WATCH: STACK TO CONSIDER – LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Here are your top players to target on tonight’s 15-game slate. Feel free to reach out to me on Twitter with comments or questions: @julianedlow.
Stephen Strasburg – WAS vs. CIN – $11,700 – Strasburg’s coming off a pair of shaky starts, but the Reds present a nice bounce-back opportunity for him. Going back to earlier in June and late May Strasburg went through a hot streak that he’s very much capable or recapturing tonight. Current members of the Reds are hitting just .152 in 46 at-bats against Stras.
Other Options – Alex Wood $9,600, Michael Fulmer $8,300
Felix Hernandez – SEA vs. HOU – $5,900 – Hernandez hasn’t pitched since April 25th because of a shoulder injury, but he had been having a down year by his standards. Houston presents a tough matchup, but King Felix did score 16.3 DKFP against them earlier in the season. At this insane discount, why not shoot for the high upside of a former Cy Young winner. Maybe he’s fresher than we think.
Other Options – Jharel Cotton $6,100, Kyle Freehand $6,400
Alex Avila – DET vs. SD – $3,600 – Avila is such an attractive option at catcher in general because he bats second in the order for the Tigers. At a position people often elect to punt, Avila gives you fantastic value. He happens to be going against RHP Luis Perdomo tonight, which leaves him in an opposite hand matchup on top of hitting .313 this season. Avila’s floor is high.
Other Options – Salvator Perez $3,700, Mike Zunino $3,700
Jason Castro – MIN vs. CLE – $2,900 – Castro’s been slumping lately, but that’s what’s brought his price down. RHP Trevor Bauer has been a disappointment this season with his 5.54 ERA, so I like targeting a cheap LHB going up against him, particularly at a position like catcher.
Other Options – Matt Wieters $3,100, Sandy Leon $2,900
Anthony Rizzo – CHC vs. MIA – $5,400 – Rizzo’s been scorching hot out of the leadoff spot for the Cubs, now averaging 13.3 DKFP over his last 10 games. He’s in an opposite hand matchup tonight in Miami against RHP Jose Urena, where I expect him to stay hot. You’ve got to pay up for Rizzo, but having scored double-digit DKFP in six of his last nine games, his floor is as high as any.
Other Options – Edwin Encarnacion $5,300, Paul Goldschmidt $5,700
Mike Napoli – TEX vs. NYY – $3,300 – The wind is blowing out tonight at Yankee Stadium which should be good for home run hitters like Napoli. RHP Masahiro Tanaka has a 6.34 ERA this season and has been dominated by Naps in the past. Napoli is 7-for-13 against him in his career, including three doubles and two homers.
Other Options – Mitch Moreland $3,400, Joe Mauer $3,800
Daniel Murphy – WAS vs. CIN – $4,900 – This is a dream situation for Murphy, who is at home batting fifth against RHP Luis Castillo in his MLB debut. The left-handed Murphy should give Castillo a rough first go, hitting .348 against RHP this season with 10 of his 12 homers coming against them.
Other Options – Jose Ramirez $5,100, Jonathan Schoop $4,300
Rougned Odor – TEX vs. NYY – $3,400 – I love stacking the Rangers tonight against Tanaka and the Yankees, particularly because of the attractive value plays. Odor will be hitting in the heart of the Rangers’ order and is in a good opposite handed matchup against Tanaka — who he’s homered off of in the past.
Other Options – Robinson Cano $4,000, Scooter Gennett $3,600
Jake Lamb – ARI vs. PHI – $5,200 – Lamb is in a pretty similar situation to Murphy. RHP Mark Leiter is on the mound for Philly, but this will be the first start of the season for the reliever. In his 19 innings this season, 12 runs have scored, including 10 of those runs in 9.1 innings on the road (as he will be tonight). This Arizona offense is potent at home.
Other Options – Miguel Sano $4,900, Kris Bryant $4,600, Justin Turner $4,200, Nolan Arenado $5,300
Johan Camargo – ATL vs. MIL – $3,100 – Camargo’s cooled off over his last two games, but prior to that he did put together a four-game streak totaling 54 DKFP, though. He’s a cheap switch-hitter that’s batting .304 this season, which presents plenty of value.
Other Options – Wilmer Flores $2,600, Kyle Seager $3,500
Xander Bogaerts – BOS vs. LAA – $4,600 – Bogaerts has finally gotten going this season, now hitting .322 with five homers (three in his last four games). Averaging 10.2 DKFP over his last 10 contests, I like his potential at Fenway Park tonight against RHP Alex Meyer (Bogaerts has reverse splits). RHB should be in a good spot with the wind blowing out towards the monster, so maybe his HR hitting continues.
Other Options – Trea Turner $5,200, Francisco Lindor $4,800
Eric Sogard – MIL vs. ATL – $3,900 – Sogard’s been fantastic for the Brewers leading off this season, hitting .366 and now averaging 9.1 DKFP over his last 10. His value should be even better tonight against RHP, whom he hits .381 against with 11 of his 15 extra-base hits.
Other Options – Didi Gregorius $3,700, JT Riddle $2,500, Jorge Polanco $3,200
Bryce Harper – WAS vs. CIN – $5,500 – I’m on Harper for basically all the same reasons as Murphy. It’s a tremendous matchup to take advantage of. But there are a lot of stud outfielders on this slate — Judge will not stop going yard, Betts is leading off on a perfect night at Fenway with the winds blowing out, McCutchen has dominated his matchup in the past …
Other Options – Aaron Judge $5,400, Mookie Betts $5,200, Andrew McCutchen $4,500
Jose Bautista – TOR vs. KC – $3,800 – Bautista comes at a nice discount tonight, but hasn’t been all that bad lately — two games with 12 or more DKFP in his last four. He should be leading off tonight against RHP Jake Junis, who’s nothing special, hence why Toronto’s projected for more than five runs.
Other Options – Mallex Smith $3,800, Austin Jackson $3,800, Matt Joyce $3,700, Nick Markakas $3,600
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.