With every team playing an no weather concerns, there are plenty of options on tonight’s slate. Here are my favorite plays at each position!
StudCharlie Morton, TBR vs. BAL, $10,600 — Morton is an under-the-radar Cy Young candidate in the American League. With runs on the rise, he has a career-best 2.43 ERA and he comes with safety. Morton has scored at least 16 DKFP in 15 of his 17 starts. He has a strong matchup against the Orioles who have an 85 wRC+ against right-handed pitching.
Other Options — Trevor Bauer ($11,600), Patrick Corbin ($11,100)
ValueReynaldo Lopez, CHW vs. DET, $5,600 — This is a classic case of the unstoppable force going up against an immovable object. Lopez has a 6.12 ERA while the Tigers have the worst wRC+ in baseball against right-handed pitching. Something has to give and I am siding with Lopez. He doesn’t have to do much to have a decent game relative to his low salary and he dominated in both of his starts against Detroit this season with scores of 42.5 DKFP and 21.3 DKFP.
Other Options — Ross Stripling ($7,800),Matt Straham ($6,900)
StudGary Sanchez, NYY at NYM, $4,500 — It is rare that we can get Sanchez at such a cheap salary. It looks like he has a tough matchup against Zack Wheeler, but he’s struggled a bit this season with a 4.51 ERA. The biggest question I have is with Gary’s health. He left last game against the Red Sox late with a jammed thumb. It is hard to know how serious the injury is since the Yankees had already taken out a handful of starters at the time. Assuming he’s healthy, Sanchez is the highest upside catcher tonight.
Other Options — Willson Contreras ($4,800), Yasmani Grandal ($4,600)
ValueJ.T. Realmuto, PHI at ATL, $3,800 — Realmuto’s first season with the Phillies has been a disappointment at the plate. He is still providing plenty of value with his glove, but his bat has been below average. Most of his struggles have come against right-handed pitching and he’s been strong against lefties. Realmuto has a 121 wRC+ against southpaws and Dallas Keuchel is shaking off rust after getting a late start to the season. He has a 5.06 ERA in two starts.
Other Options — Tony Wolters ($3,700), Francisco Mejia ($3,200)
FIRST BASEDaniel Murphy, COL vs. HOU, $4,600– We have a series starting at Coors Field and the Rockies are implied to score 6.9 runs, the highest total of the night. With the Astros thin on pitching depth, Jose Urquidy is getting called up for his first major league start. He is not a well-regarded prospect, opening the possibility for a monster game from the Rockies. Murphy is relatively cheap for Coors Field and hits in the middle of the lineup.
Other Options — Anthony Rizzo ($4,700), Carlos Santana ($4,700)
ValueJoey Votto, CIN vs. MIL, $4,100 — Votto was starting to look washed earlier in the season. Everything was off, power numbers were down, walks were down and strikeouts were up. In June, he rallied back and started to look like the All-Star he’s been for the last decade. Votto had a 133 wRC+ for the month, showing he still has something left in the tank.
Other Options — Paul Goldschmidt ($3,600), Ji-Man Choi ($3,600)
StudMax Muncy, LAD vs. ARI , $5,100 — Finding power at second base is tough and Muncy has three homers in his last four games. Muncy is averaging 17.75 DKFP over this stretch and he draws a matchup against Taylor Clarke ($6,400), who is giving up a .407 wOBA to left-handed hitters.
Other Options — DJ LeMahieu ($5,300), Mike Moustakas ($4,700)
ValueScooter Gennett, CIN vs. MIL, $3,900 — Gennett is still cheap as he works off rust coming back from a groin injury. He’s only played in three games this season, but he should find his groove at the plate eventually. He had a 125 wRC+ at the plate last season and has 74 of his 85 career homers against-right handed pitching. Gennett’s price will start to rise as he gets more comfortable at the plate.
Other Options — Michael Chavis ($4,200), Jason Kipnis ($3,600)
StudNolan Arenado, COL vs. HOU, $5,400 — Usually a better target against left-handed pitching, I can’t ignore Arenado when the Rockies have a 6.9 implied total at home. In Denver, he has a .370/.432/.643 slash line and a 141 wRC+. If Colorado scores like they are expected to then Arenado figures to be involved in the action.
Other Options — Manny Machado ($5,200), Rafael Devers ($4,900)
ValueEugenio Suarez, CIN vs. MIL, $4,100 — With three homers in his last two games, Suarez is another viable cheap hitter from the Reds. He has massive splits and is a completely different hitter at home than on the road. In Cincinnati, Suarez has a 143 wRC+ compared to an 81 wRC+ on the road. It appears he sees the ball better at home since his walk rate is almost twice as high at the Great American Ball Park vs. road games.
Other Options — Jose Ramirez ($3,800), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($3,300)
StudFransico Lindor, CLE at KCR, $4,600 — The Indians’ offense hasn’t been great this season, but Lindor isn’t the problem. He’s one of the lone bright spots for Cleveland and, as a switch-hitter, he is hitting from his dominant side of the plate tonight. Lindor has a 126 wRC+ as a right-handed hitter and is more of an average hitter when batting from left side of the plate.
Other Options — Alex Bregman ($5,000), Xander Bogaerts ($4,800)
ValueDidi Gregorius, NYY at NYM, $3,600 — Cheap and coming into tonight in good form, Didi makes for a great value play. He started the season cheap coming back from Tommy John surgery and his price hasn’t caught up with his production. Gregorius has scored double-digit DKFP in four straight games.
Other Options — Paul DeJong ($3,900)
StudCharlie Blackmon, COL vs. HOU, $5,900 — Coors Field always creates extreme splits for hitters, but I am not sure I have seen anything like Blackmon’s season. Home Charlie Blackmon is arguably the best hitter in baseball with a .462/.514/.992 slash line. On the road, he’s slashing .236/.272/.383, a line that makes him look like a player who doesn’t belong in the major leagues. Tonight, we get home Blackmon on the slate.
Other Options — Christian Yelich ($5,800), David Dahl ($5,400)
ValueTommy Pham, TB vs. BAL, $4,200 — Last week, Pham said he thought WAR and wRC+ should determine who gets into the All-Star game. This makes it hard for me to not have a bias towards him, but it also point towards his belief that he’s one of the more undervalued players in baseball by the public. Pham is having another excellent season with a 132 wRC+, but his name doesn’t usually come up amongst the names of better players in baseball when it probably should. Over the last three seasons, he’s produced the 13th most WAR of any position players.
Other Options — Aaron Judge ($4,300), Kyle Schwarber ($4,100)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.