Rafael Devers

Today we have a slate that is sure to cause people to make some generally bad decisions that make a lot more sense than they should. We have a terrible pitcher against the Marlins and a group of guys that are all cheap enough to warrant using them even considering the risk. Let’s look into whether we should go that route or not.


PITCHER

Stud

Robbie Ray, ARI vs. BAL, $$11,400 — Sure, the Orioles have been able to put up runs in the last couple games, but they’ve been playing in a park that bleeds offense and have faced two subpar pitchers in a row. With a huge downgrade in park and facing an elite strikeout force, I think Ray can mow them down without issue. Four of his last five starts have been 19-plus DKFP and I expect more of the same tonight.

Other Options — Gerrit Cole ($12,500)

Value

Peter Lambert, COL at WAS, $4,600 — With some duds in his time in the majors, it’s easy to forget that Lambert is a top prospect for the Rockies and the biggest issue has been incredibly difficult matchups. The Nationals in Washington is actually one of the easier starts he’s had, and at his price he only needs five innings and a couple strikeouts to crush value. He’s worth a shot as a pivot to the chalk in GPPs.

Editor’s Note: Tonight’s game between the Rockies and Nationals has been postponed due to inclement weather.

Other Options —Ivan Nova ($4,800)


CATCHER

Stud

Carson Kelly, ARI vs. BAL, $4,300 — The largest trend in DFS right now is attacking the Orioles, and it’s something I’m going to focus on today. Kelly has been great for the Diamondbacks with a .268/.353/.520 slash line and 11 home runs on the year, and will face Aaron Brooks ($4,200), who has done well enough to get 10-plus DKFP in just one of his last 10 starts. The matchup alone makes Kelly the top option.

Other Options — Mitch Garver ($5,400)

Value

Jeff Mathis, TEX at SEA, $2,000 — If you aren’t paying all the way up for a catcher, you should be paying all the way down, and Mathis actually has a solid matchup to squeeze out some value. His .155 batting average is obviously putrid, but you only need a hit and a run scored to be happy with his fantasy production and that’s well within the range of outcomes in this spot.

Other Options — Max Stassi ($2,300)


FIRST BASE

Yuli Gurriel, HOU vs. OAK, $4,600 — I’m not really big on attacking Homer Bailey ($7,600) in most spots but this is a position that I can’t ignore. Gurriel has been bonkers in the last couple of weeks, with nine games of 10-plus DKFP and eight of those games being 14-plus out of the most recent 15 game sample. He’s one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now and Homer has long ball problems, which can be taken advantage of.

Other Options —Christian Walker ($4,800)

Value

Joey Votto, CIN at MIL, $3,600– We have to pick our spots with Votto at this point in his career and I’m willing to take a shot on him today. He goes up against a pitcher with wide splits in a great offensive ballpark and should continue to hit high in the order with plenty of opportunity for production. His ceiling is low but 10-plus DKFP is well within reason for a good price.

Other Options —Neil Walker ($3,500)


SECOND BASE

Stud

Danny Santana, TEX at SEA, $5,300 —Even in the difficult matchups that the Astros tend to bring, Santana was fantastic and has continued his torrid production without issue. He’s got seven games of two or more hits in the last month of games and will face one of the worst pitchers in the league that is backed by a bad bullpen. He’s a great bat to build around.

Other Options —Ketel Marte ($5,200)

Value

Scooter Gennett, CIN at MIL, $3,400– It’s been a rough road back from injury for Gennett with a slash line of just .154/.195/.179 in his return, but his plate skills are too good for that to continue. The matchup today has already been mentioned as a pitcher with bad splits against LHBs and the park is great for offensive production. We should try to take advantage of the cheap cost on a solid bat while we can.

Editor’s Note: Gennett is not in the starting lineup tonight vs. the Brewers.

Other Options —Mike Brosseau ($3,500)


THIRD BASE

Stud

Eduardo Escobar, ARI vs. BAL, $5,300 —Escobar is having a fantastic season with 22 home runs, an .887 OPS and average of 9.5 DKFP per game, and will get the Orioles production bump in his matchup today. There’s certainly no discount to be had here but a switch-hitter against the Orioles is as good as gold and I’m willing to pay the premium for his ceiling.

Other Options —Alex Bregman ($5,000)

Value

Asdrubal Cabrera, TEX at SEA, $3,500 —I’m not a huge Asdrubal Cabrera fan but as a switch-hitter he offers upside that those in his range can’t really match. He’s got solid production over the last 15 games with just three games of zero fantasy points and eight with five or more, so his floor is solid for the price. His power is mostly lacking but the matchup is great to exploit it so I like rolling the dice here.

Other Options —Kyle Seager ($3,200)


SHORT STOP

Stud

Trea Turner, WAS vs. COL, $4,900 —It’s kind of easy to ignore Turner on a slate like this but I am intrigued by his upside. Although I like Lambert as a GPP option, he definitely gives up solid contact and allows a lot of base runners. Turner has three stolen bases in the last six games and 20 on the season, so his floor is reliable and should he get four or five at-bats, he’s got the power to get a home run as well. He’s a great all-around play.

Editor’s Note: Tonight’s game between the Rockies and Nationals has been postponed due to inclement weather.

Other Options —Xander Bogaerts ($5,300)

Value

Jose Peraza, CIN at MIL, $3,500 —Peraza has been on a bit of a heater leading up to this game and the price has not risen with his production, so it’s a good to time take advantage before he goes back to normal. He’s got 12 hits in the last nine games with five or more DKFP in seven of them and gets a solid matchup. The multi-position eligibility is nice as well!

Other Options —Willy Adames ($2,900)


OUTFIELD

Stud

George Springer, HOU vs. OAK, $5,400 —There’s not nearly as much conversation about Springer this season but he’s as solid as ever, with a .989 OPS and 22 home runs with a .302 batting average. He will face a pitcher that is better than the public assumes but still gives up really hard contact and it makes Springer one of the better options to spend up on.

Other Options — Christian Yelich ($5,800), Mookie Betts ($5,200)

Value

Jon Jay, CWS vs. MIA, $3,200 —You wouldn’t guess it from his fantasy outputs but Jay has been really good at the plate. Nine of his last 15 games have been 5-plus DKFP outputs, but only one of them has been 10-plus so his price won’t rise. He’s a great floor play in cash games and draws a good matchup for LHB, so he’s one of my favorite values.

Other Options —Dexter Fowler ($3,400)


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Multichem) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.