WATCH: IMPACT PLAYER – FREDDIE FREEMAN
I touch on this a bit throughout the recommendations but I will start at the top and reiterate that I think paying down for starting pitching tonight is ideal. The top pitching options are lackluster, and there’s a ton of value available. Mariners’ LHP Ariel Miranda ($5,900) vs. the KC and Cardinals RHP Mike Leake ($6,400) are a few picks I didn’t touch on that I like tonight.
Ervin Santana — MIN vs. LAA — $9,300 – On the late night slate, there aren’t many appealing elite SP options. Jacob deGrom ($12,300) and Alex Wood ($11,600) each have nightmare matchups. So Santana gets the nod here vs. his former team, whom he struggled vs. back in June. For how miserable Santana has been lately (11 ER in last three starts), he still has a solid 3.07 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.
Other Options: Gerrit Cole ($8,700)
Jon Gray — COL vs. CIN — $7,600 – There’s no need to pay up for pitching tonight, and Gray is an excellent value play given his track record. In his first start since a lengthy DL stint, Gray tossed 6.0 innings, allowing two ER with 10 Ks on 102 pitches. He missed plenty of bats, D-Backs’ bats might I add, and should do the same vs. the Reds at home.
Other Options: Trevor Bauer ($7,300), Matt Garza ($5,100)
Evan Gattis — HOU vs. ATL — $4,100 – The Astros are finally playing Gattis more regularly and are being rewarded for it. He hasn’t hit for average vs. LHPs this season but has quietly been effective on DraftKings. He has four doubles, three HRs, 13 RBI and just nine Ks in 50 ABs vs. southpaws. Braves’ LHP Jaime Garcia has allowed a less-than-stellar six ER in each of his last three starts.
Other Options: J.T. Realmuto ($4,000), Yasmani Grandal ($3,500)
Martin Maldonado — LAA vs. MIN — $2,800 – There’s a strong chance you aren’t feeling the Santana pick, so here’s some insurance in case he implodes. Maldonado has quietly been one of the better hitting catchers in the AL, ranking 7th in HRs (9) and 13th in OPS (.730). He’s been solid on the road as well, hitting seven of his nine HRs with 17 RBI (6.2 DKFP per game) in 131 ABs.
Other Options: Caleb Joseph ($3,300), Ryan Hanigan ($2,800)
Freddie Freeman — ATL vs. HOU — $4,500 – In case you were too busy celebrating America yesterday, Freeman (yes, free) is back in the Braves’ lineup. He made his first start since May 17 because of a wrist injury, going 1-for-4 with a K in a tough loss. Luckily Freeman has the luxury of facing Joe Musgrove, who has allowed 14 ER on 18 hits (5 HRs) over his last two starts.
Other Options: Edwin Encarnacion ($4,700), Hanley Ramirez ($4,300)
Albert Pujols — LAA vs. MIN — $2,900 – You’re probably going “What? Another Angel?” at this point. I’m paying down for pitching people! Pujols is a nice value in this spot; he’s 5-for-21 vs. the Twins this season, but two of those hits are HRs. I’m all about nostalgia and Pujols has been very cheap despite showing signs of life this series vs. Minnesota.
Other Options: Yuli Gurriel ($3,500), Danny Valencia ($3,200)
Jose Ramirez — CLE vs. SD — $5,000 – Ramirez is back on one. By one I mean one of those tears where pitchers can’t get him out. In his last 40 ABs, Ramirez has 12 runs, three 2Bs, four HRs, eight RBI and has struck out once. Yep, once. Ramirez has hits in nine of 10 and a high floor with at least five DKFP in each of those contests. Luis Perdomo on the mound for the Padres? Say no more.
Other Options: Dustin Pedroia ($4,400), DJ LeMaheiu ($4,100)
Brandon Drury — ARI vs. LAD — $2,900 – Drury’s price has fallen off a cliff since June 26th, when he was priced $4,600 following a hot stretch. So, we get Drury at bargain pricing, which makes him a great DraftKings tournament play given his high ceiling. Sure, Alex Wood isn’t a good matchup for anyone, but Drury has shown enough signs of life lately (3-for-8, 2 R, 2B) the past two games.
Other Options: Ehire Adrianza ($2,700)
Miguel Sano — MIN vs. LAA — $4,700 – Sano has hit the ball well vs. the Angels through six games this season, going 11-for-25 with two HRs and six RBI (12.2 DKFP per contest). The slugger gets a boost from Parker Bridwell’s inability to keep the ball down, having allowed five HRs in his last three starts. You can also opt to use Ramirez at 3B instead of 2B, but should definitely consider him for your lineup regardless.
Other Options: Travis Shaw ($4,500), Anthony Rendon ($4,400)
Martin Prado — MIA vs. STL — $3,300 – The Prado traveling showcase continues Wednesday vs. the Cardinals. In a quest to give the Marlins an even better return in a trade, Prado is batting .343 with six 2Bs and six RBI in his last 35 ABs. Most of his damage has come on the road; Prado is batting .318 with 7.4 DKFP per game in 17 away from Miami.
Other Options: Maikel Franco ($3,300), David Freese ($3,000)
UPDATE: Elvis Andrus has been placed on Paternity Leave and will not play tonight for the Rangers.
Elvis Andrus — TEX vs. BOS — $4,400 – Red Sox SP Doug Fister has done a decent job working his way out of trouble through two starts this season. That could pose a problem vs. Andrus, who has been one of the tougher outs in the MLB this season. He has hits in nine of 10 games, showing increased power with four of his 11 HRs during that stretch.
Other Options: Francisco Lindor ($4,100), Eric Sogard ($3,600)
Dansby Swanson — ATL vs. HOU — $2,800 – Sorry folks, no Troy Tulowitzki hot takes since the Jays and Yanks are playing this afternoon. So Swanson will have to take his place. As mentioned above, Freeman is back for the Braves, which benefits everyone in the lineup. Swanson continues to struggle with consistency but has been more patient at the plate, which will help vs. Musgrove (1.74 road WHIP).
Other Options: Alexi Amarista ($2,900), Gavin Cecchini ($2,600)
George Springer — HOU vs. ATL — $4,900 – While Gattis does not hit lefties well, Springer more than compensates for that. In 78 ABs vs. southpaws this season, Springer is batting .333 with nine HRs, 12 BB and 14 RBI. For some reason, Springer is conveniently priced fifth among OFers on the late slate following his 4-for-5, 31-DKFP outburst yesterday. I’d argue with the price that Springer would work in GPPs and cash games, but probably just the latter.
Other Options: Mookie Betts ($5,600), Andrew McCutchen ($4,500), Eric Thames ($4,300)
Alex Gordon — KC vs. SEA — $3,300 – Gordon is slowly working his way back to relevancy, batting .242 with 12 RBI (8.1 DKFP per game) in his last 33 ABs. He has at least nine DKFP in four of seven games (10 RBI in that stretch). Most lineups will get scared away because of the lefty on lefty matchup vs. Ariel Miranda, but that only adds to some of the GPP appeal of Gordon.
Other Options: Keon Broxton ($3,100), Brandon Moss ($3,000)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is bzweiman521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.