Jose Fernandez – MIA vs WAS – $11,700 – I have a couple of thoughts for this one. Both of these teams are coming off a double header last night, so it makes me wonder if we’ll see the Nationals “B” team take the field today. If that’s the case, I’ll love Fernandez even more. The Nationals land right around the league average in strikeouts against right-handed pitchers with a 19.6 K%. Fernandez has been mowing people down at an alarming rate with his 12.8 K/9. The only gripe here is the BB/9 that Fernandez owns at this point, at 4.4. The Nationals currently rank sixth in BB% at 9.6 so that could spell trouble. However, I’m hoping for that less than stellar Nationals lineup which would boost the chances of a solid game for Fernanez.
Kevin Gausman – BAL vs. DET – $8,100 – I don’t love a lot of the match ups for any of the highed price pitchers on this slate, so Gausman at $8,100 will easily slide in as a stud for today. He’s been solid in his four starts for the Orioles this season, averaging 19.4 FPPG and owning a K/9 of 8.2. Facing a Tigers team that is ranked fifth in K% against righties and and 13th in wOBA, Gausman could be a great way to save some salary and still come out with an excellent game.
Joe Ross – WAS vs. MIA – $7,300 – As I mentioned with Fernandez, Ross has a very good chance of facing the “B” team for the Marlins today as they come off their double header from yesterday. Ross was solid in his first start of the season, which came against this Marlins team. In that start, Ross scored 23.6 points going seven innings allowing one run on five hits with a 5:2 K:BB ratio. At $7,300, he feels like a steal on this slate and can most certainly help you pay up for some of the heavy bats on the day.
Dan Straily – CIN vs PHI – $5,200 – Straily hasn’t been dominating hitters to this point, but at $5,200 and taking on a team that is ranked 28th in wOBA against right-handed pitchers, this could be a great value on the day. Straily is only averaging 11.4 FPPG, but he also owns a 7.4 K/9 in five starts this season. The Phillies rank 13th in the league in K% at 21.1, which once again could really add some value to Straily today. I don’t expect him to go out and score 25 points, but 15 sounds reasonable and at this price, more than welcome.
Josh Donaldson (3B) – TOR vs TEX – $5,500 – Donaldson against a lefty. Need I say more? Cesar Ramos is drawing the start for the Rangers today as Cole Hamels nurses a groin injury. On the season, Donaldson owns an insane .528 wOBA with an ISO of .371. Even with the majority of his power coming against right-handed pitching, Donaldson should be worth grabbing today in this plus matchup.
Editor’s Note: Ortiz is not in the lineup today for the Red Sox.
David Ortiz (1B) – BOS vs. HOU – $5,300 – Ortiz is about as locked in as any human can be. He comes into this afternoon batting .320 with 10 home runs, 33 RBIs, and a 1.100 OPS. He faces off against right-handed pitcher Chris Devenski, who is pitching in his first year in the majors. Ortiz owns a .478 wOBA against righties this season with an ISO of .420. With nine of his ten home runs from righties, Ortiz is in a prime spot here today in the highest projected run total of the day.
Nelson Cruz (OF) – SEA vs. LAA – $4,800 – Cruz against a left-handed pitcher is always a matchup I jump on. Cruz has ALWAYS crushed lefties and today should be no different. Facing off against Hector Santiago, Cruz owns a .414 wOBA against lefties with an ISO of .372. Santiago is certainly no stranger to the home run ball, as he allowed 26 of his 29 to right-handed bats last season.
Stephen Piscotty (OF) – STL vs. LAD – $4,100 – Piscotty has been crushing left-handed pitching and facing Alex Wood today should be a great way to continue that trend. Coming into this game, Piscotty owns a .510 wOBA against lefties with a .314 ISO. Wood has been a mess for the majority of the season and owns a career .315 wOBA agianst right-handed bats.
Ryan Braun (OF) – MIL vs. SDP – $4,900 – The only issue here is that it’s not yet known if Braun will start today, as he nurses a sore wrist. If he does, he’s in a prime spot to add onto his very impressive numbers this season. Coming into today, Braun owns a .420 wOBA against right-handed pitchers. He faces off against Cesar Vargas, who in the first year of his MLB career has a .386 wOBA against righties.
Yoenis Cespedes (OF) – NYM vs COL – $5,300 – Paying up for players in Coors Field is always a tall task, but Cespedes should be worth it. He faces off against Tyler Chatwood, who owns a .343 wOBA against right-handed bats this season. It gets even worse at Coors this season, with righties getting him for a .444 wOBA at home. Even with Cespedes hitting lefties better, he still owns a .384 wOBA against righties to this point with an ISO of .337.
Mike Trout (OF) – LAA vs SEA – $4,500 – Trout seems to be back in his comfort zone, as he now averages 9.6 FPPG after a slow start to the season. He has a perceived tough matchup against Felix Hernandez today, but has always had good numbers against him, hitting .368 with a .706 SLG% in 68 at bats. On top of that, Trout owns a .463 wOBA against righties on the road this season.
Jason Castro (CATCH) – HOU vs. BOS – $3,600 – The salaries of the Red Sox and Astros hitters have skyrocketed as of late with their high scoring affairs. However, we can still get some cheap exposure to this game with Jason Castro. Don’t let his overall number fool you; he’s been solid lately averaging 9.8 FPPG over his last 10. Facing Sean O’Sullivan who owns a career .390 wOBA against lefties is the cherry on top.
Brandon Drury (3B/OF) – ARZ vs SFG – $3,100 – I don’t know why Drury doesn’t see a price increase, but I’m not complaining. Eligible at third and the outfield, Drury has a matchup against Matt Cain today who hasn’t exactly been getting out anyone this season. With his .358 wOBA against righties and with a solid .395 wOBA against righties, this would be an excellent salary saver.
Alex Gordon (OF) – KCR vs ATL – $3,600 – Gordon hasn’t been crushing the ball this season, but he can still hit right-handed pitchers at a decent clip. Coming into this matchup against Matt Wisler, Gordon owns a .337 wOBA against righties with an ISO of .178. Wisler has struggled against lefties in his career with a .377 wOBA with a .504 SLG%.
Nomar Mazara (OF) – TEX vs TOR– $3,300 – Mazara faces off against Aaron Sanchez who has always struggled against left-handed bats. Coming into today, Sanchez owns a career .336 wOBA against lefties compared to his .197 against righties. Mazara has been to a nice start in his major league career, owning a .377 wOBA with an ISO of .184. He’s been solid for the Rangers and could be a sneaky play to save some salary.