Friday’s 14-game main slate doesn’t involve Coors Field, and that is a beautiful thing. Friday’s slate does feature the Coors Field of pitchers though, in Dodgers’ ace Clayton Kershaw and the decision of whether or not to pay up for him looms large as we build lineups for Friday. I can’t talk about everyone, so if you have questions you can find me on Twitter, @RyNoonan.
Clayton Kershaw – LAD vs. SFG – $13,700 – The aforementioned Clayton Kershaw takes on Madison Bumgarner and the Giants for the second straight outing. While Kershaw was solid last time out, he wasn’t his typically dominant self. His price is down $500 after that 21-point performance, but his salary is still going to account for 27% of your budget on Friday if you choose to roster him. I’m hoping the masses will stay away because of the last outing, and Kershaw’s success against this current Giants’ lineup (.187 wOBA) gives me little to no hesitation in paying up.
Zack Greinke – ARI vs. SD – $10,000 – It’s been a very rough start for Zack Greinke in Arizona. His current form will keep most off of him on Friday, but I think that’s a mistake. He’s priced well, and the Padres offense is the perfect medicine to ‘get right.’ They’re striking out at a 28% clip so far against right-handed pitching, and the Padres roster has a career slash line of .200/.244/.242 against Greinke over their collective careers.
Joe Ross – WAS vs. PHI – $7,700 – The Phillies may not be as bad this season as they were last season, but it’ll be close. They’re almost always a worthwhile target when selecting a cash game pitcher, and Friday is no different. Nationals right-hander Joe Ross has the ability to miss bats and induce ground balls at a high level and is exceptionally underpriced on Friday. The Phillies have one of the lowest implied run totals on the slate as well, which bodes well for Ross.
“Joe Ross has the ability to miss bats and induce ground balls at a high level”
Rich Hill – OAK vs. KC – $7,300 – I think Rich Hill makes for an intriguing tournament play today. His value is tied to his elite strikeout upside, but his opponent, the Kansas City Royals, had the lowest team strikeout rate in the league last season. That fact alone has driven Hill’s price down more than $1,000 from his last start where he struck out 10 Mariners and produced 30.7 DraftKings points.
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Carlos Correa (SS) – HOU vs. DET – $5,000 – Trevor Story’s unsustainable hot streak aside, there’s no larger chasm from the top player at the position to the second tier than Carlos Correa and the shortstop position. He handles both right-handed and left-handed pitchers well, and he has the ability to both steal bases and hit home runs. You don’t have to hone in on him when the matchup is right, because he’s always a viable play.
Jose Bautista (OF) – TOR vs. BOS – $4,900 – Jose Bautista see’s about a 100 point jump in isolated power when facing right-handed pitching, so he’s always in play against a league average or worse right-handed pitcher. Rick Porcello checks that box. Unless the Red Sox make the Green Monster double in size overnight, I think Bautista puts one on Storrow Drive.
David Ortiz (1B) – BOS vs. TOR – $4,800 – David Ortiz isn’t typically a strong starter, but he’s dominating April in his farewell season. His current form, plus his career success and familiarity with R.A. Dickey bode well for Big Papi on Friday.
Matt Carpenter (3B) – STL vs. CIN – $4,600 – Matt Carpenter has more power upside than he gets credit for. I love leadoff hitters in DFS and I think Tim Medville will have his hands full with Carpenter and the rest of the Cardinals offense today.
Mookie Betts (OF) – BOS vs. TOR – $5,200 – Did I mention that I like good leadoff hitters? The appeal of Mookie Bett is obvious. He’s hitting atop one of the highest projected offenses of the day, and his ability to do damage in the box and on the base paths raise his floor every time he takes the field.
“He’s hitting atop one of the highest projected offenses of the day”
Bryce Harper (OF) – WAS vs. PHI – $5,100 – Who has more home run (or double home run) potential than Bryce Harper? He’s elevating the ball at an incredible clip so far in 2016, and won’t be fooled by Jeremy Hellickson. It’s also a great park shift for left-handed power hitting going from Washington to Philadelphia.
Dee Gordon (2B) – MIA vs. ATL – $4,900 – The Marlins are rarely a popular stack in DFS, but they need to be considered against Williams Perez and the Braves today. They have an implied team total of 4.7 runs, one of the highest of the day, and Dee Gordon is the catalyst atop of the lineup.
Robinson Cano (2B) – SEA vs. NYY – $4,500 – Only Coors Field boasts a better hitting environment for left-handed power than Yankee Stadium, something that Robinson Cano is very familiar with. He’s reasonably priced and has been swinging it well to start 2016.
Nomar Mazara (OF) – TEX vs. BAL – $3,300 – The Rangers prized rookie has delivered in a big way to start the season, and he offers the power and speed combo that makes DFS’ers drool for $3,300. He’s perched near the top of the lineup which raises his floor and a matchup against Vance Worley is something that’s worth attacking.
Kiké Hernandez (2B/OF) – LAD vs. SFG – $2,700 – Targeting bats who are facing Madison Bumgarner is an atypical approach, but Kiké Hernandez is just too cheap and too good against left-handed pitching to ignore. He’s basically free and enters play with a wOBA north of .500 against southpaws.
J.D. Martinez (OF) – DET vs. HOU – $3,900 – Here’s another spot where we’re going against an elite starter, as J.D. Martinez and the Tigers are facing the defending A.L. Cy Young Award winner Dallas Keuchel. With that said, J.D. Martinez is just too good to be under $4,000, and the fact that they’re up against an ace will keep his ownership down.
Domingo Santana (OF) – MIL vs. SD – $3,300 – Domingo Santana will likely hit lead off for the Brewers on the road against Jeff Locke and the Pirates. $3,300 is too cheap for Santana, and he’s an elite cash game option if you’re looking to save money in the outfield.
Adam Lind (1B) – SEA vs. NYY – $3,800 – See Cano, Robinson. Targeting discounted left-handed power in Yankee Stadium is an advisable approach, and that puts Adam Lind on the radar for Friday.
Randal Grichuk (OF) – STL vs. CIN – $3,600 – After a slow start to the season Randal Grichuk has warmed up over the past week and has homered in back-to-back games. He’s still under priced, and the Cardinals offense should handle Tim Medville quite easily today.
David Peralta (OF) – ARI vs. SD – $3,300 – David Peralta, Jake Lamb, and Socrates Brito are all viable options here. They’re all cheap and are up against James Shields who has major handedness splits that work in the favor of left-handed hitters. San Diego has turned into a favorable park for left-handed hitters over the past year+, with a home run park factor of 106, or 6% above average.
Justin Bour (1B) – MIA vs. ATL – $3,400 – Justin Bour is the discounted thunder in a Marlins lineup that’ll likely perform well against Williams Perez on Friday. You’ll need to pay up for the previously mentioned Dee Gordon or Giancarlo Stanton, but Bour’s upside is there and comes with some much needed salary relief for Friday’s slate.