Back to the post-holiday grind. At least we do have just a four-day work week! Tuesday has one early game with the Cubs hosting the Reds, so these recommendations will focus on the fourteen games begging at 7:05pm ET. Let’s get to it!
Madison Bumgarner – SFG vs COL – $11,700 – Though he has “struggled” a bit in his last two starts producing just a total of 32.8 DraftKings points after posting 30+ in three of the four starts prior, this is a good situation to utilize MadBum. He has faced the Rockies twice this season already with a 1-0 record, 13 1/3 innings pitched, just 15 base runners allowed along with three earned runs which have been more than offset by the 16 punch outs. He is the top play on the board.
Carlos Carrasco – CLE vs DET – $11,500 – After posting back-to-back 40+ DraftKings performances in Toronto and in Detroit, Carrasco is going to be an incredibly popular option. We have seen his upside against these very same Tigers ten days ago; however, they are still a dangerous team. I prefer Bumgarner’s matchup if I am looking for safety. However, I do plan on having Carrasco on a couple of my tournament teams.
Jake Odorizzi – TBR vs LAA – $6,500 – Odorizzi’s price is usually suppressed since he plays in the meat grinder also known as the American League East Division. Some of his best performances have come against teams that do not see him all the time, and at this very reasonable price tag, we can work in some of the more expensive bats and still get a pitcher with a promising project in the mid-teens from a DraftKings scoring perspective.
Dallas Keuchel – HOU vs SEA – $7,600 – Keuchel has not been nearly as good this season as he was in 2015 when he won the American League Cy Young Award. He is, however, a player that has upside when we consider is Tuesday’s salary. In 203 at bats against current Mariners, he has a .256/.296/.419 slash line and a healthy 26.3% strikeout rate.
Paul Goldschmidt (1B) – ARZ vs SDP – $5,400 – Goldy at home against a lefty is of course one of the daily fantasy baseball rallying cries. Over the last 315 hitters he has faced, LHP Christian Friedrich has allowed a .362 wOBA and a 31.5% hard hit rate. Yes, a fair chunk of those matchups took place in Coors Field, but Chase Field is a very batter friendly environment as well. This price point will likely dissuade a lot of gamers who will be spending on pitching Tuesday.
David Ortiz (1B) – BOS vs TEX – $5,200 – Big Papi continues to go out in style for his swan song season and in lefty/righty matchups this year he has a .485 wOBA and an off-the-charts .388 ISO. RHP A.J. Griffin is at a major disadvantage in this matchup.
Miguel Sano (3B/OF) – MIN vs OAK – $4,400 – Sano has turned into a terrific hitter in a very short time. Over his career spanning 130 plate appearances against left-handed pitchers, he has an elite .400 wOBA and a 155 wRC+ which means he creates runs at a 55% better clip than the average batter does against lefties.
Nelson Cruz (OF) – SEA at HOU – $5,300 – Cruz has the fourth highest home run total in the American League with 21 so far this season, and he is someone we ALWAYS want to consider against southpaws. Eleven of his jacks have come against left-handed pitching in just under half the at bats as his 10 against right-handed pitching. Enjoy!
Corey Seager (SS) – LAD vs BAL – $4,800 – It is a day ending in “y” so we are going to want to take a look at Seager in this lefty/righty matchup against RHP Chris Tillman. The leading National League Rookie of the Year candidate has posted a .404 wOBA with a .960 OPS against right-handed pitching in his career and he is the clear cut top option at his position today.
Welington Castillo (CATCH) – ARZ vs SDP – $4,600 – “Beef” Welington is getting a pricing boost, along with most of the Diamondback hitters for their matchup against LHP Christian Friedrich. Against LHP this season, Castillo owns a .703 SLG and a whopping 1.123 OPS.
Michael Saunders (OF) – TOR vs KCR – $4,300 – RHP Chris Young has allowed 22 home runs so far this season and is leading the league in that ignominious category. The amazing thing is that he has done it against just 139 hitters, which means he is allowing a home run every 6.3 batters. Saunders is a tremendous option on Tuesday. Teammate Devon Travis (2B) – $4,100 is also favorably priced considering the circumstances and over his last 250 plate appearances against right-handed pitching he has a .368 wOBA and a .200 ISO.
Stephen Piscotty (OF) – STL vs PIT – $4,500 – With rookie RHP Jameson Taillon placed on the disabled list with shoulder fatigue after just five starts, the Pirates are calling up in LHP Steven Brault who will be making his first appearance in The Show. Piscotty has been stellar this season against southpaws with a .432 wOBA and a .230 ISO and is an excellent tournament option.
Corey Dickerson (OF) – TBR vs LAA – $3,200 – This is a great matchup for Dickerson, and while he is not producing at the same rate he did last year when Coors Field was his home ballpark, he is showing power this season in lefty/righty matchups with a .266 ISO. We have seen that RHP Tim Lincecum is not able to really even come close to his peak powers, and he is a fifth starter at best. Teammate Brad Miller (SS) – $3,900 is also in play and he looks to be a fixture in the two-hole for the Rays when they are facing right-handed pitchers.
Chris Carter (1B) – MIL at WAS – $3,800 – LHP Gio Gonzalez is someone who can be targeted against, and while he will spin a gem from time-to-time he is not the pitcher he was two or three seasons ago. Carter has two home run upside in any game, and he is a very nice tournament play.
Justin Turner (3B) – LAD vs BAL – $3,700 – RHP Chris Tillman has been allowing 1.51 HR/9 to same-handed hitters over his last 48 starts. While he does get a positive park shift and will be facing his opposite member on Tuesday instead of a designated hitter, we can still target him with Dodgers. Since the beginning of 2014, Turner has posted a .377 wOBA against right-handed pitching and he is always a threat for multi-extra base hits. Teammate Trayce Thompson (OF) – $3,400 should be in the lineup with fellow outfield Joc Pederson on the disabled list and he has been fantastic against same-handed matchups over his last 250 plate appearances with a .354 wOBA and a .220 plus he is always a threat to steal.
Franklin Gutierrez (OF) – SEA at HOU – $3,500 – If you have followed my content this season, you know that when Nelson Cruz makes the list, Franklin Gutierrez will not be too far behind. Over his last 200 at bats against southpaws, Gutierrez has a .403 wOBA and 15 home runs. He is a nice discount option tonight and will allow us to work in some of the top pitching options.
Brandon Belt (1B) – SFG vs COL – $3,800 – Belt has been excellent in lefty/righty matchups and while RHP Tyler Chatwood tends to do better away from Coors Field like most Rockies pitchers, we can look to him in the late game sets as a bat with upside as evidenced by his .363 wOBA and .137 wRC+ over the last two plus seasons.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is emac) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.