier Molina vs. Chase Anderson ($3,700) (4:15) – I really like Anderson lately, but this is obviously not a great matchup for him, and Molina is a big part of that.
Joey Votto vs. Eddie Butler ($4,800) (1:10) – Votto’s power has dropped off in May, but he is getting on base and creating offense for his real-life baseball team, and eventually, that usually reflects itself in fantasy as well.
Adrian Gonzalez vs. Williams Perez ($4,600) (*8:10) – Gonzalez has cooled off somewhat, but since if he didn’t, he would have ended up with the best hitting season of all time, you probably expected that. But this matchup with Perez is juicy, and he is still slugging well over .600 on the season, so obviously he knows how to take advantage of a good matchup.
Billy Butler vs. Shane Greene ($3,700) (4:15) – He’s hitting .50 points higher over the past two weeks than his season average, getting on base more, slugging at a higher rate, and somehow averaging fewer fantasy points. No sense made at all? His teammates are reverting. But he is still raking, so the value remains.
Chris Colabello vs. Hector Noesi ($3,400) (7:07) – Hammering Noesi is an easy play for fantasy owners tomorrow. Because, apparently, it is easy for major league hitters, too. Zing!
Jason Kipnis vs. Phil Klein ($5,100) (4:10) – Last time I wrote this column, I wrote that Kipnis reminded me of NBA Jam right now. Well, he’s still on fire. Five hits in his last two games is just a continuation of everything he’s been doing all month.
Dee Gordon @ Charlie Morton ($4,800) (7:05) – Gordon’s speed is difference-making. The problem is, he doesn’t do it every night. Thankfully, he’s also hitting almost .380. Yes, .380. So, the steals make him more valuable to a yearly league than to DFS – but what the speed does in DFS is no different than power. It gives him 30 point upside, the same way someone with 2 HR-in-a-game potential has upside, even thought he obviously doesn’t hit even one home run on most days. To break it down: hitting .380 = consistency; 4 steals in a game = upside. Consistent, with upside. Good enough for me.
Justin Turner vs. Williams Perez ($3,800) (8:10) – If you told me that I could draft a second baseman who hits .288 with five HRs, 17 RBI and 12 runs scored, slugging .550, I would have told you he definitely cost more than $3,800. And after I paid more for him, I would have looked and seen that his recent numbers were even better than that, and I would sat there quietly, hoping no one noticed the mistake, like when someone gives you too much change at the register.
Odubel Harrera @ Bartolo Colon ($3,100) (1:10) – Herrera has hit safely in seven of eight games, and he is facing a pitcher in Colon who will allow him to make contact. At this price, he doesn’t have to do a lot to be a value.
Miguel Cabrera @ Jesse Hahn ($5,600) (4:05) – I am sticking him in here because there were more first basemen I liked than third basemen, but that choices is yours. He is good enough to fill either role, so whichever works better with your other choices will be just fine.
Josh Donaldson vs. Hector Noesi ($4,700) (7:07) – He had a double and a run scored Saturday night, for his fourth double in his last ten games. He has nine total hits over that span. This is what people are calling a slump, which just goes to show how good he is.
Xander Bogaerts @ Ricky Nolasco ($3,700) (2:10) – Nolasco doesn’t exactly strike fear into your heart, and Bogaerts has been hot, hitting safely in seven straight games, and getting bumped up to fifth in the order. Now all he needs is the rest of the offense to get clicking along with him and he could start seeing some serious run production.
David Freese vs. Tyson Ross ($3,500) (9:05) – Three home runs in his last nine games gets him to eight on the season, and gets his slugging % up over .430. I feel like that usually costs more than $3,500.
Troy Tulowitzki @ Jason Marquis ($4,600) – If Tulowitzki gets traded, his fantasy value takes a hit no matter where he goes, right? Well, the Rockies know that, too, obviously. But if there was ever a road matchup where he ends up looking really good, it’s with Marquis. Maybe he gets traded tomorrow.
Jimmy Rollins @ Williams Perez ($3,900) (8:10) – You know the position you’re looking at it tough to fill when three of the top eight most expensive guys on the list aren’t even in the majors. Rollins, at least, plays in the big leagues, which is good, since AAA stats don’t count for fantasy – too bad. If you want to me more encouraged than that, he is hitting .280/.335/.410 over the past ten days, all much better than his season averages.
Starlin Castro vs. Tanner Roark ($3,900) (2:20) – As mentioned above, the standards are just lower for positions like SS and C. A player who consistently slugs .350 or so costs about $500-$1,000 less at other positions, and you maybe haven’t heard of them, since they’re probably on the bad side of a platoon. But the Cubs are psyched about Castro, and rightfully so. And honestly, you should be too: he has zero fantasy points only once in his last ten games, with a high of 21 – that’s consistency with upside for a SS.
Erick Aybar vs. Tyson Ross ($3,600) (9:05) – Aybar is hitting over .300 and slugging over .450 for the past two weeks, with four extra base hits over that span. Obviously, those numbers aren’t going to keep up – he would have done it before this season if he was going to, I think, so what does that mean? It means in your yearly league you might be exploring a trade, and in DFS, you might just decide to try to ride a hot streak.
Michael Brantley vs. Phil Klein ($5,200) (4:10) – Yeah, Brantley is definitely a stud. That’s the right word. Only four home runs, but also 15 doubles. Hitting .319, getting on base at almost a .400 clip, and tacking on seven steals – he’s producing real value for the Indians (20 runs scored, 26 RBI), and it is translating into production for your fantasy team, which is exactly how it is supposed to work.
Ryan Braun vs. Tim Lincecum ($5,100) (2:10) – Is this an appropriate spot to make a crack about what could explain Braun’s power returning? Does anyone in the league office notice five home runs in ten days? Does he start trying to hit doubles to stay under the radar?
Alex Gordon @ Nathan Eovaldi ($4,500) (1:05) – Over the past couple of weeks, he is slugging over .700 with an OPS over one, and correspondingly, his price is increasing. He hasn’t been showing the speed he demonstrated last year, but he is still a valuable fantasy commodity with five home runs and twenty-three RBI.
Joc Pederson @ Williams Perez ($4,400) (8:10) – Williams Perez was another one of those matchups that it was easy to pick on for today. He’s one of those deceiving pitchers who is slightly more valuable for fantasy than he is for real life, because of the K’s, so you could overestimate his effectiveness if you don’t look too closely. But he’s given up 24 hits in just under 20 innings of work, which could help Pederson get back on track.
Adam Eaton @ Drew Hutchinson ($4,000) (7:07) – He’s hit safely in 12 of 13 games, he’s got two extra base hits in his last five, and he’s facing Hutchinson, which was enough for me to recommend lesser hitters elsewhere in this column. He’s brought his average up 15 points over the past couple of weeks, which could be taken two ways: on the one hand, he’s hot, but on the other, he is still hitting under .240. And to that I say, there are two types of fantasy: the types where hitting .237 over the course of a season matters, and the type where the only thing that matters is tonight.
Delino Deshields @ Shaun Marcum ($3,900) (4:10) – With no home runs, it’s easy to overlook him, but the eleven steals go a long way towards making up for the lack of power. At least until Hamilton returns, he should at least be a consideration every single day.
Nick Castellanos @ Jesse Hahn ($3,700) (4:05) – He doesn’t have a lot of upside. If consistency plus upside is the goal, what happens when one of them is missing? If consistency is missing, and a guy is all upside, think GPP. If the upside is missing, but a guy seems to still be producing, think 50/50. A player who gets you something almost every night carries some value.
David Murphy @ Phil Klein ($3,400) (4:10) – He continues to rake against righties, and the Indians have shown a willingness to take advantage of that and not try to make him do things he doesn’t do as well. Like, you know, hit lefties. Klein throws right-handed, in case you were wondering, and if you need some stats to back up what I am saying about his ability to hit southpaws, just look at his season stats (he is only 0-for-1 against righties). The only issue here would be if the converted reliever can’t get deep enough into the game, Murphy might end up seeing a lefty specialist that either neutralizes his effectiveness or gets him pulled early.
Happy Memorial Day!