After last night’s game was postponed despite a lack of rain, the forecast calls for rain tonight in Washington. Due to wet weather, I am leaving players from the Nationals vs. Phillies and Yankees vs. Rays games out of my targets. For up-to-the-minute news, analysis and lineups, download the DK Live app
StudJustin Verlander, HOU at CIN, $11,900 — Since he’s outperforming his peripheral numbers, I expect a bit of regression from Verlander. With that said, it isn’t enough to make him a bad DFS play since he is striking out 11.18 hitters per nine innings. Tonight, Verlander gets the benefit of pitching in a National League park and the Reds have an 80 wRC+ against right-handed pitching.
Other Options — Clayton Kershaw ($11,200), Jacob deGrom ($10,300)
ValueMerrill Kelly, ARI vs, COL, $8,000 — It is impossible to overstate how bad the Rockies are away from Coors Field. On the road, they have a 71 wRC+ and a 27.3% strikeout rate. Trevor Story ($5,200) and Nolan Arenado ($4,800) are the only two players who have been above average o the road, but they still have significant dips in production. The recent numbers for the Rockies look good, but it’s only because they are coming off seven consecutive games at home.
Other Options — Mitch Keller ($6,900), Brett Anderson ($6,200)
StudMitch Garver, MIN vs. BOS, $5,100 — If I was confident the Yankees could play through the rain, Gary Sanchez ($5,200) would be the easy choice here. Instead, I am going with Garver due to his success against left-handed pitching. He has a 216 wRC+ against southpaws.
Other Options — Robinson Chirinos ($4,800), Yasmani Grandal ($4,700)
ValuePedro Severino, BAL at OAK, $3,700 — Another lefty masher. Severino struggles against righties, but he has a 118 wRC+ against left-handed pitching. When facing a southpaw, his upside is huge. Severino had a three-homer 44 DKFP earlier in the month in a start against Drew Smyly.
Other Options — Wilson Ramos ($4,100), Yadier Molina ($3,400)
FIRST BASEAnthony Rizzo, CHC vs. CHW, $5,100 — In a matchup between the north and south sides of Chicago, I expect the Cubs (-230) to come out on top. Ivan Nova has a 6.28 ERA and has allowed at least four runs in three consecutive starts. He’s allowing a .400 wOBA to left-handed hitters and Rizzo has homered in two of his last three games.
Other Options — Josh Bell ($5,400), Max Muncy ($5,100)
ValuePaul Goldschmidt, STL vs. MIA, $3,800 — Goldy is showing signs of slipping, but a price tag under $4K is a bit excessive. Most of his power has come against righties even though he typically is much stronger against southpaws. Ten of Goldschmidt’s 13 homers against right-handed pitching.
Other Options — Player X ($salary with comma), Player Y ($salary with comma)
StudKetel Marte, ARI vs. COL, $5,500 — Marte is the hottest hitter in baseball. He has six homers in his last eight games, averaged 30 DKFP in his last two games and faces a pitcher in Antonio Senzatela ($4,900) lacking the ability to retire left-handed bats. Senzatela allows a .433 wOBA to lefties.
Other Options — Max Muncy ($5,100), Whit Merrifield ($4,800)
ValueLourdes Gurriel, TOR vs. LAA, $4,400 — With an average of 11.6 DKFP in his last eight games, Gurriel is picking up his play. The Blue Jays’ offense was terrible to start the season and has been competent lately due to an injection of youth. Not only is Gurriel pitching in, but production from Cavan Biggio ($3,700) and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($3,800) has made Toronto a threat.
Other Options — Roughned Odor ($4,300), Jeff McNeil ($4,000)
StudEduardo Escobar, ARI vs. COL, $5,400 — Due to the struggles of Senzatela, stacking the left-handed batters from the Diamondbacks is a high-upside approach. While not as hot as Marte, Escobar has reached base in 10 consecutive games and topped out at 44 DKFP over this recent stretch. Arizona is returning home after a long road trip and Escobar has a 140 wRC+ in Arizona.
Other Options — Kris Bryant ($5,100)
ValueMatt Carpenter, STL. vs. MIA, $3,800 — Carpenter set the baseball twitter world on fire by bunting for a double last night. Against a strong pull shift, he bunted the ball into left field and nobody was on the left side of the field. Facing constant shifts limiting his BABIP, this could affect how teams play him. Will teams are forced to shift less against Carpenter and, if not, will he be able to continue bunting for hits on the left side of the field?
Other Options — Matt Chapman ($4,200), Jose Ramirez ($3,900)
StudFrancisco Lindor, CLE at TEX, $5,300 — Playing in Texas, the struggling Indians’ offense should manage to put runs on the board. As the team continues to disappoint, Lindor is the one bright spot. He homered last night and is riding a six-game hitting streak. Lindor is averaging 12.25 DKFP in his last four games.
Other Options — Xander Bogaerts ($4,900), Adalberto Mondesi ($4,800)
ValueManny Machado, SDP vs. MIL, $4,100 — Appealing a suspension stemming from an ejection on Saturday, it’s unclear if Machado will play tonight. If he does play, he is finally starting to show his worth and prove the Padres right for spending so much money on him in the offseason. He has four homers in his last five games with an average of 21.6 DKFP over the stretch. This could be the last chance to roster him for cheap.
Other Options — Tim Anderson ($4,000), J.P. Crawford ($3,500)
StudMike Trout, LAA at TOR, $5,600 — Coming off a four-hit 31 DKFP game, I think Trout is the expensive outfielder to target tonight. Marcus Stroman ($8,100) is one of the only competent pitchers on the Blue Jays’ roster, but it’s still a good matchup for Trout. Stroman is a sinkerball pitcher and Trout does his best work hitting pitches down in the zone. The sample size is small, however, it doesn’t come as a shock that he has a .500/.529/.688 slash line against Stroman.
Other Options — Cody Bellinger ($5,700), J.D. Martinez ($5,100)
ValueKyle Schwarber, CHC vs. CHW, $4,400 — Just like with Rizzo, Schwarber is another lefty to consider against Ivan Nova. He has the most power of any left-handed hitter in the Cubs’ lineup and has a 116 wRC+ against right-handed pitching. Twelve of Schwarber’s 15 homers are against righties.
Other Options — Khris Davis ($4,000), Dexter Fowler ($3,600)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.