A 10-game slate has now been reduced to an eight-game slate after weather threw a wrench into a couple of the games last night. Aside from that, it’s the final Saturday of the regular season so make sure to keep an eye on lineups more than usual, as players will be rested.
If you’re not paying up for pitching on this slate, I’m not sure what exactly your plan is going to be. Nine pitchers are priced at $9,000 or above and the pool that’s left below them is, rather interesting to say the least. Let’s look at this slate and as always you can reach me on Twitter @SBuchanan24.
StudLuis Severino, NYY vs. TEX, $10,100 — Severino is in a great spot against a Rangers team that is very much looking forward to the season ending. They have some very poor numbers against righties and also bring one of the highest K% in the league against them at 25.4%, which is the seventh-highest. Severino is someone I think will be able to go without limitations today, as the Yankees continue to stretch him out and be ready for their playoff run. He tossed 80 pitches in his last start, meaning he should be ready for a full workload today.
Other Option — Mike Foltynewicz ($9,700)
ValueSteven Matz, NYM vs. ATL, $7,400 — I’ll always consider Matz when he’s at Citi Field because of how extreme his pitching splits are home/away. He’ll face the Braves for the sixth time this season and overall, it’s not a team he’s done well against. However, the majority of his starts came against them at SunTrust Park because at home he’s thrown eight innings against them allowing just three runs on five hits with nine strikeouts. If he can churn out a similar start today, he’ll be a fantastic value.
Other Option — Brett Anderson ($7,200)
StudYasmani Grandal, MIL vs. COL, $5,000 — The Brewers are the lucky team to end their season at Coors Field. As an added bonus, they face Chi Chi Gonzalez ($4,900), who keeps pretending to pitch well. I’m a strong believer that this start isn’t going to go well for him and Grandal will be a big part of that. Against lefties at home, Gonzalez has a .395 wOBA with a 5.21 xFIP.
Other Option — Robinson Chirinos ($4,200)
ValueTucker Barnhart, CIN vs. PIT, $3,300 — James Marvel ($4,900) is taking the mound for the Pirates and hasn’t found much success in the majors. He’s been rocked for 14 runs on 19 hits through 12 1/3 innings since being called up to the majors. He also isn’t striking out anyone and continues to be hit hard when he takes the mound. Personally. I’m on anyone with a Reds uniform in this game as I think this will end up being a Pirates bullpen game when all is said and done.
Other Option — Yadier Molina ($3,600)
StudYuli Gurriel, HOU vs. LAA, $4,400 — This slate doesn’t really need you to pay up at first base, as I think it features plenty of options in the mid and cheap range of bats. Gurriel will face the lefty Jose Suarez ($4,500), who has already allowed six runs on 14 hits through 10 innings against the Astros. Against lefties, Gurriel has a .330 wOBA with a .230 ISO.
Other Option — Paul Goldschmidt ($4,200)
ValueJose Osuna, PIT vs. CIN, $3,800 — I’m not crazy about the Pirates in this game, but it’s not often you get their cleanup hitter for $3,800. Osuna has assumed that role and has responded with hitting the ball well, averaging 7.2 DKFP over his last five games. If they can get some offense going against Kevin Gausman ($8,300) who’ll be the long releiver, Osuna could have some RBI opportunities on the cheap.
Other Option — Jake Lamb ($2,800)
StudJose Altuve, HOU vs. LAA, $4,700 — Almost impossible to fade Altuve when a lefty is taking the mound. He’s another Astros bat to use against Suarez, as Altuve enters this game in a bit of a slump but also primed for a perfect bounce-back. On the season, Altuve has a .415 wOBA, .328 ISO and a 166 wRC+ against left-handed pitching. He’ll be fineeeeee.
Other Option — Keston Hiura ($5,700)
ValueGarrett Hampson, COL vs. MIL, $3,900 — Hampson is dirt cheap for someone who is likely in the leadoff spot for the Rockies in an excellent matchup. Gio Gonzalez ($7,400) is on the mound for the Brewers and brings a track record of lefties not performing well at Coors Field. Hampson has a .305 wOBA and a .187 ISO against lefties, which isn’t great but when you’re batting leadoff at Coors Field, good things can happen.
Other Option — Ben Zobrist ($3,100)
StudDJ LeMahieu, NYY vs. TEX, $5,400 — The Rangers are implementing a bullpen game this evening, which has offense for the Yankees written all over it. LeMahieu in the leadoff spot should provide plenty of fantasy output, especially when you consider he’s averaging 11 DKFP over his past five games. It looks as if they’ll be running two righties out of the gate, so we can at least let you know that LeMahieu has a .354 wOBA, .170 ISO and a 122 wRC+ in these matchups.
Other Option — Alex Bregman ($5,300)
ValueManny Machado, SDP vs. ARI, $3,800 — I’m not crazy about using Machado, but he’s essentially one of the only bats that hits lefties well on the Padres. He draws a tough matchup against Robbie Ray ($10,600), who gave up four runs in his last start against the Padres. As for Machado, he’ll enter this game with a .436 wOBA, a .355 ISO and a 174 wRC+ against left-handed pitching. Believe me, you could do a lot worse at this price point.
Other Option — Colin Moran ($3,400)
StudMarcus Semien, OAK vs. SEA, $4,600 — Semien has come down a bit in his salary but he’s still hitting the ball extremely well. He’s had a monster month of September that’s seen him post a .475 wOBA with a .361 ISO and eight home runs. Now he’ll face Marco Gonzales ($8,300), who has struggled through his four starts against the A’s this season. Semien is by far my favorite option at shortstop, even overtaking Trevor Story.
Other Option — Trevor Story ($5,400)
ValueDidi Gregorius, NYY vs. TEX, $4,300 —I don’t see much value at shortstop, other than if you wanted to play Machado here. Gregorius would be the only option I would use here and he’s hardly a value at $4,300. He’s been struggling at the plate but as I mentioned earlier, a really solid game against the Rangers bullpen can do wonders. Over his past 10 games, Gregorius is averaging just 4.4 DKFP.
Other Option — Dansby Swanson ($3,900)
StudGeorge Springer, HOU vs. LAA, $5,200 — How about one more Astro?Against lefties, Springer has been a monster and enters this game with a .366 wOBA, a .208 ISO and a 133 wRC+. Like the rest of the guys I wrote up here, I don’t see how you stay away from this matchup that the Astros should crush in.
Other Options — Aaron Judge ($5,300), Kyle Schwarber ($4,400)
ValueIan Desmond, COL vs. MIL, $3,700 — Desmond is by far my favorite value on this slate at just $3,700. He’s been a force against lefties at Coors Field and boasts a .425 wOBA, .354 ISO and 150 wRC+ in these matchups. For numbers like this and the price point, you have to lock him in one of your outfield spots.
Other Options — Manuel Margot ($3,300), Khris Davis ($3,400)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.