This six-game afternoon slate comes with a lot of issues at pitcher, and it’s going to cause some really tough decisions when you build for cash games. On the other hand, if you are a GPP player, this slate is everything you could ever want! There is one very obvious spot to stack and I think fading it would be a mistake, but you will need one-offs, so let’s dig in and see what we can use.
StudAaron Nola, PHI vs. NYM, $10,700 — Yet again we have a slate with no true ace, and yes I mean that with disrespect towards Nola. Look, he’s been fine this year in good matchups, but the 4.55 ERA and walk issues (1.45 WHIP in 2019) have caused him to be boom or bust. He has a solid matchup on this slate and has the best underlying skills, so he’s the best stud available when we consider ceiling.
Other Options — Zack Wheeler ($10,000)
Value, Ariel Jurado, TEX at DET, $6,700 — Jurado doesn’t have a massive amount of upside, but when we look at the cheap options on this slate, he offers the best range of outcomes by far. His matchup is the best on the slate from a strikeout perspective — the Tigers strike out the most in two-strike counts at 50% — and Jurado has shown the ability to rack up strikeouts in the right spot. There’s a lot of downside, but he’s the best option available.
Other Options — Tyler Chatwood ($4,600)
StudMitch Garver, MIN vs. TB, $5,500 — It was never a conversation to be had in the offseason, but it would seem Gary Sanchez finally has some real competition for best offensive catcher in the game. Garver is hitting .305/.389/.649 with a 1.038 OPS in 2019 and is coming off 26 DKFP thanks to a home run and three walks. He faces a Rays bullpen that is good but power-prone. He’s expensive but well worth it.
Other Options — Yasmani Grandal ($4,700)
ValueJeff Mathis, TEX at DET, $2,000 — You know the drill with Mathis; this is a punt play looking for a couple points from a minimum-priced hitter to fit the big bats. Mathis is hitting for a bit more power recently, with a .303 SLG% and a .509 OPS, which are both improvements on the year. He’s nothing flashy but if you can’t afford somebody better, it’s always a fair plan to go with somebody this cheap to upgrade elsewhere.
Other Options — John Hicks ($2,200)
FIRST BASEFreddie Freeman, ATL at CHC, $5,400 — This is one of the most obvious plays on the slate but I love Freeman in a spot with one of the worst pitchers on the day. His .350/.409/.625 slash line in the past 10 games is incredible, and he’s got more RBI than walks in that span with 12 vs. 11. He will face Tyler Chatwood ($4,600), who has some of the worst walk problems in the MLB, giving Freeman a lot of chances to get on base and get some runs.
Other Options — Josh Bell ($4,800)
ValueJesus Aguilar, MIL vs. SEA, $3,200 — Aguilar is the first of many Brewers I’m going to throw at you in this article as they have by far the best offensive situation on the slate. Aguilar has been notably better recently with a .267/.389/.467 slash and just four strikeouts against his four hits (one of which was a home run) and his price is going the opposite direction. Take the value while it’s available and treat Aguilar like a cash-game staple.
Other Options — Tyler White ($3,100)
StudMike Moustakas, MIL vs. SEA, $4,800 — With the Brewers being is such a fantastic position I have to write up Moustakas, those are just the rules. He’s been colder lately with less home runs (just two in the past 30 at-bats), but he still is making good contact and not striking out hardly at all. He’s coming off a home run and gets to face Mike Leake ($8,300) at home in a park that is very hitter friendly. He’s well worth the price at both his positions.
Other Options — Ozzie Albies ($4,500)
ValueAdam Frazier, PIT at HOU, $3,400 — Frazier has been in a platoon split with Kevin Newman ($3,800) but should get the start and hit in a good spot in the order against Brad Peacock ($9,400), who is a RHP with really wide splits. This is a great matchup as Peacock struggles badly against LHBs, and with multiple double-digit games in his past five starts, we know Frazier has the upside to exceed his relatively low salary.
Other Options — Addison Russell ($2,800)
StudAlex Bregman, HOU vs. PIT, $5,000 — As the Astros continue to get healthy, the big bats in the lineup like Bregman are going to become more valuable. He only has four RBI in the past 10 games and has been slumping with just a .231 batting average, but the power still has been there (.513 SLG%) and he’s been striking out as little as always. He gets a terrific matchup against Joe Musgrove ($5,300), who had a good previous start but is bad overall, making Bregman an intriguing spend on a shorter slate.
Other Options — Mike Moustakas ($4,800)
ValueTravis Shaw, MIL vs. SEA, $2,700 — I am entirely aware at how bad Shaw has been in 2019, but I don’t think it really matters in this spot. The idea behind the Brewers is even the worst hitters have value against Leake, so getting really cheap bats with power upside is paramount and something you should exploit. Shaw isn’t going to continue to hit .160 and this could be the spot it turns around. Should he be popular, you won’t want to be on that fade.
Other Options — Willians Astudillo ($3,300)
StudJorge Polanco, MIN vs. TB, $4,600 — The Twins have been on a tear with strong performances against better pitchers than they will face today, and it makes their top-of-the-order guys as valuable as ever. Polanco hasn’t been his usual dominant self with just 6.6 DKFP per game and a .641 OPS in the past 45 at-bats, but the matchup warrants consideration regardless as Jalen Beeks ($7,600) struggles with RHBs and Polanco is better from that side of the plate.
Other Options — Javier Baez ($4,900), Alex Bregman ($5,000)
ValueOrlando Arcia, MIL vs. SEA, $3,200 — It’s been rough sledding for the Brewers as a whole for a couple games and Arcia has not been immune to it. His 4.9 DKFP per game is well below his 6.2 in 2019 overall, but he does have two home runs on his six hits in the recent sample so there is still power just less contact. His price is justified and he’s got some warts, but he helps you to fit the bigger bats in a Brewers stack so he’s a perfectly fine option in all formats.
Other Options — Willy Adames ($3,400)
StudChristian Yelich, MIL vs. SEA, $5,800 — It’s kind of odd to look into Yelich’s game log and see single-digit outcomes, but it’s a thing right now and it’s odd. Hopefully that changes after this game as he faces the most home run prone pitcher on the slate in a fantastic park for offense after coming up with tough luck in two easy matchups to start the series. He’s still the second best player in baseball with a platoon advantage, so we should be forcing him in on a slate like this.
Other Options — Joey Gallo ($5,200), Domingo Santana ($5,300)
ValueCorey Dickerson, PIT at HOU, $3,600 — It’s easy to forget about Dickerson sometimes and especially coming off the IL in the past couple weeks he can be glanced over. We should make sure not to make that mistake as he is hitting .480/.519/.760 over the past 25 at-bats with seven doubles, seven RBI and just four strikeouts. The matchup is incredible and he’s underpriced, making him one of my favorite plays on the slate.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Multichem) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.