Tuesday night brings us a full fifteen game schedule with contests in Coors Field, the Great American Ballpark and Chase Field plus several highly flammable pitchers just waiting to get lit up. While this slate sets up to support both H2H formats as well as tournaments, the latter is probably the best path to head down tonight.
Corey Kluber – CLE at ATL – $13,400 – Targeting the Atlanta Braves with right-handed pitching has been a very favorable strategy this season. The Bravos batsmen have a 79 wRC+ (weighted runs created plus is an advanced metric that neutralizes ball park factors and creates a league-wide scoring efficiency baseline of 100) which means they are generating runs 21% less efficiently than the average team. Throw in their league low 23 home runs against righties (the next two worse teams have 36 and 44) and you can see why they are a good option to attack.
Jon Lester – CHC at CIN – $11,700 – With just over a 10% price difference between Lester and Kluber, I am inclined to try and find the extra salary cap to get to the Cleveland ace. This is more a personal preference as it will come at the expense of a couple premiere Coors Field hitters. This will be the third time that Lester has faced the Reds this season with the first two coming back in early April. He is 1-0 with 13 innings pitched, 13 baserunners and four runs allowed with nine strikeouts which is good for an average of 17.7 DraftKings points. The Reds are a middle-of-the pack team against right-handed pitching; however, as we saw yesterday, the Great American Ballpark can be quite a launching pad.
Lucas Giolito – WAS vs NYM – $6,400 – RHP Lucas Giolito is the top pitching prospect in the Nationals farm system, and he is getting the call up from AA Harrisburg for a spot start as Washington strategizes on how to best shuffle things around in the absence of the injured Stephen Strasburg. Through 14 starts and 71 innings this season he has a 3.17 ERA with 72 strikeouts. The Mets are a little shaky right now with Lucas Duda and David Wright out with injuries, and they just sent the struggling Michael Conforto back to the minors to work on his hitting approach and also recover from a nagging wrist injury. The Mets are projected to plate just four runs in this game and at this price point, Giolito will give us a lot of flexibility with regards to our hitters. He is a fine tournament option and could even be used in H2H contests, although this isn’t the safest option.
Julio Urias – LAD at MIL – $7,400 – Two starts ago, Urias had his best showing of the season against these same Brewers in Dodger Stadium. We want to keep in mind though that he is a 19 year-old kid, and it is a major park bump for hitters going from Chavez Ravine to Miller Park. As many young strikeout pitchers do, Urias has a tendency to use up a lot of his pitch count in the early going, and through six starts he has a grand total of 27 innings and has recorded just one out beyond the fifth inning, of course with 35 strikeouts in that same time frame, we can somewhat overlook the abbreviated outings, but he still is tagged with the tournament-only label in this matchup.
Ryan Braun (OF) – MIL vs LAD – $4,800 – Though it has only been 27 innings pitched so far in his career, 19 year-old rookie LHP Julio Urias has struggled against right-handed hitters allowing a .377 wOBA and a 38.7% hard hit rate against the 83 batters he has faced. This puts both Braun and teammate Chris Carter (1B) – $4,200 as very desirable options with their .240 ISO and .260 ISO against right-handed pitching respectively.
Nelson Cruz (OF) – SEA vs PIT – $5,100 – Yes, this is a hefty price tag; however, Cruz is a noted lefty-killer and LHP Jonathon Niese has allowed a .348 wOBA and a 30.7 hard hit rate to right-handed hitters over his last 44 starts along with a 1.32 HR/9 rate.
Anthony Rizzo (1B) – CHC at CIN – $5,300 – LHP John Lamb has struggled against same-handed hitters allowing the last 102 he has faced to accumulate a .409 wOBA and a 34.3% hard hit rate. Rizzo is no slouch in lefty/lefty matchups posting a .386 wOBA and a .200 ISO since the beginning of 2014, throw in the ball park upgrade with this game in Cincinnati, and we have a great contrarian option for Tuesday.
Victor Martinez (1B) – DET vs MIA – $4,500 – V-Mart just keeps getting it done and even though he is a full-time designated hitter, that has no bearing for us in daily fantasy baseball in an American League park. Over his last 300 at bats against southpaws, Martinez has compiled a .432 wOBA and a 179 wRC+ meaning that he creates nearly 80% home runs than the average major league hitter against lefties.
Aledmys Diaz (SS) – STL at KCR – $4,600– Diaz has been getting in the lineup nearly every day even with Jhonny Peralta returning from the disabled list a couple weeks ago. So far this season he has been outstanding against right-handed pitching with a .398 wOBA and a .230 ISO and he has a treat awaiting him with RHP Yordano Ventura fresh off serving his suspension and we know how he loves to pound the strike zone.
Corey Seager (SS) – LAD at MIL – $4,900 – Seager got a bit of a break with the 12:35pm ET game on Monday where he was just a defensive replacement late in the contest. If you are going to spend at this position, then he is a nice contrarian move away from the options in Coors Field.
Matt Carpenter (2B/3B) – STL at KCR – $5,000– Heading into action on Monday night, Carpenter has been on a tear with eight runs, three home runs, seven total extra base hits and eleven walks over his last ten games for an impressive 12.2 DraftKings point average. He contributes across the box score, and while he is expensive, he has a solid baseline level of production that keeps his backers happy.
Nolan Arenado (3B) – COL vs TOR – $4,900 – Arenado will be one of the most popular options in all formats on Tuesday since he is facing a left-handed fly ball pitcher in J.A. Happ. Over his last 373 plate appearances, the young third baseman has tallied a .374 wOBA and a .240 ISO against lefties.
Corey Dickerson (OF) – TBR vs BOS – $3,100 – RHP Rick Porcello has been a very solid pitcher; however, this price point is going to be hard to overlook. Across his last 700 at bats, Dickerson has accrued a .385 wOBA and a .280 ISO. Yes, quite a bit of that was the result of playing half his games in Coors Field; however, he is a solid play particularly at his current salary.
Franklin Gutierrez (OF) – SEA vs PIT – $3,600 – Whenever Nelson Cruz is a recommended play, you can count on me also mentioning Gutierrez who has been great in righty/lefty matchups over the last two plus seasons with a .409 wOBA and a .290 ISO including a home run on Sunday against LHP Jaime Garcia.
Ryan Raburn (OF) – COL vs TOR – $3,600 – While I generally try to stay away from recommending too many players in Coors Field games since they are the obvious ones, calling out Raburn at this sub-$4K price point is important. Over his last 332 at bats against lefties he has posted a .351 wOBA and a .210 ISO. Even with the chance he is lifted for a pinch hitter if a right-handed reliever comes in from the bullpen, just one good swing is all we need to pay off this number.
James McCann (Catcher) – DET vs MIA – $3,200 – McCann is another guy who thrive against left-handed pitching, so why not continue the Tuesday theme. He is a nice source of discounted power and has a .240 ISO over his last 170 plate appearances against southpaws.
Luis Valbuena (3B) – HOU at LAA – $3,400 – Valbuena has nice power against right-handed pitching with a .349 wOBA and a .210 ISO over his last 1,000 plate appearances and it is his struggles against lefties that keeps his salary suppressed. RHP Erik Johnson has allowed a .438 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last season and a half and we will want to pick on him early and often.
Chris Coghlan (2B/OF) – CHC at CIN – $2,100 – Coghlan is not known for hitting home runs, but he has some pop in his bat and the Cubbies are the second highest scoring offense in the League this season with a great matchup against RHP Albert Suarez. At this price point we just need him to get on base and then score a run and we will be grinning from ear-to-ear.
Dae-Ho Lee (1B) – SEA vs PIT – $3,600 – Through 79 at bats against left-handed pitching, the Korean power hitter already has six home runs this season and he should be in the lineup with the Mariners now trusting him to provide some punch in the middle of their order.
Steven Vogt (Catcher) – OAK at SFG – $3,400 – We should see Vogt in the lineup, but we will need a back-up plan just in case since we may not have the lineup before the contests start. Fortunately we can utilize the DraftKings late-swap feature to give ourselves an out and go with Josh Phegley – $2,900 in a pinch who would be the likely Oakland alternate for Vogt or if we leave ourselves $300 of salary cap wiggle room we can swap to Chris Iannetta – SEA vs PIT – $3,700 who should be in the other late game with the Mariners facing LHP Jonathon Niese.