Tonight’s nine-game main slate includes a matchup between two left-handers in Coors, but I think we have a few viable tournament targets if you’re looking to pivot off the chalk. The best place for last-minute info, other than DK Live of course, is Twitter. Find me there, @RyNoonan. Let’ dig in.
Michael Fulmer – DET vs. LAA – $10,500 – The Angels are a punchless lineup without Mike Trout, who’s missed most of the week with hamstring tightness, and if he’s out again I think Fulmer is head and shoulders above the field tonight. It’s a great ballpark for pitching and while you can make the case that a few other starters have more strikeout upside, Fulmer can still get a K per inning here. His 1.93 DRA shows he’s been even better than his current 2.77 ERA, and his 83 cFIP tells us to expect him to continue his current form.
Other Options – Dallas Keuchel ($11,000), Zack Greinke ($10,800)
J.C. Ramirez – LAA vs. DET – $6,800 – J.C. Ramirez has been a pleasant surprise this season. He’s facing a strong Tigers offense tonight, but if you’re looking for a discounted SP2 in order to fit in some expensive bats you’ll need to consider him. His 10.5% hard-hit rate against so far this season is the ninth-best rate in baseball, and he’s missing enough bats to make him interesting moving forward.
Other Options – Clayton Richard ($4,500)
Buster Posey – SFG vs. CIN – $3,800 – It was a bit of a slow start to the season for Buster Posey, but he’s warming up now with hits in nine of his last 10 starts, including three straight games with a home run. His opponent, Bronson Arroyo, might be the worst pitcher taking the ball every fifth day right now.
Brian McCann – HOU vs. NYY – $3,300 – Brian McCann is familiar with both the short porch in right field and the Yankee pitcher he’s facing tonight, Michael Pineda. We know how Pineda is someone who tortures DFS players with his mesmerizing upside and occasional blowups. When the bad Pineda shows up it usually plays itself out in the form of home runs, making McCann and his Houston teammates viable GPP targets tonight.
Ryan Zimmerman – WAS vs. BAL – $4,900 – The far and away league leader in hard-hit rate takes on a pitcher who’s hard-hit against rate is up nearly 15% in his past two starts? Yes, please. Ryan Zimmerman and his Nationals teammates are a strong pivot if you’re fading Coors Field bats.
Other Options – Chris Davis ($4,300)
Kennys Vargas – MIN vs. CWS – $3,900 – It’s not a huge sample of at-bats, but dating back to the start of 2016, Kennys Vargas has a .514 wOBA and a 231 wRC+ against left-handed pitching. Those are video game numbers. He’s also getting a great park shift for his power too, with this game taking place in Chicago.
Chris Taylor – LAD vs. COL – $4,400 – One of the few bats from this game that’s under $4,500, Chris Taylor will likely be very popular especially is he’s leading off, which he’s done frequently of late against left-handed pitching.
Other Options – Jose Altuve ($4,700)
Jonathan Schoop – BAL vs. WAS – $3,500 – Jonathan Schoop might be my favorite play on the slate. I know that’s a stretch perhaps, but it’s a perfect spot. He’s hitting the ball well lately, with a 44% hard-hit rate, up 17% from his season average, and he’s facing a pitching in A.J. Cole who’s been hit hard and doesn’t miss any bats. I’m planting my flag here: I think Jonathan Schoop will hit a home run tonight.
Manny Machado – BAL vs. WAS – $4,900 – This is doubling down on the Orioles’ bats against A.J. Cole, but Machado obviously isn’t as affordable as the aforementioned Schoop. Machado has also been swinging a hot bat of late, and he’s shown that he’s just as dangerous against right-handed pitching as he is when facing a lefty in his young career.
Other Options – Miguel Sano ($4,400), Nolan Arenado ($5,300)
Eugenio Suarez – CIN vs. SFG – $3,800 – Eugenio Suarez is significantly more dangerous offensively when he’s facing a left-hander, so he’s on the board tonight against Giants’ lefty Ty Blanch. His slugging percentage and isolated power are both about 100 points higher when facing left-handers, and since Blanch has a laughable 2.18 K/9 so far this season, we can feel pretty confident that Suarez will get a handful at-bats to do some damage.
Carlos Correa – HOU vs. NYM – $4,600 – Few hitters in the game are swinging it as well as Carlos Correa is right now. He’s looking to take advantage of Michael Pineda’s propensity for long balls and exploit Yankee Stadium’s favorable environment for hitters. Over the past two weeks he’s not only hitting the ball hard, he’s hitting more fly balls and line drives than he’s seasonal rates.
Zack Cozart – CIN vs. SFG – $3,700 – Similar to his teammate above, Eugenio Suarez, Zack Cozart is in a good spot against Ty Blanch. While it is a fairly terrible ballpark shift for the Reds as a whole, Cozart is very much in play as the Reds’ two-hole hitter on the road. You could do worse in cash games if you’re not using Dodgers or Rockies.
Ian Desmond – COL vs. LAD – $4,800 – In a favorable split against a southpaw, plus his relatively affordable price and multi-position eligibility, I think Ian Desmond could be the highest owned player on the slate. A 5.4 implied-team total certainly helps his cause as well, and I think he’s my favorite Coors Field bat on this slate.
Other Options -Bryce Harper ($5,500)
Robbie Grossman – MIN vs. CWS – $3,700 – With Brian Dozier’s status in the air due to his ankle injury, there’s a chance that Robbie Grossman will hit leadoff for the Twins in this one, on the road in Chicago against Derek Holland. Grossman’s .399 wOBA and .201 ISO against left-handed pitching is too good to pass up on in cash games if he’s leading off.
Other Options – Ben Gamel ($3,600)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is RyanFix) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.