With an 11-game slate on tap for tonight, we have plenty of ways to go with our roster construction. Let’s get right to my top targets.
Ervin Santana — MIN vs. SEA — $10,300 – Complete-game shutouts are hard to find. Well, Santana has two of them in his past four starts. In fact, Santana’s price dropped $700 since shutting down the Giants in his previous start. The Mariners offense is a bit more imposing, but at least 7.0 IP and a win seems likely for Santana.
Other Options: Michael Pineda ($11,100), Taijuan Walker ($8,200)
Francis Martes — HOU vs. TEX — $4,300 – With this pick, you’re essentially looking for a win. The Astros are the best team in baseball and are 21-14 at home this season. Martes already has a taste of what the MLB is like after being roughed up by the Angels in 3.2 IP on June 9. It’s a risky play, but the low price tag on Martes will allow you to pay up for that top stack, which there will be plenty of on this 11-game slate.
Other Options: Brian Johnson ($6,500), Mike Montgomery ($5,300)
Jonathan Lucroy — TEX vs. HOU — $3,500 – In ultra-contradictory fashion, I’m obviously going with Lucroy against Martes. Chances are most won’t be willing to risk playing Martes, and the Rangers will then become a solid option to stack. Lucroy has underperformed so far with Texas but flashes that upside every now and then. He’s hit better on the road, batting .268 with 14 of his 16 RBI (7.1 DKFP per game).
Other Options: Brian McCann ($4,400), Jason Castro ($3,400)
Tony Wolters — COL vs. PIT — $3,000 – You’re going to want to get a piece of the Rockies vs. Chad Kuhl. By playing Wolters you get said piece without breaking the bank. Wolters has been very productive over his last 10 games, batting .303 with at least five DKFP in eight of 10 contests. Ryan Hanigan ($2,500) would also be a nice value play should Wolters sit.
Other Options: Willson Contreras ($2,700), John Hicks ($2,600)
Mitch Moreland — BOS vs. PHI — $4,500 – Moreland is riding an eight-game hitting streak in which he’s 13-for-32 with three HRs, eight RBI and five BB (10.8 DKFP per contest). He’ll be facing Jeremy Hellickson, who has allowed 28 hits in his last four starts (22.1 IP). Hellickson is eighth in the MLB in FIP (5.81) and has a -1.31 differential to his ERA (4.50). Moreland should extend the streak.
Other Options: Anthony Rizzo ($4,600), Marwin Gonzalez ($4,200)
Matt Davidson — CWS vs. BAL — $3,300 – Davidson has homered in back-to-back games for the second time this season. His latest was a grand slam that lifted the White Sox to a 6-1 win vs. the Orioles last night. Davidson has been a different hitter at home, batting .268 with seven HRs, 11 runs and 17 RBI in 20 games. Baltimore SP Dylan Bundy has allowed at least one HR in each of his past seven games.
Other Options: Trey Mancini ($3,400), Jesus Aguilar ($3,100)
DJ LeMahieu — COL vs. PIT — $4,300 – As was previously mentioned, you’re going to want to consider the Rockies tonight. LeMahieu is a bit more pricey than Wolters, but has more upside. He’s got at least eight DKFP in six of his past 10 games, with five multi-hit outings in that span. LeMahieu has also been better on the road (.293 BA, 8 2B, 20 RBI), and Kuhl is a hit factory at home (1.89 WHIP, 37 hits in 28 IP).
Other Options: Jose Altuve ($4,700), Neil Walker ($4,300)
Javier Baez — CHC vs. NYM — $3,100 – With very few 2B looking like value plays, I’ll go with some upside in Baez. He belted a pinch-hit, two-run HR in the Cubs’ 14-3 rout of the Mets on Tuesday, which should get him back in the lineup. Baez will take on Matt Harvey, who has allowed 13 HRs in 12 starts this season.
Other Options: Yolmer Sanchez ($3,200)
Kris Byrant — CHC vs. NYM — $4,500 – The price on Bryant seems a tad bit low, don’t ya think? The reigning NL MVP has had a disappointing follow-up season so far but has hits in seven of his past 10 games, including three HRs. While most of his power numbers have come at Wrigley Field, Bryant is batting .303 on the road, plus 12 of his 15 HRs have come vs. the NL.
Other Options: Josh Donaldson ($4,700), Josh Harrison ($4,300)
Chase Headley — NYY vs. LAA — $3,000 – Remember when everyone was going nuts over Headley’s start? Yeah, that was short-lived. Well, now Headley is back to prove he deserves another bloated contract. He’s 8-for-21 with a HR, two doubles, three RBI and five BB in his last six games. The Yankees offense hasn’t exploded in two games vs. the Angels, so chances are it’s bound to show up Wednesday. If Headley sits, roll with Ronald Torreyes ($2,300).
Other Options: Jedd Gyorko ($3,500), Russell Martin ($3,100)
Chris Owings — ARI vs. DET — $4,200 – I’m willing to pass on some of the elite options at SS in order to take Owings and the D-Backs stack. Owings has hits in five of six with eight RBI in that span and is 5-for-14 so far this season vs. the Tigers. He’s in a great spot batting fifth in Arizona’s lineup behind Jake Lamb and Paul Goldschmidt, both of whom should rake against Jordan Zimmermann tonight.
Other Options: Carlos Correa ($4,600), Xander Bogaerts ($4,400)
Troy Tulowitzki — TOR vs. TB — $2,900 – I refuse to give up on Tulo, and given how low his price is, neither should you. For how bad he’s been this season, he’s been decent at home (.288 BA, .786 OPS in 18 games). Rays SP Jake Odorizzi has surrendered 24 hits over his last four starts, and has allowed a HR in eight straight games. Odorizzi also has a career 4.54 ERA in seven starts at Toronto.
Other Options: Addison Russell ($3,200)
George Springer — HOU vs. TEX — $5,000 – I’m a big believer in the Astros offense waking up tonight vs. Cashner and the Rangers. In eight games vs. Texas this season, Springer is 13-for-35 with four HRs, 11 RBI and six runs (13.6 DKFP per contest). Springer is also 4-for-10 with a pair of doubles off Cashner in his career and has homered in two of three games.
Other Options: Cody Bellinger ($4,900), Nelson Cruz ($4,500), Robbie Grossman ($4,100), Jurickson Profar ($3,200), Jake Marisnick ($3,000)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is bzweiman521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.