WATCH: MLB IN 90 SECONDS – NELSON CRUZ
With a 12-game slate tonight and nearly no weather concerns, we have plenty of players we can safely target. Let’s just right into all the information, and as always, you can reach me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Jon Lester – CHC vs. PIT – $11,600 – Lester faces a Pirates team that currently owns a 21.7 K% against lefties with a .289 wOBA and just a .301 OBP. Lester hasn’t been giving up a lot of hard contact over his past three starts at only 24%, and he’s been inducing a ton of groundballs with 23 over his last two starts.
Dylan Bundy – BAL vs. TAM – $7,800 – Bundy is pitching like, well, the Dylan Bundy the Orioles expected. He’s been fantastic in his first four starts of the season, averaging 21.9 FPPG with a 20:4 K:BB ratio. Bundy will face a Rays team that is third in K% against righties at 25.8%. The ballpark certainly isn’t the best, but Bundy is averaging 26.5 FPPG in two home starts thus far against the Blue Jays and the Red Sox.
Other Options – Alex Wood ($7,400), Sean Manaea ($7,600)
Matt Wieters – WAS vs. COL – $4,100 – When $4,100 feels like a discount, you know this player must be at Coors Field. Wieters posted only a modest .315 wOBA against righties last season with a .431 SLG and a .303 OBP. With that being said, if you want to get somewhat of a discount at Coors tonight, Wieters is your guy.
Other Options Buster Posey ($3,500)
Robinson Chirinos – TEX vs. MIN – $3,100 – Chirinos and Lucroy have essentially been trading off starts so far this season. but I believe Chirinos should draw the start tonight. He’s been crushing the ball in his limited opportunities, averaging 13 FPPG in seven starts with four home runs. Hector Santiago is certainly no slayer of the right-handed bats, so Chirinos could be a nice salary saver tonight.
Other Options – Chris Herrmann ($3,100)
Wil Myers – SD vs. ARI – $4,800 – If I remember anything about Zack Godley last season, it’s how atrocious he was at home. Allowing a .421 wOBA at Chase Field with a .616 SLG and a .395 OBP, this puts Myers in a great spot tonight. Myers owns a .478 wOBA against righties on the road thus far with a .789 SLG.
Other Options – Chris Davis ($4,500)
Jay Bruce – NYM vs. ATL – $3,300 – Bruce has been putting up some decent numbers as of late and became all the more valuable when he gained first base eligibility. He’ll face Julio Teheran, who has always had issues with left-handed bats. Teheran has allowed a .384 wOBA so far this season and a .325 last, with 13 of his 21 home runs allowed in 2016.
Other Options – Kennys Vargas ($4,000)
Daniel Murphy – WAS vs. COL – $5,300 – I try to stay away from Coors Field bats because I think it’s fairly obvious how they’re always in play, but I love Murphy tonight. Owning a .419 wOBA against righties and a .424 wOBA on the road against them makes him such an attractive play, even with his huge salary hit.
Other Options – Brian Dozier ($5,000)
Ben Zobrist – CHC vs. PIT – $3,700 – Zobrist has struggled at the plate recently, and that’s driven his salary down to $3,700. That’s just too cheap to ignore when you’re hitting in the heart of the Cubs’ lineup. Zobrist owned a .380 wOBA against righties on the road last season with a .388 OBP.
Other Options – Cesar Hernandez ($3,500)
Miguel Sano – MIN vs. TEX – $4,600 – I’m intrigued with Sano tonight because I believe he’ll go overlooked across the board, even though he posted some decent numbers against lefties last season. Sano owned a .345 wOBA against lefties last season with a .485 SLG and six home runs. Even with Hamels pitching well last season, he did allow 24 home runs, with 20 of them coming off the bat of a right-handed hitter.
Other Options – Nolan Arenado ($5,600), Manny Machado ($4,700)
Jake Lamb – ARI vs. SD – $3,900 – Lamb has been hitting well almost all season, and his price still feels low for the production. Averaging 10.1 FPPG thus far, he’ll face Trevor Cahill, who’s looked good thus far. With that being said, Lamb posted a .390 wOBA against righties at home last season with a .592 SLG and a .354 OBP.
Other Options – Greg Garcia ($2,600)
Trea Turner – WAS vs. COL – $5,400 – Man, what a night for Turner last night, hitting for the cycle on his way to 48 DK points. Turner has been hitting very well since his return from the disabled list, and there’s no reason to believe it won’t continue tonight. Turner posted a .409 wOBA on the road against righties last season with a .603 SLG and a .375 OBP.
Other Options – Corey Seager ($4,200)
Elvis Andrus – TEX vs. MIN – $3,800 – Andrus hit left-handed pitchers extremely well last season, and tonight he’s up against an average-at-best Hector Santiago. In 2016, Andrus owned a .352 wOBA against them with a .471 SLG and a .368 OBP. A threat to steal a bag, Andrus has consistently flown under the radar despite averaging just under eight FPPG thus far.
Other Options – Asdrubal Cabrera ($3,400)
Nelson Cruz – SEA vs. DET – $4,200 – Nelson Cruz on the road against a left-handed pitcher is about as automatic as it gets. At just $4,200 tonight, Cruz posted .497 wOBA against an LHP on the road last season with a .817 SLG and a .417 OBP. Facing Daniel Norris, who allowed a .352 wOBA against righties at home with a .500 SLG and a .331 OBP, Cruz should be matched up well here. Norris didn’t give up many home runs last season, but six of his 10 total came at home against a right-handed batter.
Other Options – Charlie Blackmon ($5,600), A.J. Pollock ($4,200)
Michael Conforto – NYM vs. ATL – ($3,200) – The Mets are filled with left-handed bats, which I think will spell trouble for Teheran. Conforto posted a .379 wOBA against righties at home last season with a .533 SLG and a .359 OBP. Hitting seven of his 12 home runs in these matchups, Conforto could be a nice salary saver in your outfield.
Other Options – Seth Smith ($3,500), Andrew Benintendi ($3,600)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.