A seven-game slate of baseball will entertain our Saturday night starting at 7:15 p.m. ET. It looks as if the weather shouldn’t be an issue for this slate but it’s always best to check before lineups lock. Let’s jump into all the information for tonight and as always, you can reach me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
StudLucas Giolito, CWS vs. CHC, $10,100 — I think the perception going around is that Giolito has completely fallen off and is struggling lately. If you look at some of his deeper numbers, that doesn’t seem to be the case. If anything, he may have gotten a bit unlucky. He just wrapped up the month of June with his highest K% in the league at 31.9% and had a 3.69 xFIP. The Cubs do pose a tough matchup but they also bring good strikeout potential for Giolito with a team 23.1%. I’d much rather pay up for Giolito here than Gerrit Cole ($11,100) who faces an Angels team with the lowest K% in the league against righties. In two matchups against teams with similar K%, Cole struck out only three Pirates and four Athletics.
Other Option — Madison Bumgarner ($9,200)
ValueKenta Maeda, LAD vs. SD, $7,700 — For someone who is facing a team with the highest K% in the league against righties, Maeda is essentially a lock for me as my SP2. This will be the third time Maeda faces the Padres, a team he has 18 strikeouts against through 12 2/3 innings, good for a 12.8 K/9 on the year. Maeda has also pitched his best baseball at Dodger Stadium where he sports a .227 wOBA with a 4.12 xFIP.
Other Option — Jon Lester ($7,200)
StudJames McCann, CWS vs. CHC, $4,200 — I’m usually not a big fan of taking Lester but I think this is a good spot for him against the White Sox. One bat that does worry me is McCann, who has a .363 wOBA and a .214 ISO against lefties at home. McCann has been hitting for a ton of power overall and just ended the month of June with an overall .225 ISO.
Other Option — Willson Contreras ($4,600)
ValueRobinson Chirinos, HOU vs. LAA, $3,800 — I think this spot for the Astros is really enticing against Andrew Heaney ($6,200). After a strong start to the season, Heaney has really fallen off and is struggling on the mound. He now faces an Astros team with a ton of power against lefties, with Chirinos being one of those guys. In these matchups, Chirinos has a .535 wOBA with a .333 ISO against lefties at home. For $3,800, this feels like a really good spot to save some salary.
Other Option — Buster Posey ($3,400)
FIRST BASEMax Muncy, LAD vs. SD, $4,800 — It’s basically been boom-or-bust for Muncy lately, who has seven hits over his last 10 games but four of them being home runs. He draws a matchup against Chris Paddack ($8,300) who has a 1.4 HR/9 on the year. Lefties have given him a lot of trouble on the road, where Paddack sports a 6.50 xFIP.
Other Option — Matt Olson ($4,700)
ValuePaul Goldschmidt, STL vs. SF, $3,400 — I’m certainly not going out of my way to get Goldy in my lineup but his salary does help a lot. He’s been quiet at the plate for quite a bit of time now and ended June with a putrid .128 ISO. With that said, he does have a .378 wOBA and a .273 ISO against lefties and faces Madison Bumgarner ($9,200). It’s a tough matchup but again, the savings is helpful.
Other Option — Austin Nola ($3,800)
StudJeff McNeil, NYM vs. PHI, $4,900 — If you’re a left-handed bat in the Mets lineup, I would strongly consider rostering them tonight. They have the luxury of facing Jake Arrieta ($6,800) who has been downright brutal on the road against lefties. He’ll enter this game with a .426 wOBA, a 5.30 xFIP and eight of the 18 home runs he’s allowed. With McNeil averaging 11.1 DKFP over his last 10 games, he’s essentially a lock for me.
Other Option — Ketel Marte ($4,700)
ValueRobinson Cano, NYM vs. PHI, $3,100— Essentially, same reasons for McNeil as Cano. The nice thing about using McNeil is that he can also slide into an outfield position, giving you the opening to put Cano in your lineup as well. To be fair, Cano has started to hit again and is averaging 6.4 DKFP over his last five games and has eight hits over that span.
Other Option– Cesar Hernandez ($3,600)
StudAlex Bregman, HOU vs. LAA, $5,000 — Like Chirinos, Bregman has some big power against lefties, especially at Minute Maid Park. At home against lefties, Bregman has a .273 ISO to go with a .400 wOBA. As I mentioned, Heaney has really been struggling on the mound lately and facing a team with as much power as the Astros feels like a disaster waiting to happen. Stacking the Astros tonight feels like a good strategy to consider.
Other Option — Nolan Arenado ($5,000)
ValueMaikel Franco, PHI vs. NYM, $3,600 — I think third base is a position you don’t want to pay down at. We have a lot of solid matchups with the expensive guys here so I wouldn’t look down much. I think if you want to stack the Phillies, which between the struggles of Noah Syndergaard ($8,700) and a terrible bullpen makes a lot of sense, Franco is a way to mix it up. He does provide some pop with a .198 ISO against righties.
Other Option — Tommy Edman ($4,100)
StudMarcus Semien, OAK vs. SEA, $4,300 — Not a fan of shortstop at all today. Semien is the most expensive I would go (unless you’re taking Bregman here). No one really has a matchup I want to target and Semien is likely the best matchup we got here. Against lefties, Semien has a .351 wOBA with a .179 ISO. Overall, the A’s have been one of the best hitting clubs against lefties so stacking them with Semien makes a lot of sense.
Other Option — Alex Bregman ($5,000)
ValuePaul DeJong, STL vs. SF, $3,500 — I don’t want to play DeJong. He’s listed here because he’s cheap. That’s it.
Other Option — Brandon Crawford ($3,200)
StudMichael Conforto, NYM vs. PHI, $4,400 — I’m just really digging this spot for the Mets against Arrieta. Stacking the lefties in the Mets lineup is one of my top plays on this slate, so it makes all the sense to get Conforto in that stack as well. I think Dominic Smith ($4,900) is someone to use as well, although his salary is a bit high for someone with only 14 RBI on the year. Nonetheless, I’m looking to take advantage of how poor Arrieta is against lefties.
Other Options — Ian Desmond ($4,400), Joc Pederson ($4,300), George Springer ($5,400)
ValueKhris Davis, OAK vs. LAA, $3,700 — It’s been a while since we’ve seen a home run from Davis. In fact, the last time he did so was back on June 18th. Is today the day he breaks back out?! I don’t have a clue. If I did, I’d keep that information for myself (I don’t care, I’m selfish). Nonetheless, he’s just too cheap for someone who hits lefties well and is in a stack that I’m looking to play. In these matchups, Davis has a .379 wOBA and a .300 ISO against lefties.
Other Options — Jose Martinez ($3,500), Chad Pinder ($3,700), Matt Beaty ($3,400)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.