We have six games this afternoon that provides some solid guys to build around sprinkled with some value plays. With the majority of the aces having pitched their respective games, we start to get into the middle of the rotations, which can be great for our hitters today. Let’s just into all the information, and as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Carlos Carrasco – CLE vs. BOS – $10,000 – This slate honestly is thin on quality pitchers, as is evident by me inserting Carlos Carrasco into this spot. Not that we have anything wrong with him, but a threat of rain looms in this matchup. Carrasco had quite the extreme splits at home and away last season, pitching MUCH better at home than he did on the road. Even with average results at home, Carrasco owned a 9.9 K/9 at Progressive Field. With that being said, the Indians improved their defense during the off season which should only help Carrasco in the long run. In an unimpressive slate, Carrasco gets the nod from me.
Jose Fernandez – MIA vs. DET – $11,700 – The only reason I don’t have Fernandez over Carrasco is because I worry about this matchup for Fernandez. Detroit has a dangerous lineup that doesn’t really give up at all 1-9. With that being said, Fernandez strikes out teams at an elite rate, owning a K/9 of 11 in a short season for the young ace. This Tigers team ranked 16th in strikeouts last season and if anything have improved their lineup with the addition of Justin Upton. I feel as though Fernandez will be under owned today and his potential is always through the roof.
Taylor Jungmann – MIL vs. SF – $6,100 – The most attractive part of Jungmann here is his price point. He’s the cheapest pitcher on the slate, but he does have a tough matchup ahead of him. Even with his production trailing off near the end of the season, Jungmann still managed an 8.1 K/9 on the season. Jungmann does produce a good amount of ground balls, at a rate of 46.3%, so if he can improve upon that number from last year, he should see much more success. The Giants were a tough team to strike out last season, ranking 22nd, but at the minimum price for this slate, Jungmann is worth a look.
Troy Tulowitzki (SS) – TOR vs. TB – $4,100 – Tulo is a must for me in this early slate. His success against left-handed pitchers has been well documented, and this afternoon he gets Matt Moore. In 2015, Tulo owned a .396 wOBA against left handed pitchers with an ISO of .190. Moore hasn’t been able to really figure it out since returning from Tommy John surgery last year. Moore allowed a .335 wOBA to lefties last season, giving up four of his nine home runs to them.
Giancarlo Stanton (OF) – MIA vs. DET – $5,100 – We all love Stanton. We may not love his salary, but we love that he can park one at any given moment. Well, he’s in a perfect spot today going up against Anibal Sanchez, who allowed 17 of 29 home runs to right handed batters. Stanton owned a .375 wOBA against righties with an ISO of .291. The majority of his home runs come against righties, as he hit 18 of 27 last year. This would be a REALLY tough fade for me today no matter what type of game you’re playing.
Adrian Beltre (3B) – TEX vs. SEA – $4,600 – Beltre, in my opinion, is always over looked on a nightly basis. Which could end up being a big advantage to you, the reader. Beltre hits well against left-handed pitching, as he owns a .393 wOBA against them with an ISO of .237. He faces off with Wade Miley today, who gave up 14 of his 17 home runs to right-handed batters last season with the Red Sox. He’s a bit expensive, but one that I think will turn most away from him.
Paul Goldschmidt (1B) – ARZ vs. COL – $5,300 – Goldy has such a high price point, but he’s always worth it if you can make it work. As $700 more than Buster Posey, whose the second most expensive 1B, Goldy faces Tyler Chatwood, whose making his first start since April of 2014. It’s really hard to predict what Chatwood will bring today, but Goldy crushes almost everyone with his .408 wOBA and his .247 ISO. The majority of his home runs comes against RHP, hitting 25 of 33 against them last season.
“. . . Goldy crushes almost everyone with his .408 wOBA and his .247 ISO.“
David Peralta (OF) – ARZ vs COL – $3,700 – Peralta is right on the cusp of stud/values with his price point. Regardless of that, Peralta had a ton of success against RHP last season. Like Goldy, Peralta is facing a bit of an unknown with Chatwood, as we aren’t really sure what he’s going to bring in his start today. Peralta owned a .397 wOBA against righties with an ISO of .228 and 16 of his 17 home runs. Peralta has an extremely friendly salary today and one that could possess some nice upside.
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Justin Bour (1B) – MIA vs. DET – $3,100 A legit power threat that costs almost the stone minimum on DK is always going to be a value play. Bour hit 23 home runs last season with all of them coming against RHP. He faces Anibal Sanchez this afternoon, who, as I’ve mentioned, gave up 29 home runs last season. It doesn’t hurt that Bour has a .359 wOBA against righties with an ISO of .249. Tremendous value here.
Martin Prado (3B) – MIA vs. DET– $3,500 – Prado has turned into a bit of a forgotten man since he joined the Marlins. One aspect that isn’t forgotten is that he can still hit. Prado owns a .305 wOBA against right-handed pitching and faces Anibal Sanchez today. Prado is someone that will almost most certainly be overlooked with names like Josh Donaldson on the board. Sanchez really struggled with those RHB last season, allowing a .368 wOBA.
Kevin Pillar (OF) – TOR vs. TB – $3,500 – I’m mostly basing this off of the fact that I think Moore is going to have a poor outing in this matchup. Pillar is not a sexy name and one that I never exactly rush to roster on a nightly basis. Pillar owned a .300 wOBA against left-handed pitching last season, which again isn’t anything fantastic, but he’s surrounded by so many elite hitters that his chances at producing something is plausible. Remember, Moore allowed a .375 wOBA to RHB last season. At $3,500 on a short slate, he’s not the worst option you could draft.