MLB-Value-Targets

I’m a fan of this slate because there are plenty of ways to be different while maintaining upside in your stacks. The top pitching options are shaky which gives some nice hedging positions and a lot of the presumably popular bats are not the best bats on the slate. Hopefully we can find the best leverage off the chalk, let’s see what we can find.


PITCHER

Stud

Robbie Ray, ARI at TOR, $10,600 — This is kind of a difficult slate to choose a stud pitcher because each one has their own warts when it comes to upside or floor. I prefer Robbie Ray playing a Blue Jays squad that has good power but also strikes out at a 24.5% clip in 2019 giving him plenty of upside with the second highest K/9 on the slate.

Other Options — Blake Snell ($9,800)

Value

Max Fried, ATL at MIA, $7,100 — It’s more than likely going to end up as a pretty popular play, but this isn’t a play to overthink. Facing the Marlins, who have the lowest team ISO in the league, in the best pitcher’s park in the league and at an extremely affordable price. He has multiple 20+ DKFP performances and a good chance to add another today.

Other Options — Reynaldo Lopez ($4,600)


CATCHER

Stud

Mitch Garver, MIN at DET, $5,300 — There are actually quite a few studs on this slate worth paying for at catcher with them being paced in price by Garver. He has actually been the best per-AB catcher in 2019 with 9.9 DKFP per game and a 1.106 OPS and is coming off a 24-fantasy point performance with a matchup against the worst pitcher on the slate, earning him the top spot in my ranks.

Other Options — Gary Sanchez ($5,200), Robinson Chiniros ($4,400)

Value

Chance Sisco, BAL at HOU, $3,100 — Sisco has always been regarded as a solid hitting catcher and his last couple games have reminded everyone of what he can do. Since getting called up to the majors he has 27 DKFP in just three games and draws a matchup with one of the worse arms in the Astros’ rotation. His price is great for his possible production.

Other Options — Bryan Holaday ($3,000)


FIRST BASE

Pete Alonso, NYM vs. COL, $5,000 — I will remind you that Josh Bell ($5,600) is one of the best hitters in the league against RHP but for the price I like Alonso quite a bit. I think he represents similar upside to those priced above him and faces a pitcher that doesn’t even belong in the majors anymore. When you combine serious power with a pitcher that exhibits bad home run issues, he makes for a great play.

Other Options — Josh Bell ($5,600), Freddie Freeman ($5,500)

Value

Niko Goodrum, DET vs. MIN, $3,600 — Goodrum has had an up and down season to date but has really come into form lately. He’s got eight games of 10+ DKFP in the last 15 contests including a 45 fantasy point explosion and gets to face a pitcher that has been far over-performing their peripherals. I like him as a presumably low owned ringer.

Other Options — Ryan McMahon ($3,700)


SECOND BASE

Stud

Whit Merrifield, KC vs. CWS, $4,900 — Even if Merrifield has been relatively tame in his recent sample you’ve got to love the matchup for him to reach his upside. Reynaldo Lopez ($4,600) has as many games with negative fantasy points as he does with double digits and letting guys on base is apparently his entire job. Merrifield should bat leadoff and have all the opportunity in the world to steal bases and score runs.

Other Options — Mike Moustakas ($5,300), Derek Dietrich ($4,800)

Value

Brandon Drury, TOR vs. ARI, $3,100 — Although I really like Robbie Ray as the top pitcher on the slate, he does waste a lot of pitches and let quite a few guys get cheap trips to the bases. Drury is somebody that makes good decisions and has five of more fantasy points in nine of his last 15 contests, so for the price his floor is more secure than others within his range.

Other Options — Nicky Lopez ($3,400)


THIRD BASE

Stud

Mike Moustakas, MIL vs. PIT, $5,300 — The Brewers are playing at home and that automatically puts them in the top stack conversation, and Moustakas is a key part of any Brewers build. He’s got eight games of 10+ fantasy points in the last 15 and is averaging 9.9 DKFP per game with 19 home runs in 2019. A LHP on the mound might scare some people off, but Moustakas is still in a great spot against an awful bullpen, and he should be prioritized.

Other Options — Austin Riley ($5,100), Alex Bregman ($5,000)

Value

Christian Arroyo, TB at BOS, $3,400 — I’m not really a fan of the matchup for Arroyo but I’m pretty much willing to roll out anyone for the Rays in any spot as they continue to put up runs at will and that’ll lead to plenty of RBI opportunities. Since joining the Rays he has no outcomes with zero fantasy points and two home runs, showing that his floor and ceiling are both terrific for someone his price.


SHORT STOP

Stud

Jorge Polanco, MIN at DET, $5,100 — Like catcher, I like a lot of the top options at shortstop today, but Polanco stands out thanks to a fantastic matchup and great recent stats. He’s averaging 9.7 DKFP per game in 2019 with a .336 avg and .975 OPS and faces the worst combination of pitcher and bullpen on the slate. The Twins are a top stacking options and Polanco is an anchor for your builds.

Other Options — Adalberto Mondesi ($5,500)

Value

Ronny Rodriguez, DET vs. MIN, $3,000 — Ronny has been a literal walking ice cube after a hot start to the year and had just three hits in the last 15 games before hitting an RBI double and a single in the last game. Still, the contact has continued to be solid (when there is contact made) and the price is now to the point of a pure punt at the position. He’s worth betting on a turnaround in a matchup that is good for upside.

Other Options — Addison Russell ($3,400)


OUTFIELD

Stud

Charlie Blackmon, COL at NYM, $5,200 — After missing a bit of time with an injury, Blackmon came back and picked up where he left off with a hit, a run, and an RBI showing no rust at all. In the last month he has seven games of 10+ fantasy points and is averaging 10.4 DKFP in 2019, and while Noah Syndergaard ($8,900) is a name we usually avoid, his struggles this year make him a prime target in GPPs for one off’s like Blackmon.

Other Options — Christian Yelich ($5,900)

Value

Nick Castellanos, DET vs. MIN, $3,400 — The price on Castellanos this year has been generally insulting, especially considering he has been producing relatively well. He’s averaging 7.4 DKFP and has seven games of double-digit fantasy points in the last 15 as well as just two under five fantasy points. The matchup is better than people realize and he’s a solid cheap bat in the outfield.

Other Options — Eloy Jimenez ($3,300)


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Multichem) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.