Max Muncy

Today we welcome Coors back into our fantasy realities as the Dodgers should be heavy chalk playing in the best environment in baseball. Although they are really solid plays, we need to find a way to pivot off of them and find good value to fit them, and that’s going to be my goal in this article. Let’s take a look at the available options to exploit.

EDITOR’S NOTE: SP Jordan Lyles has reportedly been traded to the Brewers. He was slated to start tonight for the Pirates vs. the Reds.


PITCHER

Stud

Chris Paddack, SD vs. BAL, $10,200 — Coming off a rough start against the Mets in which he surrendered three runs and only struck out four batters, Paddack gets a great bounce-back game against the Orioles and their swing-happy tactics. Paddack has also been much better at home, with a 2.36 ERA and 24.5 DKFP average and he slots in firmly as my top play on the slate.

Other Options — Caleb Smith ($10,600)

Value

Jaime Barria, LAA vs. DET, $7,200 — Barria has been mostly serviceable this season, and if you ignore the two games when he finished with -11.6 DKFP (at SEA) and -14.9 DKFP (at KC), he’s been downright good on the mound for the Angels. In fact, his home ERA is just 2.04 while his road ERA is a gaudy 10.62, so if there was ever a time to use him at a cheap price, today seems like that time as he plays at home against a Tigers team with very little power and a bad OBP.

Other Options — Kenta Maeda ($6,800)


CATCHER

Stud

Will Smith, LAD at COL, $4,500 — It’s been a mystery as to why the Dodgers haven’t made Smith the base starter behind the plate all season, but he’s here now and it’s time to use him whenever possible. Especially at Coors Field, Smith has as much upside as anyone, and is sporting a 1.218 OPS and 10.4 DKFP average in 2019.

Other Options — Ryan Lavarnway ($4,000)

Value

Danny Jansen, TOR at KC, $2,600 — It’s been an absolute roller coaster of a season for Jansen, and he’s currently at a low point. That said, the Royals offer up an opportunity to get right at the plate and we know that the ceiling for Jansen is way higher than where he is priced, so there’s value to be had here. The better move is to pay up at catcher, but if you pay down, Jansen allows you upside for a good price.

Other Options — John Hicks ($2,800)


FIRST BASE

Max Muncy, LAD at COL, $5,600 — With the Dodgers in Coors, they are going to be popular and it’s going to be worth it to eat the chalk. Muncy is somebody that plays much better on the road and is especially effective against the Rockies as his averages jump to a terrific .343/.455/.886 in 10 games against them this season. He’s a cash-game staple.

Other Options — Joc Pederson ($5,300)

Value

Matt Thaiss, LAA vs. DET, $3,400 — He’s still not hitting for a good average, but over the last 30 at-bats, Thaiss has six hits with four of them being home runs, which seems pretty good. The Angels are up against Jordan Zimmermann ($4,200), who has given up 24 runs in the last four games and can get hit for power by anyone and everyone. With a big power supply, Thaiss is one of the best values on the slate.

Other Options — Rowdy Tellez ($3,800)


SECOND BASE

Stud

Whit Merrifield, KC vs. TOR, $4,900 — The Royals find themselves in another solid spot for upside and should boost their collective averages a bit against one of the worst pitching staffs in the league. Merrifield has the skills to really show out; his 2019 slash line of .303/.357/.488 is fantastic and outside of Muncy, he offers more upside at the position than anyone in the upper-tier players.

Other Options — Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($4,500)

Value

Luis Urias, SD vs. BAL, $2,900 — It’s been rough sledding for the highly-touted rookie as he is batting just .038 and averaging 2.9 DKFP, but he does have more walks than strikeouts in the recent sample and it’s maintaining a decent OBP of .265, which helps his floor. The Orioles are a cure-all for any hitting problems and Urias couldn’t be in a better spot to show off some of his power.

Other Options — Harold Castro ($3,100)


THIRD BASE

Stud

Eugenio Suarez, CIN vs. PIT, $5,100 — We all know that Suarez can be a bit streaky but that’s all the more reason to ride the wave that he’s on right now. He’s got a 1.244 OPS over the last 10 games with five home runs and 11 RBI and faces a pitcher with the highest expected home run rate on the slate. Considering that, plus the park he’s in makes him a phenomenal pivot off the chalk.

Other Options — Justin Turner ($5,200), Nolan Arenado ($5,000)

Value

Vlad Guerrero Jr., TOR at KC, $3,600 — It seems that Vladito may be finding his stroke out of the All-Star break, and in the last 10 games he has a slash line of .389/.463/.639 with two home runs and 12 RBI. What’s more important may be that he only has six strikeouts, and today he gets to face off with a pitcher that doesn’t miss bats and gives up a lot of hard contact. He may be popular but it’s not a spot to fade if you like him.

Other Options — Josh VanMeter ($3,700)


SHORT STOP

Stud

Trevor Story, COL vs. LAD, $5,300 — Although Story is having a mostly middling season by his standards, the fantasy points are supercharged playing at home, where he averages 12.1 DKFP and a .645 SLG. The matchup is a bit scary with a high strikeout rate pitcher on the mound, but with that strikeout rate comes a big home run problem that will be amplified at Coors. Story is a solid GPP option.

Other Options — Fernando Tatis Jr. ($5,400), Corey Seager ($4,700)

Value

Miguel Rojas, MIA vs. ARI, $3,400 — Rojas has cemented himself as one of the best hitters on the Marlins, although that isn’t necessarily as much of a compliment as it is a general statement. He’s going to face Merrill Kelly ($8,200), who is coming fresh off allowing seven earned runs against the lowly Orioles. There is opportunity for Rojas to pay off his salary by a good margin in this spot.

Other Options — Luis Rengifo ($3,500)


OUTFIELD

Stud

Mike Trout, LAA vs. DET, $5,700 — The best player in baseball has stepped up to another power level in July with 12 home runs and 18 extra-base hits. He has also brought his 2019 OPS to 1.100 and will face Zimmermann, who gives up one of the highest home run rates in the league and is backed by a bad bullpen. Trout is a fantastic pivot off of the Dodgers chalk.

Other Options — Cody Bellinger ($5,800), Charlie Blackmon ($5,500)

Value

Bubba Starling, KC vs. TOR, $3,500 — Across 13 games in 2019, Starling has a moderate slash of .294/.333/.392 with a home run and nine runs scored. The Blue Jays are going into straight-up tank mode after trading away Marcus Stroman and will be putting out a minor league arm to start. With little incentive to use the stronger parts of their bullpen, Starling should have a solid matchup all game long.

Other Options — Adam Duvall ($3,600)

EDITOR’S NOTE: SP Jordan Lyles has reportedly been traded to the Brewers. He was slated to start tonight for the Pirates vs. the Reds.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Multichem) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.