We have an 8 game slate tonight, with a few aces on the mound, but a lot of mid-level starters to sort through. Let’s dive right in!
Max Scherzer – Nationals v. Mets – $13,500 – Scherzer is lights out against right-handed bats, so none of the Mets righties are in play for me. He is coming off a sub par start by his standards, and the last two times he had bad starts, we saw him bounce back with 20 strikeouts against the Tigers and 11 the second time against the Phillies. The Mets are a pretty bad offense right now, so I would not be shocked if he bounces back again with another 35+ fantasy point performance that goes eight innings with double digit strikeouts.
Danny Salazar – Indians v. Braves – $12,200 – Salazar has been really good. His ERA sits at 2.40 and his WHIP is 1.15. He has 99 strikeouts in 85 innings of work, and faces a weak offense in Atlanta that has very little upside. Outside of Freddie Freeman, this is one of the worst power hitting teams in recent memory. Salazar does occasionally struggle with walks, but he rarely gets hit hard. I am more on him for cash games as the Braves perform better against righties and have a low strikeout rate.
Sean Manaea – Athletics v. Giants – $6,100 – The highly touted prospect has not been great in The Show, but I think he is in a good spot here. Manaea has been knocked around by right-handed bats, but the kid is lights out to lefties. The Giants have some injuries and are rolling out a very left-handed heavy lineup lately. Span, Panik, Belt and Crawford are all left-handed and hitting in the top five of the order. After the 24 runs these two teams put up last night, I doubt many venture to use a SP from this game and most people are taking Peavy over Manaea. I think that makes him a great SP2 for tourneys as his matchup is better on paper and the ownership should be incredibly low.
Wade Miley – Mariners v. Pirates – $5,800 – I do not love Miley on the mound, but I love this Pitt team against left-handed pitching even less. Andrew McCutchen is the only guy who profiles well against lefties, and he is slumping right now. Miley does have some strikeout upside, and I love his line up to get some runs against Taillon. If he can go 5-6 innings with 5 Ks and get the win, he makes a great start if he can limit this struggling offense to 3 runs or less, and I think he can do that with how badly Pittsburgh has swung the bats lately.
Robinson Cano – Mariners v. Pirates – $4,400 – Cano has been pretty hot to start the season. He’s batting around .290 with almost 20 home runs, and he is still beating up on right-handed pitching. Jameson Taillon is a big prospect for the Pirates, but he has been lit up in every start that was not against the Mets. This Mariner’s offense can put up some runs, and Cano’s .377 wOBA and .218 ISO score against right-handed pitching since 2015 makes me think he will be a big part of it.
Bryce Harper (OF) – Nationals v. Mets – $4,300 – Harper crushes right-handed pitching and gets a matchup with Logan Verrett, freshly called up from AAA. Verrett has made spot starts before, but his minor league numbers show lefties do well against him. Harper has a huge .447 wOBA and a .317 ISO score against right-handed pitching.
Matt Carpenter (2B/3B) – Cardinals v. Royals – $5,400 – I don’t like the price tag, but I love Carpenter against right-handed pitching. Edinson Volquez was shelled for 11 runs in the first inning of his last start against the Astros, and I can not see him making a miraculous turn around against a good hitting team like the Cardinals. Carpenter has over a .400 wOBA against righties since 2015 and has been flashing the home run upside that justifies his price in the last week.
Jason Kipnis (2B) – Indians v. Braves – $4,500 – Kipnis has the hit streak up into the double digits again and has also started flashing some power with home runs in two of his last five games. He gets a matchup with either Joel De La Cruz or Casey Kelly, both of which are AAA pitchers coming up for a spot start. Kipnis has a .374 wOBA and a .179 ISO score against right-handed pitching since 2015, so this is a great spot for him.
Buster Posey (CATCH) – Giants v. Oakland – $4,100 – Sean Manaea has been putrid against right-handed bats so far in his MLB Career. they are hitting over .316 against him with a home run about every five innings of work. Posey is the only right-handed bat left on the Giants, and he has a solid .367 wOBA against left-handed pitching since the start of last season.
Corey Seager (SS) – Dodgers v. Brewers – $4,800 – I love this kid. He is so calm and collected at the plate. He never seems rattle, especially when a right-handed pitcher is on the mound. Junior Guerra has actually been pretty solid, but Seager’s been hitting right-handed pitching to the tune of a .400 wOBA since his promotion last season, so I think he can keep it going.
Josh Reddick – Athletics v. Giants – $4,100 – Reddick made his return from the DL yesterday and got a hit in his first at-bat. He faces Jake Peavy whose recent stud performances I am not buying into. Peavy has thrown well in 5 of his last 6 starts. While that is solid, four of those came against TB, PHI, SD, and ATL who are four of the worst offenses in the league against right-handed pitching. Reddick has the best numbers on the team against right-handed pitching and should go off very low owned in a great spot.
Andrew McCutchen – Pirates v. Mariners – $3,900 – This is strictly a GPP play, because I cannot trust him right now in cash games. With that being said, he has always hit left-handed pitching well. He faces Wade Miley, fresh off the DL. Miley may not be 100% back, and McCutchen has the upside to take advantage of any mistakes Miley might make. Even with the recent slump, his numbers since 2015 against lefties are still a .360 wOBA with a .175 ISO score.
Ben Revere (OF) – Nationals v. Mets – $3,700 – Ben Revere is another left-handed bat for the Nationals I want exposure to along with Harper and Murphy. Revere is leading off for them and putting up some solid fantasy scores for a very reasonable price. He does not have a ton of power, but he does have six stolen bases and 4 double digit fantasy scores in his last nine games because of his speed.
Trayce Thompson (OF) – Dodgers v. Brewers – $3,500 – Justin Turner is the biggest bat in righty v. righty situations for the Dodgers, but Trayce is not far behind. Junior Guerra is a solid young pitcher, but he allows a higher average to right-handed bats as well. Trayce has been in the middle of the order lately, and I like him for upside here as a low owned option with a sneaky .350 wOBA and some home run pop.
Scooter Gennett (2B) – Brewers v. Dodgers – $4,000 – Whoever the Dodgers bring up for a spot start, I want to use Scooter against him. Gennett remains a great option against right-handed pitching, and the Brewers rightly bat him second against right-handed pitching for that reason.
Freddie Freeman – Braves v. Indians – $3,500 – Freeman has a matchup with Danny Salazar who is one of the better mound options tonight, so his ownership percentage is likely to be low. He also has the best numbers against right-handed pitching with a .370 wOBA and an ISO score over .200. Freeman is a guy I think that can take Salazar yard if he pitches to him. If not, Salazar may just choose to walk him 2-3 times and that will create a nice floor for him at the very least. He is also a cheap option on a weak slate for first baseman, so definitely worth a shot for the salary savings alone.