With every team in action, Tuesday is a very deep slate for baseball. Therefore, a great day for DFS action with so many ways to go with it. Here are some players to target, at every position and price range:
Madison Bumgarner vs. Milwaukee Brewers ($9600) – Bumgarner gets a good matchup here against a team that struggles with left-handed pitching. The Brewers are batting .200 with a .251 OBP vs. LHP which is the worst in the MLB. They have a strikeout rate of 26.8% and are 8th worst in runs scored. Bumgarner has 52 strikeouts in 57 innings of work so far. His ERA is 2.84 and his WHIP is 1.14. He is a big favorite at -150 in a game with only 7.5 runs expected. His price is a slight discount to the top 3 options, and his upside is every bit as good. I think he flies under the radar with everyone paying up for Degrom, Kershaw, and Price as well, so he comes in lower owned with huge upside.
JA Happ vs. Tampa Bay ($7200) – Happ gets a Tampa Bay team that currently sports a 26.7% K-rate against left-handed pitchers. They are not horrid as they do have a .260 batting average which ties them for 15th, squarely in the middle of the league. Happ had a bad start last out in a game that featured some rain and caused some delays. He only pitched two innings, allowing 4 runs and being done early. If you scratch that start off the list, he is averaging 21 DK points over his previous five. In that time frame he had three scores of 21 or better which would return three points per thousand of cost here. He is a slight dog at +100 in a game with a total run line of only seven. Should help to keep ownership low in a solid matchup. Tampa Bay strikes out a lot and Happ tends to return value when his strikeouts are high, so this all fits together.
Russell Martin vs. Chicago White Sox ($4300) – Martin has been batting cleanup for the Blue Jays and has a perfect matchup in this one. He faces John Danks who struggles with right-handed bats. Danks has allowed righties to hit .300 against him with 7 homeruns in 30 innings in 2015. in 2014 he let them hit .275 with 22 homers in 143 innings and in 2013 it was .270 with 20 homers in 102 innings. He pitches in the Rogers Centre tomorrow which is the statistically the best hitter’s park in the American league as well, so you really could not ask for a better setup for Martin. His price is high, but he’s one of the few catchers with that kind of lineup placement, so it is justified for cash and tournaments.
Derek Norris vs. Matt Shoemaker ($3300) – If you are looking to go cheaper and a little more off the board, Norris could be a sneaky good play. He gets a park bump leaving Petco, bats high up in the order, and faces a pitcher in Shoemaker who has been very homer prone. He has given up 13 already in only 44 innings of work in 2015. Right-handed bats are doing most of the damage too, with a .292 average and 7 of those homeruns. Norris provides salary relief, and has upside to rival Martin today. He is better against left-handed pitching, so it’s not as safe, but the upside is there for a tournament play.
Jose Abreu vs. Toronto Blue Jays ($4900) – Staying up in that hitter’s park called the Rogers Centre seems to be a good idea for first base as well. Whether or not you area fan of BvP, it does mean something when you are talking about a knuckleballer. There’s very few comparables or numbers that hold validity in a matchup with RA Dickey, so it’s even more important to look at BvP here. Last season Dickey pitched against the White Sox and Abreu was two for three with two homeruns. That alone is not a reason to use him, but when you look at Dickey’s numbers and see he is struggling with right-handed power bats, than it all fits together nicely.
Ben Paulsen vs. Cincinnati Reds ($3500) – Paulsen has stepped in for Justin Morneau and played the role of left-handed hitting first baseman in the middle of that order better than his elder. Paulsen has hits in seven of his first eight appearances. Three of those have been multi-hit games as well. He hit cleanup in Monday’s game, so you can not ask for a better price on a hitter in the meat of the order. He gets the rookie Lorenzen on Tuesday who has allowed 4 homeruns in 18 innings with a .370 to left-handers in his limited MLB experience. It’s a great matchup and a great price for the young Rockies slugger.
Brandon Phillips vs. Colorado Rockies ($3900) – Phillips has been batting leadoff for the Reds recently, and his average is hovering right around .300. So far in 2015 he is hitting .343 against left-handed pitching, so it’s his preferred split. De La Rosa has allowed a WHIP to right-handed batters of 1.46, 1.30, and 1.64 in the last three years. Phillips gets to face him in the Great American Ballpark which is not as hitter’s friendly as Coors, but is one of the better places to hit in the national league. Phillips is also a discount to the top priced guys, so he helps make room for the top priced pitching we have Tuesday.
Danny Valencia vs. Chicago White Sox ($3100) – We already discussed the numbers on Danks with Russ Martin, but the same concept will apply here. Danks is horrible against right0handed bats, especially those with power, and pitches in one of the friendliest parks for hitters. Valencia has always hit left-handed pitching well and he currently sports a .455 batting average this year against southpaws in 33 at-bats. He usually hits in the five hole against lefties, so he should be right behind Russ Martin and a group of other right-handed bats looking to beat up on Danks. You will be hard pressed to find a better combination of price, matchup, and lineup placement today at any position.
Josh Donaldson vs. Chicago White Sox ($4600) – Donaldson vs. a lefty in the Rogers Centre has been money all year. Donaldson vs. lefties period has been money his whole career. When that lefty really struggles against right-handed power bats, it becomes almost a must play for cash games. He has the highest likelihood of a homerun tomorrow of any matchup. His price is actually a discount to what he was a week ago in a spot just like this one. He will likely be somewhere near the top of the order and his .444 batting average with 3 homeruns against southpaws has a good chance of increasing.
Evan Longoria vs. Seattle Mariners ($4100) – JA Happ has been real solid this season, but historically he has the most trouble with right-handed bats. Happ gets a negative park switch here and while the whole of that Tampa lineup is weak, Longoria is an exception against left-handed pitching. In 2013, he hit .301 against them. He followed that up with a .273 last season in a down year for him. This year he is currently sitting at .375 against southpaws. Longoria is starting to heat up too, with hits in eight straight games. As much as I like Happ today, he would be smart to pitch around Longoria and attack the rest of that lineup.
Brad Miller vs. Tampa Bay ($3300) – There is no STUD listed at this position today, because we all want to pay up for pitching and need to save somewhere. Miller has been batting second for the Mariner’s when he is not leading off now. In the two hole, he has the same chances for the big bats to drive him in, but he also gets a few more RBI opportunities himself. He faces the Tamp Rookie Colome in this one, and while it is a small sample size for him, he has struggled with left-handed bats. Miller is an outfielder right now, but still SS eligible. There’s very few guys that bat this highly and are this cheap in a good matchup.
Justin Upton vs. Los Angeles Angels ($4400) – Upton gets the same matchup as discussed with Derrick Norris against Matt Shoemaker. Shoemaker struggles with right handed-bats and big tie with the homerun ball. He has allowed 13 of them in 44 innings of work so far, including multiple homers in five of his eight starts so far. Upton is hitting .293 with 11 homers in 140 at-bats against right-handed pitching. He does get a park bump here, but Los Angeles is still not a great place to hit, or he would be above Donaldson for the highest homerun potential. Still I think there’s an above average chance with Shoemaker on the mound that he does get a hold of one. He is also kind of cheap for a stud due to the handedness, but remember that Shoe has allowed righties to hit him for a higher average and just as many homers or more.
Michael Brantley vs. Texas Rangers ($5200) – Brantley faces Wandy Rodriguez who has been a revelation recently. In fact he only has one bad start in his last five, but it was against this Texas team. Brantley had 30 DK points that day in a L/L matchup, but the numbers show he does hit lefties well. He hit .307 against them last season and is currently at .345 this season. Brantley will likely be back to third in that order and looks to be ok after getting banged up and missing a game earlier in the week.
George Springer vs. Baltimore Orioles ($4700) – Baltimore is a great pace to hit and Springer has a good matchup to do so against Chris Tillman. Tillman has allowed six homeruns in 40 innings of action, with five going to right-handed hitters. He allowed 21 last year and 33 the year before, so there’s a trend there. Springer has been leading off recently too, and as the road team the will get a full nine times up, so he should get an extra opportunity in that spot. He also has Jose Altuve protecting him, so teams do not want to walk him. He homered and had three hits on Monday, so he is now averaging almost 12 per game with at least 10 fantasy points in five of his last six contests.
Chris Colabello vs. Chicago White Sox ($3400) – If it seems like the Blue Jays are mentioned a lot, it’s because this matchup with Danks is perfect for them. Colabello is eight for nineteen with two homeruns so far against left-handed pitching and will likely bat third to sixth in a righty heavy lineup that should do some damage tomorrow. He has been collecting hits and driving in runs, so this price is a gift if you need a cost saver with how good the matchup is.