We have another full 15-game Tuesday slate. There are plenty of good options across the board and here are my favorite plays of the night.
StudStephen Strasburg, WAS vs. COL, $10,700 — Pretty much every pitcher is in play at home facing the Rockies. At Coors Field, the Rockies are dangerous, but they can’t hit anything on the road. They rank last in baseball with a 68 wRC+ away from home. There is a narrative that Strasburg can’t pitch in hot weather, although it hasn’t shown to be the case this month. He’s on fire in July with a 1.45 ERA.
Other Options — Chris Sale ($11,000), Aaron Nola ($10,100)
ValueChris Archer, PIT vs. STL, $7,500 — A risky play and not quite the pitcher he used to be, Archer still has plenty of upside. He has at least eight strikeouts in five of his last seven starts and his matchup tonight isn’t very difficult. Despite making some big roster changes in the offseason, the Cardinals offense has struggled against right-handed pitchers. They have an 88 wRC+ against righties.
Other Options — Merrill Kelly ($7,300), Dallas Keuchel ($7,200)
StudGary Sanchez, NYY at MIN, $4,300 — It looks like we have the floor price for Sanchez. After a hot start to the season, he’s slumping in July, although it’s hard to ignore his power upside. Gary leads all catchers with 24 homers despite missing a chunk of games while on the IL. His rough month makes him a boom-or-bust sort of play, however no catcher is more likely to homer than Sanchez on any given night.
Other Options — Omar Narvaez ($4,800), Yasmani Grandal ($4,300)
ValueJames McCann, CHW vs. MIA, $3,800 — Carson Smith ($9,400) has been great for the Marlins this year, but he’s pitching in a much tougher environment tonight. He’s on the road, has to pitch against an American League team and Chicago has a strong hitter’s park. McCann homered last night and has homers in two of his last three games. Against southpaws, he’s had a ton of success this season with a 144 wRC+.
Other Options — Jorge Alfaro ($3,800), Robinson Chrinos ($3,600)
FIRST BASEJosh Bell, PIT vs. STL, $5,100 — Bell is in the middle of a breakout season. He’s gone from being an above-average hitter to one of the top sluggers in baseball. Bell came out of the All-Star break a bit sluggish, but it looks like he’s getting back on track after a 13-DKFP game last night. He also has splits in his favor tonight. Bell has a 157 wRC+ against right-handed pitching and a 163 wRC+ at home.
Other Options — Carlos Santana ($4,600), Dan Vogelbach ($4,600)
ValueRhys Hoskins, PHI at DET, $4,000 — Matt Boyd ($9,900) is having a great fantasy season. He’s in the midst of a good stretch for fantasy purposes because of his strikeout numbers although he’s still allowing plenty of runs. Boyd has allowed at least four earned runs in six straight starts and Hoskins is priced down as if he’s facing an elite pitcher. Hoskins has a 179 wRC+ against left-handed pithing.
Other Options — Matt Adams ($4,100), Jose Abreu ($3,900)
StudKetel Marte, ARI vs. BAL, $5,500 — Steroids, Coors Field and playing the Orioles. These are all factors that should be considered unfair advantages for hitters. The Orioles’ pitching staff is awful across the board and they are giving up 6.1 runs per game. Marte has multiple hits in six of his last seven games and has an easy matchup against Dylan Bundy ($6,000).
Other Options — Max Muncy ($4,900),
DJ LeMahieu ($4,800)
Editor’s Note: LeMahieu is not in the lineup for tonight’s game vs. the Twins.
ValueJason Kipnis, CLE at TOR, $3,600 — With one of the highest implied team totals on the slate, the Indians are a team to get exposure to. Kipnis is coming off a 16-DKFP game against the Blue Jays and has a hit in eight straight games. Since the All-Star break, he has a .297 batting average, so it appears the time off is helping him to perform better.
Other Options — Adam Frazier ($3,900), Starlin Castro ($3,700)
StudEduardo Escobar, ARI vs. BAL, $5,300 — Escobar is another high-end bat we can target from the Diamondbacks. He is coming off a 29-DKFP game against Baltimore and has three homers in his last six games. Escobar is showing huge power upside lately with a .391 ISO since the All-Star break.
Other Options — Anthony Rendon ($5,100), Alex Bregman ($5,000)
ValueJose Ramirez, CLE at TOR, $4,500 — I have no clue what was wrong with Ramirez in the first half of the season. After a near MVP season a year ago, he completely fell apart early this season and looked like a completely different player. As of late, he looks like an All-Star again. Ramirez has a 145 wRC+ in July and has at least 18 DKFP in four of his last six games. It won’t be long before he’s back in the stud category.
Other Options — Colin Moran ($3,900), Neil Walker ($3,600)
StudFrancisco Lindor, CLE at TOR, $4,900 — Ramirez hitting better also helps the fantasy value of Lindor. The Indians’ lineup is starting to become more potent, giving Lindor more chances to get score, drive in runs and pick up extra at-bats. He’s scored at least 9.0 DKFP in five of his last seven games and reached base a couple of times last night in Toronto.
Other Options — Fernando Tatis ($5,400), Trea Turner ($4,700)
ValueJavier Baez, CHC at SF, $4,300 — The strong pitchers park in San Francisco is a bit of a concern, but Madison Bumgarner ($9,000) is no where near the pitcher he used to be. He’s allowing a .325 wOBA to right-handed hitters and Baez is one the top lefty mashers in baseball. He has a 199 wRC+ against lefties this year.
Other Options — Elvis Andrus ($4,200),
Jean Segura ($3,600)
Editor’s Note: Segura is not in the lineup for tonight’s game vs. the Tigers.
StudChristian Yelich, MIL vs. WAS, $5,900 — Tonight has all the elements Yelich needs to have a big game. Tanner Roark ($7,100) is giving up a .404 wOBA to left-handed hitters, which should play right into Yelich’s favor. At home, Yelich has a 225 wRC+. Against right-handed pitching, he has a 209 wRC+. If I could only pay up for one hitter on the entire slate, Yelich is my guy.
Other Options — Cody Bellinger ($5,600), George Springer ($5,400)
ValueAdam Eaton, WAS vs. COL, $3,900 — Hitting near the top of the Nationals’ lineup, Eaton makes for a good salary saving play in a strong matchup. After pitching to a 5.07 ERA in AAA, the Rockies decided to call up Peter Lambert ($4,600) to the big leagues. His results haven’t been any better against stronger competition and he has a 6.06 ERA in seven starts. Lambert likely needs to spend more time in the minors before he’s ready for the MLB.
Other Options — Jesse Winker ($4,100), Franmil Reyes ($3,900)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.