We have an 11 game slate going tonight in baseball. Even though it’s not a full slate, we have a lot of great potential matchups tonight to make you aware of and get you some of that cash money.As always, you can get me on the Ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Carlos Carrasco vs. Houston Astros ($10200) – A lot can be made that Dallas Keuchel can be here this section, which I don’t disagree with, but I really like the strikeout potential for Carrasco tonight. The Astros strike out more than any other team in the majors. So much so that they hold a 46 strike out lead over the next team, the Chicago Cubs. With Carrasco taking the mound tonight with a 10.2 K/9, it’s hard to deny the value of racking up those strike outs when rostering your starting pitcher tonight. The Astros have a lot of pop in their bat, no doubt. However, Carrasco has been keeping the ball in the park, as hitters have only tagged him for nine home runs this season. I’m rolling with Carrasco tonight.
Chris Heston ($6300) – “The reason I’m going to roster Heston tonight is because he pitched a no-hitter against the Mets the last time he faced him.” When you’re talking to your buddies or co-workers today about who you’re going to roster tonight on DraftKings, don’t use that above phrase. It doesn’t make you sound very intelligent. The reason you want to roster Heston tonight is because he’s an incredible value against and extremely weak Mets offense. You know, the offense that ranks last in the majors in OPS and 29th in team batting average? Yeah, that one.
Yasmani Grandal ($4200) – One of the best aspects about Grandal is that he’s a switch hitter. Going up against Sean O’Sullivan tonight, he has a great matchup if he bats from the left hand side. As a leftie batting against a right handed pitcher, Grandal has hit all 12 of his home runs, along with a .273 average. O’Sullivan gives up a lot of home runs, so this could be a great start for Grandal tonight.
Alex Avila ($2900) –Avila doesn’t have impressive numbers on the year, but he’s in that Tigers lineup that I think is going to perform really well tonight. Avila is facing off against the returning Hisashi Iwakuma, who is returning from a shoulder injury tonight. Avila has very modest numbers this season against right handed pitchers, .250 with two home runs, but his OBP is great, at .418. If he continue to bat fifth, he’s in a pivotal part of this lineup tonight that should be able to score some runs tonight. It’s not to hard to reach value when the asking price is only $2900.
Todd Frazier ($4700) – We could keep Frazier here in this section forever, and I’m sure I would have some stats to back it up. He’s having a monster season and tonight is going up against the struggling Doug Fister. Fister is having a tough go around with right handed batters, and Frazier has been feasting on right handed pitchers. Fister is allowing a .327 average to RHB while Frazier is batting .288 against them with 16 home runs and a .352 OBP. Fister hasn’t seen much success since he’s come off the DL, as he’s given up 9 runs and just 18 1/3 innings. I don’t think tonight is the night he gets back on track.
Pedro Alvarez ($3700) – Alverez has a tasty matchup tonight against a suddenly struggling James Shields. Shields had a real rough month of June, where he saw his ERA for the month end at 5.52. Even more so, his struggles against left handed batters really started to show. Shields is allowing a .305 average to them, while also allowing 10 home runs. Alvarez has seen all 12 of his home runs come against a RHP, so tonight could be a perfect night to hit number 13. If he’s feeling froggy, 14 wouldn’t be bad either.
Jimmy Paredes ($4100) –Paredes is truly having a fantastic season for the Orioles, even though I feel like a lot of people aren’t realizing. With players like Jose Altuve, Jason Kipnis and Brian Dozier always dominating the headlines, it’s easy for Paredes to get lost in the shuffle. Paredes faces Phil Hughes tonight, who surprisingly is having a solid run at the moment, with five straight quality starts. However, Hughes splits still don’t impress me, as he’s allowing a .285 average to righties and .275 to lefties. Paredes is a switch hitter with all of his power coming from the right side.
Cesar Hernandez ($3100) – Hernandez is one of those diamonds in the rough right now. He’s DIRT cheap for the production he’s been giving lately. I’m going to give you his points for every game since June 26th and then you tell me why he isn’t on your roster tonight. Ready? 7, 16, 19, 15, 17, 14, 13, 7, 8, 23. He’s been stealing a TON of bases which is always such a welcome addition to your lineup. Truly, he’s a must start right now.
Manny Machado ($3900) – This is a STEAL of a pick tonight. The fact that Machado is only 3900 makes him a must play in my book tonight. Overall he’s hitting .299 with 17 home runs and 46 RBIs. You usually don’t get production like that from someone who is under $4000, even if it just make’s it under that mark. The other reason I like Machado tonight is because he has good numbers against Phil Hughes. Machado is 6-13 against him with a .923 OPS.
Kelly Johnson ($3000) – I’ve recommend Johnson a few times in my other articles and it’s worked out pretty well, so I’m hoping we can continue that trend tonight. If you haven’t figured it out yet, I’m a big believer on BvP. I truly think it’s a stat can give you a better sense on how a particular batter reads an opposing pitcher and thus gives them an advantage. Johnson faces Kyle Lohse tonight, which that in itself should make you want to roster him. But it’s the actual stats that I like as well. Johnson is 5-17 against Lohse with three extra base hits, one of those being a home run, and a .882 OPS.
Carlos Correa ($4200) – I’ll admit, if I could keep this section blank, I would. I’m really not too keen on any shortstop tonight, so I’m just going to roll with Correa based strictly on performance, not his matchup with Carlos Carrasco. Correa has been living up to the hype since his call up to the majors, as he’s batting .315 with seven home runs, 19 RBIs, and a .932 OPS. Carrasco is having a solid season but does have the ability to let things suddenly get out of hand. Again, not thrilled with this section here but if I had to choose, I’ll go with Correa.
Brandon Crawford ($3600) – When in doubt, bust out a BvP stat! Crawford gets a matchup tonight against Jon Niese, and he’s seen some good success against him. Crawford is 5-12 against Niese with two extra base hits, one of them being a home run, and a 1.218 OPS. It’s short money folks, don’t get too worked up!
J.D. Martinez ($4300) – It’s truly insane how cheap Martinez is. He’s bascially a must start because of his price tag. He goes up against the returning Hisashi Iwakuma tonight, who’s coming off a lenghty stint on the DL, which only saw him make three starts so far this season. In those three starts, Iwakuma has allowed five home runs. A stat that Martinez loves to hear, as he’s hitting RHP very well this season. Not to mention, 17 of his 22 home runs have come off a right handed pitcher.
Joc Pederson ($4000) – Pederson doesn’t own a high average, but he owns a ton of power. With 20 home runs on the season, Pederson sees a matchup tonight against Sean O’Sullivan. O’Sullivan really struggles against left handed batters, as they’re hitting an amazing .369 off of him this season. Let’s throw in the fact that O’Sullivan lets up a ton of home runs this season, 14 to be exact, and 10 of those have come off lefties, I mean c’mon. How can you not like this matchup?
Yoenis Cespedes ($3900) – Another Tiger outfielder who could have a huge game tonight, if history can repeat itself. Cespedes has CRUSEHD Iwakuma in their past meetings, so tonight could be more of the same here. Cespedes is 10-24 against Iwauma with eight extra base hits, three home runs and a 1.417 OPS. Iwakuma let’s up about a home runs a start, which is his career average. With these numbers between Martinez and Cespedes, I think you truly need to take a hard look at this Tiger outfield tonight.
Chris Colabello ($3000) – Oh really? Taking someone going up against Chris Sale tonight? LOL. Good idea Steve. Well, maybe it will be. Does Colabello have past success against Sale? Nope. Does Colabello have a ton of power or something? Nope. What Colabello does have is a cheap price tag and the reality that no one is really going to be on him tonight. Having a bit of trouble fitting other guys in? Take a flier on Colabello and hope for the best. If some how Sale implodes, you can bet Colabello will have some part of it. This is the type of stuff that makes champions folks. It’s just the fact of how ballsy you will be. It might not work, but you have to take a shot here and there.