There are a full fifteen games on the schedule today, so let’s get right into the targets!
Jose Fernandez – MIA vs ATL – $13,700 – The most expensive pitcher is actually the top pitcher on Tuesday. The Braves have struggled this season with a 85 wRC+ against right-handed pitching (weighted runs created plus is an advanced metric that neutralizes ball park factors and creates a league-wide scoring efficiency baseline of 100) meaning that they score 15% less efficiently against righties than the league benchmark. While they do not strike out a lot at 19.2%, they have no power to speak of with a .115 ISO and just 21 home runs on the season. Coming into his last start in Arizona, Fernandez had six straight starts of 30+ DraftKings points. This level of production is worth “punting” a couple hitting slots with discounted options.
Jimmy Nelson – MIL at OAK – $7,100 – Nelson has really struggled in his last three starts, lasting just 13 total innings and only making it to the fifth in one game with twin -7 fantasy point performances in San Francisco and in Philadelphia. Let’s consider the positives – the Athletics are in the bottom five for runs scored this season and are averaging just 3.9 runs per game. Nelson has been excellent against same-handed hitting, but struggles with lefties. While Oakland has flexibility with their switch-hitters and platoon players, Billy Burns, Coco Crisp, Jed Lowrie and Max Muncy do not strike fear into anyone’s heart. Twenty fantasy points is definitely in play for Nelson.
Collin McHugh – HOU vs LAA – $6,200 – McHugh is not a play with huge upside, but he limits damage – only twice this season has he allowed more than four earned runs. In eleven of their seventy-one games this season, the Angels have scored eight or more runs, so the implosion factor is relatively low for McHugh. He has potential as an SP2 and at this price point if he approaches fifteen fantasy points we will be turning cartwheels.
Curtis Granderson (OF) – NYM vs KCR – $4,300 – Granderson still has some pop in his bat with 13 home runs this season to go along with four triples and 13 doubles. Despite having most of his games in Petco Park and Kauffman Stadium, over his last 43 starts Kennedy has struggled with the longball, particularly to left-handed hitters and he is allowing near 2 HR/9 innings. The Metropolitans make for an off-the-board stack in tournaments on Tuesday.
Jose Altuve (2B) – HOU vs LAA – $5,200 – Altuve is on pace for a .343 average, 22 home runs, 80 runs batted in, 100 runs scored and 40 stolen bases. He carries a premium price tag, but he is worth it. On tap is a matchup with LHP Hector Santiago, who is a fine pitcher but one who has issues with imploding for big innings. The Astros are in a great spot and Altuve is sure to be in the thick of the fun.
George Springer (OF) – HOU vs LAA – $4,600 – Speaking of Astros, Springer carries multi-homerun upside with him in any game and LHP Hector Santiago has allowed a 1.80 HR/9 rate and is someone we will want to target against.
Josh Donaldson (3B) – TOR vs ARZ – $5,600 – This price tag is going to shake off most of the riff-raff and with a soft tossing lefty on the mound in the Rogers Centre, this is when we get to see DONGaldson in action. Over his last 332 at bats against southpaws, he has posted a .422 wOBA and a .320 ISO and we know that two home run games are in play with the Blue Jays third baseman.
Chris Davis (1B) – BAL vs SDP – $5,400 – RHP Luis Perdomo is someone we can target with both righties and lefties. He is a Rule 5 draft pick who the Padres will be trotting out every five days as cannon fodder and to get him some experience to see if he has any value. Stack away with the Orioles today and we can also consider Matt Wieters – $4,200, Mark Trumbo – $4,200, Pedro Alvarez – $4,100 and J.J. Hardy – $3,300 who will be starting with Manny Machado serving his suspension.
Jayson Werth (OF) – WAS at LAD – $4,300 – Werth can still get it done against left-handed pitching and over his last 265 at bats in lefty/righty matchups he has tallied a .397 wOBA and a .230 ISO and is an underrated threat for multiple extra base hits on Tuesday.
Jake Lamb (3B) – ARZ at TOR – $4,000 – Lamb has been outstanding this season with a .280 average, 13 home runs, 17 doubles and a .917 OPS. He is particularly effective against right-handed pitching with ten of his home runs and all but one of his doubles coming in lefty/righty matchups.
Justin Bour (1B) – MIA vs ATL – $3,700 – RHP Bud Norris has looked better since rejoining the rotation and in his last three starts he has gone a combined 17 innings with a 2.65 ERA and 15 strikeouts. Since the beginning of the 2015 season against hitters swinging the stick from the left-side of the plate Norris has allowed a .387 wOBA and a 1.69 HR/9 rate. The greater body of work should win out in this argument, so we will want to look at the Marlins lefties on Tuesday.
Stephen Vogt (Catcher) – OAK vs MIL – $3,200 – Vogt has been in a slump with just four hits in his last eight games. However that has pushed his price down to a point where he cannot be ignored. He has a nice lefty/right matchup against RHP Jimmy Nelson who is great against same-handed hitters, but can be exploited with lefties, particularly on the road. Over his last 34 starts he has allowed a .363 wOBA and a 34.8% hard hit rate to opposite-handed batters.
Michael Conforto (OF) – NYM vs KCR – $3,500 – This is just too good of a price point to pass on for Conforto who has been outstanding against right-handed pitching with a .369 wOBA and an uber-elite .270 ISO over his last 365 plate appearances in lefty/righty matchups.
Neil Walker (2B) – NYM vs KCR – $3,400 – Sticking with a Mets theme, we can plug Walker into the keystone position at a discount and enjoy his success against right-handed pitchers with a .345 wOBA and a terrific .200 ISO that he has accrued since the beginning of the 2014 season.
Troy Tulowitzki (SS) – TOR vs ARZ – $3,600 – Tulowitzki is a shell of his former self and is still very injury prone. Fortunately this is daily fantasy baseball and we can just enlist his services when the situation warrants. He is back from the disabled list and already has a home run, and with his history against southpaws (.420 wOBA and a .240 ISO since 2014) he is very much in play against LHP Patrick Corbin.
Ezequiel Carrera (OF) – TOR vs ARZ – $3,200 – While it is a small sample size, Carrera has compiled a .400 wOBA and a .920 OPS in 79 plate appearances against left-handed pitching. If he has a favorable spot in the batting order on Tuesday, he is a fantastic discount option.
Corey Seager (SS) – LAD vs WAS – $3,800 – Corey Seager in a lefty/righty matchup for under $4,000? Just jump on board. He has 15 home runs already this season and is making a strong push for NL Rookie of the Year honors. Enjoy!
Trayce Thompson (OF) – LAD vs WAS – $3,200 – At some point in the next few years, we should see Thompson on an All-Star team. In the meantime, as he figures it all out, he is an excellent daily fantasy discount option. He has a solid hitting approach and the ability to steal bases. At this price, he is a great option for all game formats.
Anthony Rendon (3B) – WAS at LAD – $3,400 – Rendon is in play and shaking the rust off after an injury marred 2015 season. Over his last 300 plate appearances against left-handed pitching he has a .360 wOBA and a .820 OPS with sneaky pop in his bat. This is a nice matchup against LHP Scott Kazmir who has been known to have issues with keeping the ball in the park, even in spacious Dodger Stadium.