WATCH: MLB IN 90 SECONDS – KHRIS DAVIS
Anyone else excited for baseball tonight? That’s the spirit! I’ve got your picks for the 11 games scheduled for tonight. As I’ve mentioned previously, when there are many elite pitching options, the best course of action is to dip into the value pool. Waters seem pretty decent tonight, particularly in Philadelphia.
Carlos Carrasco — CLE vs. BAL — $10,900 – A lot of this selection is win chasing, but I mean, Carrasco hasn’t been half bad this season either. He’s been a beast on the road this season, with a 2.89 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and .190 BAA, including 43 Ks in 43.2 IP. The Orioles will send Kevin Gausman out to dry vs. a hot Indians’ lineup and things likely won’t end well, lining Carrasco up for a win at the very least.
Other Options: Rich Hill ($8,900), James Paxton ($7,700)
Ricky Nolasco — LAA vs. NYY — $5,200 – With the way the Yankees are struggling lately, it’s worth the risk playing Nolasco on the road. I know, Nolasco has allowed the second-most HRs in the MLB (21), and the Yanks have hit the third-most HRs (112) in the league so far. However, Nolasco has allowed three or fewer runs in two of his last three starts and is an extreme punt play for DraftKings tournaments.
Other Options: Sean Newcomb ($6,500), Taijuan Walker ($5,700)
Mike Zunino — SEA vs. DET — $4,100 – I’m a big “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” kind of guy. I had Zunino on Monday (shameless plug) and he hit two HRs and threw up 34 DKFP. That monster outing is enough to convince me Zunino is a viable option again vs. Justin Verlander, who has served up seven HRs in his last seven starts.
Other Options: Russell Martin ($4,000), Yadier Molina ($3,800)
Stephen Vogt — OAK vs. HOU — $3,100 – One could say Vogt is definitely “broke” this season. So chances are he needs fixing, but that isn’t my job. I’m here to tell you Vogt could have a breakout game vs. Mike Fiers, who has easily been one of the hottest pitchers in baseball. That said, he’s probably due for a poor outing, and let’s not forget he’s allowed 18 HRs in 14 games he’s allowed.
Other Options: Travis d’Arnaud ($2,900), Yasmani Grandal ($2,800)
Cody Bellinger — LAD vs. NYM — $5,200 – Can Bellinger just stop already? He’s taking the spotlight away from Aaron Judge. Bellinger has given the Mets nightmares so far, belting three HRs with six RBI (53 combined DKFP in two games). His last 10 games have been historic; Bellinger has 10 HRs, 18 RBI and is averaging a cool 19.4 DKFP. He can’t possibly hit another HR tonight, right? Right???
Other Options: Edwin Encarnacion ($4,900), Matt Holliday ($4,400)
Yuli Gurriel — HOU vs. OAK — $2,800 – It baffles me sometimes how cheap some players can be on DraftKings. Gurriel is on a six-game hitting streak and has hits in nine of his last 10 games. He has five doubles in his last four, and while his ceiling isn’t incredibly high, he’s a cost-effective cash-game play.
Other Options: Brandon Belt ($3,300), Tommy Joseph ($3,200)
DJ LeMahieu — COL vs. ARI — $4,700 – Before I recommend a player at 2B other than Jose Ramirez ($5,100), let me remind you that you can also play Jose Ramirez. But there should be plenty of offense at Coors Field between the Rockies and D-Backs, and LeMahieu is 12-for-22 in his last five games. He’s a contrarian option to Ramirez and he has a high enough floor to consider him at this price.
Other Options: Brandon Drury ($4,600), Jed Lowrie ($4,000)
Danny Espinosa — LAA vs. NYY — $2,900 – Espinosa had been awful all season until June came around. After batting .115 in May, Espinosa is at .261 this month, with two HRs, 11 RBI and seven runs in 46 ABs. He has a hit in seven of eight and has been slightly (emphasis on slightly) better vs. LHPs this season.
Other Options: Chad Pinder ($3,000), Ehire Adrianza ($2,500)
Josh Donaldson — TOR vs. TEX — $4,700 – I was going to crack another “Can I take Ramirez?” joke but, oh wait, well it’s already done I guess. Donaldson, the supposed bringer of rain, has not brought rain in seven games (hit a HR). Tyson Ross is making his second start of the season. If you can remember, Ross missed basically all of last season, and in 2015, led the MLB with 84 BB and 14 wild pitches. Ross will be cautious with Donaldson, so he’s either going to serve him up a sweet one or walk him.
Other Options: Nolan Arenado ($5,500), Justin Turner ($4,500)
Maikel Franco — PHI vs. STL — $3,300 – Franco has shown flashes of that top prospect potential the last 10 games. He’s batting .289 with four doubles, five RBI and a 6-to-8 BB/K ratio. He’s taken a more patient approach at the plate, which should pay off vs. Michael Wacha, who I like in this spot vs. Philly, but who I also don’t really trust too much. Franco has a bit more pop at home with five HRs and 21 of his 35 RBI.
Other Options: David Freese ($3,500), Yunel Escobar ($3,300)
Trevor Story — COL vs. ARI — $4,400 – Speaking of a player showing flashes of something, Story is back! He’s batting .344 with two HRs, six RBI and a .931 OPS in his last 32 ABs. Story has been thankful to play the D-Backs this season, going 7-for-23 with a pair of HRs (nine DKFP per game) in 23 ABs. Sign me up for the Rockies stack tonight.
Other Options: Chris Owings ($4,600), Didi Gregorius ($4,400)
Dansby Swanson — ATL vs. SF — $3,200 – I’m officially off the Troy Tulowitzki value-play train and jumping ship over to the Swanson hype train, which is beginning to get crowded. Swanson is batting .324 in June after hitting .156 and .216 in April and May, respectively, and has at least five DKFP in seven of his last 10 games.
Other Options: Ryan Goins ($2,900)
Bradley Zimmer — CLE vs. BAL — $4,400 – There are plenty of appealing routes you can go at OF, but I’m going to roll with the Indians stack and Zimmer, who has three multi-hit games in his last five. The rookie is batting .400 with a .963 OPS in his last 25 ABs.
Other Options: Aaron Judge ($5,400), Shin-soo Choo ($4,600), Nelson Cruz ($4,200)
Jake Marisnick — HOU vs. OAK — $3,200 – The A’s have allowed the most stolen bases in the MLB (62) this season, and though their CS% is decent (25.30), it will give Marisnick a boost at this price. Marisnick’s hidden speed is only the tip of the iceberg; he’s shown increased power lately with three HRs in his last five games.
Other Options: Guillermo Heredia ($2,800), Michael Saunders ($2,500)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is bzweiman521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.