Felix Hernandez vs. Boston Red Sox ($11,600) – The King will be holding court in his home ballpark against the Red Sox today. He has been unreal at home so far this season. In four starts, he is 4-0 with an ERA of 1.20 and a WHIP of only 0.60. He has 37 strikeouts in 30 innings of work and a BAA of only .137. He faces a Boston team that has struggled to score runs lately. He gets them in a pitcher friendly park and is a large -170 favorite in a game with a 6.5 run line. Lots to like again here with King Felix.
Archie Bradley vs. Philadelphia Phillies ($6600) – Bradley took a ball off the face in his last start, which is why it only lasted 1.1 innings. He had been pitching well earlier in the year, so his price here seems a little low to me. The Phillies have one of the weaker offenses in MLB. They are dead last in runs scored vs. right-handed pitching, have the worst batting average, and strikeout at a 21.5% clip. Bradley has pitched 20 innings with an ERA of 1.20, a WHIP of 1, and 14 strikeouts. Those numbers are not elite for upside, but he is a very solid, safe option at his price today.
Evan Gattis vs. Toronto Blue Jays ($3600) – This is a high risk, high reward play today. Marco Estrada has been know to give up quite a few homerun balls. Evan Gattis has a ton of power, but a problem making contact sometimes. He has a great chance to hit a homerun in a positive matchup in a good hitter’s park against a homerun prone pitcher to either handedness of batter. Yet, he has been in spots like this before and gone 0 for 4 with a handful of strikeouts, so that is where the risk comes in.Still, they are expected to score some runs and Gattis should be batting in the clean up spot again today, so he will have a chance to produce.
Sal Perez ($3300) – Catchers all have tough matchups today above Perez. Either they face stud pitchers, have the wrong splits, or are in bad hitters parks. Perez gets a matchup with CC Sabathia, who has struggled with right-handed batters for the last few years. CC is no longer the pitcher he once was and a team that is patient and puts the ball in play like the Royals should be able to do some damage against him. Perez bats in the 6 hole, so it’s not the greatest lineup placement, but it is workable at his price of only $3300. He has hits in three straight games and five of his last seven. If some runners get on in front of him, he should see a few RBI opportunities today as well. With CC having a high WHIP, it makes a lot of sense to expect that.
Paul Goldschmidt vs. Philadelphia Phillies ($5500) – Goldy has been on a tear and gets a good matchup against a weak Jerome Williams in a great hitters park in Philadelphia. Goldy has scored at least 8 DK points in seven of his last nine games and is averaging 12.88 points per game over this stretch. In one third of those games he has also scored at least 23 points, so he is hot, has a good matchup, and should be in line for a high fantasy score.
Joey Votto vs. San Fransisco Giants ($4400) – Votto is a very solid consistent contributor. He has at least 6 DK points in his last four games. He gets a great matchup with Ryan Vogelsong today. Vogelsong is affectionately dubbed VogelDong by the DFS community for his ability to give up homers. He is weak against left-handed batters and Votto is one of the best in MLB. This game is in the hitter friendly Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati, and Votto should be in his usual 3 spot in the lineup with a chance to do some damage.
Ian Kinsler vs. St. Louis Cardinals ($4500) – Kinsler has been consistent with at least 5 DK points in all of his last ten games. He has flashed upside as well with four games in double digits over his last 8. He is averaging 9.1 fantasy points over his last ten, which makes him a great value play at his price for cash. Against a weak lefty like Lyons, he also has his preferred splits. Therefore he is a good play for both cash and GPP action today. He should remain in his normal two hole, in front of the big bats of Miggy, the Martinez’s, and Cespedes. There’s a lot to like from Kinsler today.
Devon Travis vs. Houston Astros ($3400) – He has cooled off since the early part of the season, but he is still atop that Blue Jays order which gives him a lot of potential for a big game. Travis can grab a few hits, score a few runs, and even steal a base or hit a homer. He has multiple ways to score fantasy points and a solid matchup in a good hitters park today. He faces Scott Feldman who has not been horrible lately, but has never been a big upside guy.
Miguel Cabrera vs. St. Louis Cardinals ($5300) – The demise of Miggy might have been a little premature. Even though he has started slow, he is starting to catch fire now. He has 63 DraftKings points in his last two games and gets a matchup today with a young left-handed pitcher he should be able to tee off on. Miggy has seven hits in his last thirteen at-bats including three homeruns, so yeah he is seeing the ball well right now. no sense fighting the trend here, as long as he remains hot and in good spots, you have to consider finding a way to get him in your lineup.
Luis Valbuena vs. Toronto Blue Jays ($3800) – Valbuena is much better against right-handed pitching. He has 6 of his 7 homers against righties this year, and is a great source of power for that Astros lineup against them. He too gets Estrada today and the high homerun rate. A high homerun pitcher against a guy with the right splits and a high number of homers against righties, in a homerun park, definitely sounds like a recipe for success. Throw in the cheap price and placement in the 2 or 3 hole of that lineup and it all makes sense today.
Marcus Semein vs. Chicago White Sox ($4300) – Semein bats in the two hole when the Athletics face a left-handed pitcher. Today they get John Danks, who has an ERA over 5 and a WHIP close to 1.50. Semein has been red hot with double digit points in four of his last six games. In three of those six he has been over 20 DK points which is an insane return for a price of only $4300. He has good lineup placement, the right splits, and a matchup with a weak pitcher. All signs point to a positive game for him today.
Erick Aybar vs. Baltimore Orioles ($3600) – The Shortstop position is slim pickings these days, and with tough matchups for the studs like Tulo and Hanley, it may be wiser to look for a cheaper option for some value. Aybar has been hitting in the five hole for the struggling Angels offense and gets a good matchup with Bud Norris today. While it’s not ideal, you are hard pressed to find a guy who has any upside at the position, and Aybar had a few hits yesterday and is an RBI spot, which most Shortstops are not. He has six straight games with a hit and three straight games scoring double digit fantasy points, so he has been producing.
Giancarlo Stanton vs. Atlanta Braves ($4600) – Stanton seems way too cheap today considering he gets to hit against a left-handed pitcher, which is his preferred split. He is fresh off a two homer game and now has 3 homeruns in his last 11 ABs. The fear for me is he gets pitched around all day, because outside of Stanton, there’s not much else in that lineup to fear. Even so, at only $4600, he seems to cheap to ignore.
Billy Hamilton vs. San Fransisco Giants ($4200) – Vogelsong has allowed 20 hits in 11 innings of work on the road this year. He is weak against left-handed batters. Hamilton has been heating up with 5 hits in his last four games. When Hamilton gets on base, Hamilton looks to run. A single, Stolen Base, and run scored returns 10 DraftKings points and given the high number of hits Vogelsong allows and the probability of Hamilton getting on base, there’s a big chance this happens today.
Kole Calhoun vs. Baltimore Orioles ($4200) – Calhoun is a big left-handed stick atop that struggling Angels order. He does his best work against weak right-handed pitchers and gets one today in Bud Norris. Calhoun has some pop in his bat, which should play well in Camden Yards which is historically friendly for left-handed homerun hitters. He also has some speed and the ability to pick up multiple hits leading off for the Halos. His price here is very manageable and he fits nicely into your lineup without taxing your available salary too much.
David Peralta vs. Philadelphia Phillies ($4000) – Jerome Williams struggles against left-handed bats. Phillies Citizen Bank park is a hitter friendly place, and Williams has been giving up a lot of hits. Peralta tends to bat fourth against right-handed pitching and has been producing. He has scored double digits in five of his last nine games. He is not too expensive, and makes a nice option for salary savings with upside in tact.