There are fourteen games on tap tonight with some top-shelf pitching options as well as several pitchers to target with hitters. Please allow me the honor of being the first to say – Happy Wily Peralta Day!
Max Scherzer – WAS vs CLE – $12,900 – Today we are looking at some extremes with our pitching choices. Scherzer definitely is at the top of the list, of course this being baseball, we must be aware that he is just two home runs away from having allowed the most in the League. On the flipside, he is the co-leader with Jose Fernandez at the top of the strikeout leaderboard with 198 this season. Cleveland will be losing the designated hitter slot with this game being played in a National League park, and they are projected to plate just 3.2 runs, the second lowest total on the day. There are enough discounted hitters and SP2s that we can afford to anchor our lineups with Scherzer.
Kenta Maeda – LAD vs PHI – $9,700 – The Phillies have been a bottom five team for most of the season with regards to scoring efficiency against right-handed pitching, and they have the lowest projected run total for Tuesday at a measly 2.9 runs. While they have averaged six runs per game over the last week, on the season they are averaging 3.71 rpg which is the second lowest in the League. Maeda should make it through the sixth inning in this matchup and he has enough strikeout potential to flirt with 20 DraftKings points as the Dodgers are favorites to garner the victory which is worth four DraftKings points.
Matt Moore – SFG at MIA – $7,900 – Moore is a volatile pitcher, but if he is able to work his way around Giancarlo Stanton, Martin Prado and Marcell Ozuna, he does have some nice upside potential against the Marlins. With the discounted hitting options recommended below, it is not too much of a stretch to put together a solid lineup with both Max Scherzer and Kenta Maeda. However, swapping one of them to Moore will allow more maneuverability with lineup construction.
Luis Perdomo – SDP at PIT – $5,400 – Over his last six games Perdomo has averaged 12.5 DraftKings points, and LHP Steven Matz – NYM vs ARZ – $8,800 has averaged 14.6 fantasy points. If we remove the points each has earned for wins, those numbers are 10.4 and 13.9 respectively. This is not a safe play; however, considering the $3,400 difference in salary that we will be able to allocate to our hitters by rolling with Perdomo, this becomes an interesting decision point for tournaments.
Freddie Freeman (1B) – ATL at MIL – $5,200 – While this is the first time since July 2015 where we have seen Freeman’s price tag exceed $5,000, he is in a tremendous matchup with struggling RHP Wily Peralta who has a 6.68 ERA and a 1.88 WHIP this season and really has no business being in the starting rotation for any team and is only getting the chance because of an injury to Junior Guerra. Since the beginning of 2014, Freeman has tallied a .380 wOBA and a .890 OPS, and he is a fine option in all formats tonight as most gamers are not going to want to pay this price.
A sneaky team stack will be the Bravos and we can include Nick Markakis (OF) – $4,700, Matt Kemp (OF) – $4,800, Ender Inciarte (OF) – $4,600, Jace Peterson (2B/OF) – $4,100 and Adonis Garcia (3B) – $4,400 as a VERY contrarian play since most gamers will not be able to bring themselves to commit to these higher than usual price tags.
Justin Turner (3B) – LAD vs PHI – $4,400 – This is a fine matchup for turner against young RHP Vincent Velazquez on Tuesday. Over his last 754 at bats in same-handed matchups, Turner has compiled a .386 wOBA and a .200 ISO. He should be in the middle of the Dodgers order, and that is a good run producing spot.
Miguel Sano (3B/OF) – MIN vs HOU – $4,400 – Sano has been working his way out of his funk, and it was capped off by him actually hitting the roof of Tropicana Field on Sunday with a pop up. RHP Mike Fiers is allowing a .334 wOBA, 36.4% hard contact rate and a 1.35 HR/9 in righty/righty matchups. Enjoy!
Kris Bryant (3B/OF) – CHC vs LAA – $5,300 – With Bryant’s multi-position eligibility, we can play both him and Sano in our outfield if we are looking to stack our lineup with batters possessing multi-extra base hit upside. In his career he has been very effective against fellow same-handed pitching with a .375 wOBA and a .220 ISO and 36 home runs and 82 total extra base hits across 718 at bats. RHP Jered Weaver is a disaster waiting to happen in this matchup on Tuesday.
Daniel Murphy (2B) – WAS vs CLE – $5,100 – Murphy has been simply amazing this season, and he currently leads the National League with a .350 batting average and is third with 81 RBI. RHP Trevor Bauer tends to get cute on the mound and run up his pitch count, this bodes well for a patient hitter like Murphy.
Stephen Piscotty (OF) – STL vs CIN – $4,300 – In his brief career, Piscotty has shown a nice ability to crush offerings from southpaws with a .426 wOBA and a .260 ISO through 185 plate appearances. LHP Brandon Finnegan struggles with right-handed hitters allowing a 37.7 hard hit rate and a 1.80 HR/9 rate putting Piscotty on the short list for home runs.
Jose Altuve (2B) – HOU at MIN – $4,900 – Altuve received a day of rest on Monday, and he should be back in the lineup on Tuesday just in time to square off with LHP Hector Santiago who was recently acquired by the Twins from the Angels. Currently, Altuve leads the American League with a .356 average, and he is third with 25 stolen bases. Between him and Daniel Murphy, this position is locked down with excellent fantasy options.
Victor Martinez (1B) – DET at SEA – $4,100 – V-Mart is still a tough customer when he is facing lefties, and LHP Wade LeBlanc can be pretty shaky at times. Over the last two plus seasons, the switch-hitting Martinez has accumulated a .412 wOBA and a .220 ISO against southpaws.
San Diego Padre Youngsters – RHP Chad Kuhl is back up in The Show to make a start for the Pirates, and while he did have a good outing against the Nationals, pitching six scoreless inning in mid-July, he has otherwise had middling results. Ryan Schimpf (2B) – $3,700 and Alex Dickerson (OF) – $3,700 both have shown some nice power upside since being called up from the farm system themselves. They are fine one-off plays or as part of a synergy package in Pittsburgh on Tuesday night.
Jake Smolinski (OF) – OAK vs BAL – $3,100 – Often times when the Athletics are facing a left-handed starter, Smolinski has been appearing towards the top of the batting order. Regardless, this is a favorable price point when considering Smolinski has an absurd .418 wOBA and a .270 ISO against lefties over his last 188 plate appearances, and LHP Wade Miley has been known to give up crooked numbers when taking the mound.
Troy Tulowizki (SS) – TOR vs TBR – $3,200 – Tulo has a hit in 16 of his last 19 games, and he will be in the middle of one of the highest projected scoring offenses Tuesday against LHP Drew Smyly. Over his last 296 plate appearances against left-handed pitching he has accrued a .428 wOBA and a .260 ISO. While about half of that production came in Coors Field, the Rogers Centre is a pretty good hitter’s park too.
Corey Dickerson (OF) – TBR at TOR – $2,800 – RHP Marco Estrada does a pretty good job of containing hitters swinging the stick from the left-side of the plate, and over his last 53 appearances, he has a .276 wOBA and a 28.5% hard hit rate. However, he does have a 1.25 HR/9. While I generally do not recommend holding out hope for a home run, this price point is just too good for me to overlook Dickerson as an extreme discount dandy.
James McCann (CATCH) – DET at SEA – $3,000 – McCann is generally behind the dish for the Motor City Kitties when they are dealing with a left-handed starter, and he is a nice source of cheap power. With 23 extra-base hits over his last 184 at bats against southpaws including 11 home runs.
Marcus Semien (SS) – OAK vs BAL – $3,600 – Even though Semien is often in the bottom third of the Athletics batting order, he is another player with power upside who is all too often overlooked, even when he is in a righty/lefty matchup. While he only has a .236 average, he does have 23 home runs and nine stolen bases, so he produces well when everything comes together making him an excellent tournament option.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is emac) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.