As I always do on Sunday, I cover the entire slate of games taking place. Let’s get you ready for today, and, as always, you can find me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Madison Bumgarner – SFG vs. ATL – $12,800 – Taking on the Braves for the second time this season, Bumgarner put in one of his best performances of the season against this team the first time out. In that prior start, MadBum went 7.2 innings allowing no runs on four hits with an 11:2 K:BB ratio. The Braves land in the lower half of the league in terms of offensive categories against lefties, owning a .315 wOBA with a decent .332 OBP and a .394 SLG. The Braves continue to be a fairly tough team to strike out, but as evidenced by his prior start, that was no problem for Bumgarner. With this start taking place in San Francisco, you have to like his chances here.
Jon Lester – CHC vs. LAD – $11,500 – Moving right down the list for pitchers today, Lester checks in as our second stud of the day taking on the Dodgers. Like Bumgarner, Lester had one of his best performances of the season against this club earlier this season. Lester threw a complete game allowing one run on four hits with a 10:0 K:BB, good for 42.4 DraftKings points. The Dodgers were, and still are, one of the worst offensive teams against lefties this season, owning a .291 wOBA with a .310 OBP and a .351 SLG.
Ivan Nova – PIT vs. MIL – $8,000 – Nova has been good since coming over to the Pirates in a trade deadline move and faces off against the Brewers today. The Brewers do hit well at home, owning a .342 wOBA with a .341 OBP and a .459 SLG. However, the K% they own at 27.1% not only leads the league, but leads it by 2.4% over the Padres. That’s quite the difference. If Nova can avoid any major trouble, grabbing some strikeouts here are a huge possibility and could put him in line for a good score. Averaging 18.2 FPPG since moving over to the Pirates, Nova is a decent SP2 option.
Chris Archer – TBR vs. HOU – $9,900 – I’m hesitant to put Archer in this spot since he’s pitching on the road. As we’ve seen many times this season, his numbers on the road and at home show quite the difference. However, facing the Astros, he certainly has a good chance to rack up a good game with strikeouts alone. At home, Houston owns a 23.5 K%, which ranks as the fifth highest in the league. They do hit well at home with a .332 wOBA and a .445 SLG, but Archer isn’t that expensive that I wouldn’t consider using him in this spot. For what it’s worth, in his last three road starts against the Yankees, Dodgers and Rockies, Archer is averaging 25.3 FPPG with a 28:5 K:BB ratio.
Joey Votto (1B) – CIN vs. ARZ – $5,000 – Votto is once again one of the top options today, as he takes on Archie Bradley at Chase Field. Bradley has been having issues with lefties all season long, owning a .411 wOBA with a .561 SLG. Votto, after crushing a home run last night en route to his 23-point night, owns a .437 wOBA on the road against righties with a .587 SLG.
J.D. Martinez (OF) – DET vs. LAA – $5,000 – When a left-handed pitcher comes to town against the Tigers, Martinez is essentially a lock in my lineup. With a .449 wOBA against lefties at home, Martinez has crushed in these situations, owning a .686 SLG and a 1.086 OPS. He faces Tyler Skaggs, who in his limited time back in the majors is allowing a .391 wOBA to righties on the road with all three of his home runs allowed.
Nelson Cruz (OF)- SEA vs CHW – $4,600 – Here’s your “Cruz is facing a left-handed pitcher” blurb of the day. It’s even better that it’s on the road, as that’s where Cruz has been the most successful. Cruz owns a .466 wOBA against lefties on the road with a .744 SLG with 11 of his 29 home runs. Rodon continues his struggles against righties, with a .342 wOBA at home with seven home runs allowed.
David Ortiz (1B) – BOS vs. KCR – $5,600 – Ortiz is very expensive today, but he’s always worth a look when he’s playing at Fenway Park. At home, Ortiz owns a .463 wOBA with a .702 SLG with a 1.149 OPS. He faces Yordano Ventura, who has allowed nine of his total of 20 home runs to lefties on the road to go along with a .313 wOBA.
Trea Turner (2B/OF) – WAS vs. COL – $4,900 – Turner has been doing it all for the Nationals, stealing 17 bases in 40 games along with four home runs, 20 RBIs and averaging 11.5 FPPG. He faces Chad Bettis today, who is allowing an overall .353 wOBA to righties with 13 of his 18 total home runs allowed. A constant threat on the base paths makes Turner a constant target.
Jake Lamb (3B) – ARZ vs. CIN – $4,500 – A recent slump for Lamb has driven his price way down from where it once was, which makes him a great target for today. Homer Bailey, recently returned from Tommy John, is allowing a .399 wOBA to lefties since his return. It’s not a huge sample, but his career numbers have always shown poor results against lefties, with a career .333 wOBA against them. Lamb possesses great power and has been fantastic at home with a .406 wOBA against righties.
Michael Saunders (OF) – TOR vs. MIN – $3,900 – If Saunders is in the lineup today, he draws a fantastic matchup against Kyle Gibson. On the road against lefties, Gibson has been a complete mess, allowing a .425 wOBA with a .607 SLG with five of his 14 total home runs allowed. Likewise, Saunders owns a .390 wOBA against righties at home with a .538 SLG.
Jay Bruce (OF) – NYM vs. PHI – $3,500 – Bruce has not been good since coming over from the Reds. It hasn’t even been a full month with his new team and he is already hearing boos from the hometown crowd. However, he has a great matchup on tap against Vince Velasquez. On the road, Velasquez has had a number of issues, especially against lefties, who have a .402 wOBA against him with a .530 SLG. Bruce is cheap enough to take a flier on in this spot.
Matt Kemp (OF) – ATL vs. SFG – $3,500 – I’m usually not a huge fan of targeting against Madison Bumgarner, but it’s hard to deny how well Matt Kemp hits left-handed pitching. On the season, Kemp owns a .402 wOBA with a .631 SLG with nine of his 26 home runs. He’s cheap enough to take a flier on and someone that will most likely be low owned.
Asdrubal Cabrera (SS) – NYM vs. PHI – $3,500 – Cabrera has been crushing the ball since his return from injury and gets a fantastic matchup today against Vince Velasquez. As I said earlier, Velasquez is awful on the road, allowing a .378 wOBA with a .508 SLG.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.