As we enter the final game before the All-Star Break, we have 15 games to look forward to today. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Madison Bumgarner – SFG vs. ARZ – $13,000 – Bumgarner comes into today as the highest priced pitcher by far, as he’s $1,400 more than Carlos Carrasco. Bumgarner has been a bit disappointing from a fantasy perspective lately, as he’s averaging 18.2 FPPG in his last three starts in what were perceived as good matchups for him. In three games against the A’s, Phillies and Rockies, Bumgarner has pitched 18.2 innings allowing seven runs on 16 hits with a 17:3 K:BB ratio. These aren’t bad number by any means, but for the price Bumgarner has been ($14,000, $13,000 and $11,700) they have been. Pitching at AT&T Park certainly will help him out, as he’s averaging 24.4 FPPG here. The Diamondbacks are one of the top hitting teams against lefties, owning a .354 wOBA with a .353 OBO and a .483 SLG. A fade of Bumgarner in this spot may not be the worst idea you’ve ever had, but with the matchups on tap today, you may be forced to consider him.
Tyler Chatwood – COL vs. PHI – $6,300 – I’m not phased by this game being at Coors Field. The Phillies have proven their offense is just as bad at Coors Field as it is away from Coors Field. In the three games prior to today, the Phillies have managed just 10 runs against the Rockies. Chatwood has been a fantastic pitcher away from Coors Field and I’m thinking he may be able to produce some of that magic today. Overall, Chatwood owns a 3.08 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP in 15 starts this season. His strikeouts aren’t very impressive by any means, owning a 5.6 K/9 on the season, but going against the Phillies has proven to be a plus matchup for almost every pitcher this season, so I’m willing to take my chances.
Mark Trumbo (OF) – BAL vs. LAA – $5,300 – Trumbo is about as locked in as you can get right now as he heads into the All-Star break. Over his last ten games, Trumbo is averaging 14 FPPG going 14-42 with two doubles, six home runs, 12 RBIs and a .810 SLG. He faces Lincecum, who in his short time back in the majors, is allowing a .539 wOBA to righties with a .759 SLG. Trumbo at home is always an option and has essentially been automatic.
Marcell Ozuna (OF)- MIA vs CIN – $4,000 – Ozuna hasn’t been hitting that well as of late, but his matchup is one I can’t pass up. Going against a left-handed pitcher has made Ozuna a lock in my lineup almost every time it happens. Coming into this game, Ozuna owns a .482 wOBA against lefties with a .753 SLG and a .384 ISO. He faces Cody Reed, who is allowing a .467 wOBA to righties with a .689 SLG. Oh, did I mention seven of the eight home runs Reed has allowed (in just four starts) came off righties?
Jose Aluve (2B) – HOU vs. OAK – $5,500 – Altuve continues to be one of the highest priced hitters in all of baseball and rightfully so, he’s been doing it all for the Astros. He faces off against Sean Manaea today, who has been great against lefties, but falters against righties. Manaea owns a .377 wOBA against righties with a .529 SLG allowed. Altuve has been solid against lefties, owning a .405 wOBA with a .518 SLG. Batting leadoff is the cherry on top for Altuve today.
Manny Machado (3B/SS) – BAL vs. LAA – $5,100 – Machado isn’t on the insane tear he was on earlier this season, but he’s still been getting it done at the plate at a very productive rate. He faces Tim Lincecum today, who is having some early season struggles agaisnt righties, owning a .539 wOBA against them with a .759 SLG allowed. Camden Yards has been the sweet spot for Machado, as he has a .420 wOBA with a .624 SLG in his friendly hitting home.
Todd Frazier (3B) – CHW vs. ATL – $4,100 – Frazier is facing someone who is certainly no stranger to allowing home runs in a game, Mike Foltynewicz. Averaging 2.3 home runs per nine innings, Foltynewicz has 11 total home runs allowed in eight starts this season. Frazier is luckily in the midst of a hot streak, hitting four dingers in his past 10 games. For a somewhat cheap bat at third base with some serious power, Frazier seems like a solid option today.
Josh Donaldson (3B) – TOR vs. DET – $5,600 – His price tag is insanely high, which has Donaldson low on my list. However, his matchup today certainly is a good one taking on Anibal Sanchez. Sanchez is allowing a .384 wOBA to righties this season with a .548 SLG and 10 of his 16 home runs allowed. Donaldson is absolutely on fire right now, averaging 14.7 FPPG over his last 10, as he’s 14-38 with two doubles, four home runs, eight RBIs and 10 walks.
Jayson Werth (OF) – WAS vs. NYM – $3,600 – I really like Werth as a super low owned outfielder today going up against Steven Matz. Believe it or not, Werth has been smoking left-handed pitching this season owning a .471 wOBA with a .667 SLG and a .282 ISO. While it looks as if Matz is back on track, Matz has allowed some power to righties allowing all nine of the home runs he’s given up to them. It may be a bit of a stretch today, but Werth could be a flier if you’re looking to save some money.
Daniel Descalso (1B/2B) – COL vs. PHI – $3,400 Grabbing some Coors Field exposure at just $3,400 is always something to take advantage of. Descalso is eligible at both first and second base. He takes on Eflin today, who is allowing a .341 wOBA to lefties on the road with a .529 SLG. At Coors Field this season, Descalso owns a .414 wOBA with a .486 SLG and a .463 OBP.
Brian McCann © – NYY vs. CLE – $3,500 – Believe me, you’ll be a bit surprised about this matchup once I give you the numbers. Carlos Carrasco has been one of the most consistent pitchers on the mound this season for sure, but his numbers at home are vastly different from on the road. Against lefties at Progressive Field, Carrasco owns a .404 wOBA with a .577 SLG with four of his 10 home runs allowed. McCann has been hot lately, averaging 12.1 FPPG over his last ten. Against righties on the road, McCann has a .342 wOBA and a .450 SLG.
Paul Goldschmidt (1B) – ARZ vs. SFG – $3,700 – It’s not very often you’ll get Goldy this cheap anymore, as he’s completely turned his season around. His strong point has been against lefties and he has some decent BvP numbers against Bumgarner on top of that. Coming into this game against lefties, Goldy owns a .467 wOBA with a .603 SLG and a .219 ISO. For this cheap, I’ll certainly take my chances against MadBum.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.