Monday has a surprisingly solid slate of games as 22 teams take the field including some potentially high-scoring action in Colorado, two of the best pitchers in the game going in Kershaw and King Felix, and the red hot Houston Astros in a prime matchup with the lefty Ross Detwiler. Let’s take a look at some of the players to target tonight!
There are serious weather concerns in the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies game tonight. Be sure to track the weather here.
Madison Bumgarner vs. SDP ($10,400) – On a night where both Kershaw and Felix take the bump, I’m giving the slight edge to Bumgarner at home against the Padres. Truthfully, none of the three have great matchups but I much prefer Bumgarner at home to Kershaw and Felix on the road against quality opponents. Kershaw is definitely right there as well, but given the Park effects in Milwaukee and the right-hand heavy offense, I still think Bumgarner is the right option of the three.
Dallas Keuchel vs. TEX ($8,000) – Keuchel has tallied 25+ fantasy points in three consecutive starts. That’s right. Dallas Keuchel has thrown 23 IP in his last three starts with just 1 ER allowed, 7 hits allowed and 15 strikeouts. Add in that the Houston is the heaviest favorite of the day at -190 and Keuchel is in a terrific spot against the Rangers. Just wanted to repeat this, because it may never happen again, but HOUSTON IS THE BIGGEST FAVORITE OF THE DAY
Clay Buchholz vs. TBR ($6800) – Clay has had some really bad starts this season. But sandwiched in there are a couple of gems including a 35.4 FP performance on Opening Day and a 27.5 FP performance two starts back. He’s the definition of boom or bust, and even the most die-hard Red Sox fans will admit that you can’t predict when he’s going to bring his A-game, but the matchup is solid against a mediocre Rays offense and he makes for a nice, cheap tournament option.
Evan Gattis vs. Detwiler ($4800) – Gattis has been on an absolute tear of late, earning his most expensive Catcher spot on DraftKings. With 61 fantasy points in his last 3 games combined, Gattis is the definition of scorching hot. Now he gets a juicy matchup with left-hander Ross Detwiler? Lock it in. He can fit into a Catcher or Outfield spot, making it relatively easy to plug him into lineups.
Stephen Vogt vs. Hughes ($3400) – Vogt has provided positive fantasy points in each of his last 10 games, a tough feat on DraftKings. Yesterday he hit a pair of home runs and has a very reasonable price tag at $3400. He has the left/right matchup working in his favor against a fly-ball-friendly pitcher in Phil Hughes.
Paul Goldschmidt vs. Matzek ($5700) – Goldschmidt in Coors Field against Tyler Matzek (a left-hander) is a dream situation. With a 1.048 OPS against lefties over the last three years, it’s a good idea to take a chance on Goldie against any LHP. The Coors factor is another obvious boost, but the nail in the coffin is the .848 OPS allowed by Tyler Matzek to right-handed bats. He might be the #1 overall play today.
Edwin Encarnacion vs. Whitley ($5100) – The Blue Jays have one of the best O/Us of the day and Encarnacion is the perfect contrarian play if you’re going to fade the Goldschmidt train. Encarnacion mashes at home (.934 OPS over last three years) and has always hit right-handed pitching well (.904 OPS over last three years). Whitley is a mediocre SP at best and Encarnacion should be able to get to him, along with the rest of this Toronto offense.
Darin Ruf vs. Wood ($3000) – Ruf is a real risky play since this game isn’t expected to be high-scoring and Wood doesn’t struggle a ton against right-handed bats. But there are a couple of factors working in his favor tonight. Wood’s swinging strike rate is way down this year, meaning he’s just not getting a lot of misses on his pitches. Ruf also mashes left handed pitching with a .900+ OPS over the last couple of years.
Devon Travis vs. Whitley ($4000) – Travis is another Blue Jay I really like tonight as he continues to impress at the big league level. Now with 31 fantasy points in his last two games and 7 10+ fantasy point efforts in his last 10 games, he’s a must-consider play almost every night. The matchup is sound and he gets the Park boost of playing at the Rogers Center in Toronto.
Alberto Callaspo vs. Harang ($2700) – There aren’t a ton of value 2Bs tonight but Callaspo could fit the bill. He’s been hitting high up in the order and gets a matchup with Aaron Harang who has a .747 OPS allowed against left-handed hitters.
Pablo Sandoval vs. Odorizzi ($4800) – Sandoval has quietly turned it on of late, hitting 2 HR and 5 XBH over his last 10 games. He’s now hitting .326 on the season yet is still flying under the radar for daily fantasy. He has a nice matchup with Jake Odorizzi tonight, who has a sneaky bad 49.2% Fly-Ball rate against left handed hitters over the last two years. That doesn’t bode well in Fenway.
Kelly Johnson vs. Harang ($3800) – 5 10+ fantasy point efforts over his last 10 games and yet he’s still just $3800 on DK. Johnson has always been a decent hitter, but lately he’s been in a nice groove and he now draws Aaron Harang, whose .747 OPS allowed to lefties is the third worst OPS-against on the board today. Johnson could offer some nice salary relief with the stud pitchers and Rockies/Dbacks game today.
Troy Tulowitzki vs. Collmenter ($5600) – It’s hard not to recommend Tulowitzki at home, especially against a mediocre pitcher in Collmenter. Collmenter does have good numbers against RHBs, but the Coors factor has taken better pitchers than Josh Collmenter for a ride. Tulo mashes at home, boasting a 1.046 OPS there over the last three seasons.
Marwin Gonzalez vs. Detwiler ($3000) – Marwin is in a great spot against the left-handed Detwiler on Monday night. He jumped all the way to 2nd in the order on Sunday, and should be there again on Monday. Detwiler also boasts an .848 OPS allowed to right handed bats, the side which Marwin hits better from to begin with. If you’re looking to save from Tulo, consider Marwin on Monday.
Mark Trumbo vs. Matzek ($4800) – Trumbo is the other D-Back worth getting into your lineups tonight (not that any of the Dbacks will be bad plays in Coors). He mashes left-handed pitching with terrific power numbers, something that really gets a boost in the altitude of Coors Field. And he has that same juicy matchup with Tyler Matzek and his .848 OPS allowed to right handed bats.
Corey Dickerson vs. Collmenter ($5000) – Dickerson is the most expensive of the Rockies outfielders today but he’s worth it because, in my opinion, he has the most pop of any of the three (Blackmon and Carlos Gonzalez being the others). Left handed bats are the way to get after opposing SP Josh Collmenter, as he’s allowed a .741 OPS to lefties over the last three seasons.
Chris Carter vs. Detwiler ($4800) – Carter is hitting .159 this season. But his home runs always come in bunches and he went deep yesterday plus now has a juicy matchup at home against Ross Detwiler. I love the Astros stack again tonight, and Carter should be right in the heart of that lineup along with Springer, Gattis, Gonzalez, Altuve etc.
Kyle Blanks vs. Keuchel ($3600) – I do really like Keuchel tonight, but that doesn’t mean I can’t also appreciate how much Blanks mashes left-handed pitching. He has an .843 OPS against left-handed pitching over the last three seasons including a monster game on Saturday night against a lefty (Pomeranz for Oakland).
Other Options: Seth Smith ($3500), Chris Coghlan ($3100)