Today is a great day for baseball with sixteen total games on the schedule. The Chicago Cubs host the Milwaukee Brewers in a day/night doubleheader but we should know the official lineups in plenty of time. There are games in Colorado, Texas, Arizona, Cincinnati, Wrigley Field and Yankee Stadium, so offense is going to be plentiful tonight and we will likely see some eye-popping scores.
Corey Kluber – CLE vs CHW – $11.400 – Kluber will be an incredibly popular option on Tuesday because he gets a matchup with the White Sox who have been a middle-of-the-road squad against right-handed pitching this season. Chicago is familiar with Kluber and their current lineup has 224 at bats with a .263/.310/.402 slash line, but they have only managed four home runs. Cleveland are favorites to get the win, and the additional four bonus points that come along with it would really be nice for the Klubot Krew.
Danny Duffy – KCR at DET – $12,700 – Yikes, this is a lofty price point for a pitcher on the road against the Tigers. However, Miguel Cabrera left last night’s game after straining his left bicep. On the season, Detroit has been just above league average from a scoring efficiency standpoint. While they will run out a lot of right-handed batters, the quality drops off quickly after Victor Martinez, Ian Kinsler and J.D. Martinez with a lackluster cast that includes recently promoted Casey McGehee, the struggling Justin Upton and lineup fillers Mike Aviles, James McCann and Dixon Machado.
Dallas Keuchel – HOU vs STL – $8,400– While his season long averages are nothing to write home about (4.56 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP), Keuchel does have a 8.5 K/9 rate. Over his last five starts, he has had one dud in Detroit where he was shellacked for seven earned runs in five inning, and a masterful complete game shutout against the Texas Rangers where he earned 40.3 DraftKings points. The truth is in the middle and it is supported by his 19.8 fantasy point average over his last dozen starts. The Cardinals are projected to plate just 3.8 runs today, despite the addition of the designated hitter slot, which highlights their struggles against left-handed pitching where they’re squarely planted in the bottom third of the MLB.
Ariel Miranda – SEA at LAA – $4,000 – For tournament use only, but at this price point we can gain some serious flexibility when selecting our hitters, and there are games in Coors Field, Yankee Stadium, Globe Life Park, Chase Field, The Great American Ballpark and Camden Yards. If Miranda can get to double digit fantasy points, it will be a successful play.
Corey Seager (SS) – LAD at PHI – $4,800 – This is a nice park shift for the Dodgers as they travel to Philadelphia. Last Tuesday, RHP Vincent Velasquez got knocked around by the Dodgers in Chavez Ravine allowing nine earned runs, thirteen baserunners and three home runs. Over his last 424 plate appearances in lefty/righty match-ups, Seager has tallied a .403 wOBA and a .960 OPS and is always a threat for a multi-home run game having posted four already this season.
Jose Altuve (2B) – HOU vs STL – $4,900 – While LHP Jaime Garcia has been nails against fellow lefties, he does struggle with hitters swinging the stick from the right-side of the plate. We know Altuve is phenomenal against southpaws, but we shouldn’t forget he is leading the League with a .362 overall batting average and is also sixth with 26 stolen bases. He is a fine option in all formats.
Stephen Piscotty (OF) – STL at HOU – $4,400 – Staying in the same game, we can move to the Cardinals and target Stephen Piscotty who has been outstanding against southpaws over 199 career plate appearances compiling a .410 wOBA and a .250 ISO. While LHP Dallas Keuchel has been steadily improving for the last two plus months, he has not regained last season’s form which earned him the American League Cy Young Award.
Mike Trout (OF) – LAA vs SEA – $4,400 – This is a very favorable price for Mike Trout who is one of the best baseball players in all of the land. On tap Tuesday is a matchup with rookie LHP Ariel Miranda who is a fine young pitcher, but he is facing the 2014 AL MVP who boasts a .400 wOBA and a 163 wRC+ when facing southpaws over the last two plus seasons.
Nolan Arenado (3B) – COL vs WAS – $5,500 – There is no discount here but this is a terrific matchup for Arenado against LHP Gio Gonzalez. Over his last 360 at bats in righty/lefty matchups, Arenado has accumulated a .368 wOBA and a .240 ISO. He is one of the best options for a home run on Tuesday.
Freddie Freeman (1B) – ATL vs MIN – $4,900 – Though he is 0 for 9 in his career against former teammate RHP Ervin Santana, this is a fine matchup for Freeman who has been on a tear over his last ten games with five home runs, three doubles, eleven RBI and twelve runs scored. Enjoy!
Jonathan Lucroy (CATCH) – TEX vs OAK – $5,100 – Lucroy has been topping most projection models since moving to the Rangers from Milwaukee. He is adept at hitting both right-handed and left-handed pitchers, and even though he will likely be batting sixth he is a luxury option worth targeting on Tuesday.
Daniel Murphy (2B) – WAS at COL – $5,600 – Murphy is second in the League with a .342 batting average this season, and he is a fine play in Coors Field in a lefty/righty matchup with RHP Chad Bettis. If you can scrape together the salary, he is a tremendous option.
Jonathan Villar (SS) – MIL at CHC – $3,400 – In the event Villar is in the lineup for the second game of the doubleheader, I’d recommend locking him in at this outstanding price point as he continues to battle Billy Hamilton for the stolen base crown.
Corey Dickerson (OF) – TBR vs SDP – $3,200 – Dickerson has dropped even further in the order now that Logan Morrison is back, but at this price point we can look to him as a discount dandy. With the extra salary cap to use elsewhere, if he just gives us one productive at-bat we will be sitting pretty.
Adam Lind (1B) – SEA at LAA – $3,900 – Look to the Mariners against RHP Jhoulys Chacin who has been shaky this season with a 5.84 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP with 12 home runs allowed and a 0.8 K/9 rate in 98 2/3 innings.
Jett Bandy or Geovany Soto (CATCH) – LAA vs SEA – $2,600 – Whomever is catching for the Angels is a fine punt play on Tuesday as both fare well against southpaws and offer cheap power upside.
Ryan Raburn (OF) – COL vs WAS – $3,300 – There is still a decent chance that Raburn starts off the game for the Rockies against LHP Gio Gonzalez, but as soon as the game goes to the bullpen and a righty reliever is inserted, he will be replaced for a pinch hitter. Still, one good swing of the bat can make him very valuable.
Chris Coghlan (2B/3B) – CHC vs MIL – $2,900 – With the Brewers and Cubbies playing a double header and Coghlan having multiple position eligibility, he may emerge as another discount option that will provide flexibility from a lineup construction perspective.
Derek Dietrich (2B) – FLA at CIN – $3,400 – Double D should be back in action on Tuesday when the Marlins square off with RHP Anthony Desclafani. Over his last 680 plate appearances in lefty/righty match-ups, he has posted a .361 wOBA and a .830 OPS. While he is not much with the glove, Miami will definitely need his bat as they try to replace Giancarlo Stanton and stay relevant in the Wild Card standings.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is emac) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.