This afternoon’s six-game slate requires you to make decisions that go against a lot of the logic you build up. There are a couple positions that legitimately don’t have a good value play attached, and with so much cash dedicated to those spots, it might force Chris Sale’s ownership to be down a bit. Let’s dive in and find some important value and fantastic power to play in the best available spots.
StudChris Sale, BOS vs. CWS, $11,600 — This slate has some firepower up top in the pricing, but Sale is without a doubt the highest upside arm available, especially considering matchup. He has four games of 30+ DKFP and just two with less than 20 while recording double-digit strikeouts in all but two games in the past 10. He also gets a nice revenge narrative, and everybody loves that.
Other Options — German Marquez ($10,000)
ValueMatt Strahm, SD at BAL, $6,000 — I’m not here to tell anyone Strahm is a good pitcher in real life, but he is streamable in this spot against the lowly Orioles. Baltimore does have some power against LHPs and there’s downside here, but the price for Strahm mitigates a lot of the concerns associated with that power. You won’t find many pitchers at his price that have legit 25-DKFP upside. He’s a cash-game staple.
Other Options — Jeff Samardzija ($6,400)
StudChristian Vazquez, BOS vs. CWS, $4,100 — It would be entirely fair to pay all the way up for Gary Sanchez ($5,100), but I’m fine taking the savings and going with Vazquez against the White Sox. He’s averaging 9.5 DKFP per game right now with a .558 SLG% based on three home runs and a double on 14 hits from his recent sample. Plus, he faces one of the league’s worst pitchers backed by a terrible bullpen. His spot in the order is lame, but a home run is well within his range of outcomes, regardless.
Other Options — Gary Sanchez ($5,100)
ValueAustin Hedges, SD at BAL, $2,900 — The biggest issue for Hedges this year has been strikeouts, as he has 61 total in 2019 in just 174 at-bats, giving him a 30%+ strikeout rate and just a .593 OPS. Luckily for us, the Orioles are one of the best cures available for a cold bat, and Hedges didn’t get the same price bump the rest of the team did at the start of the series. He’s coming off a 28-DKFP game, and his chances of finding his upside again in this spot are pretty good.
Other Options — Martin Maldonado ($2,700)
FIRST BASEMax Muncy, LAD at ARI, $5,000 — The Dodgers as a group are in a fantastic spot against one of the most home run prone pitchers on the slate, and although the ballpark is bad for hitting, they are still one of the top stacks available. Muncy will help set the tone as he brings his .280/.382/.529 slash line into Arizona against a pitcher that just gave up six earned runs to the pathetic Giants in just three innings pitched.
Other Options — Carlos Santana ($5,200)
ValueRyan McMahon, COL at SF, $3,900 — There is no usable value on this slate at this position and you should be paying up, but if you have to save a bit of cash, McMahon is your Mc-Man. He’s been serviceable in 2019 but has picked things up in the past 40 at-bats with a .333/.378/.429 slash line, four doubles and 11 RBI as the Rockies continue to put up runs on the road. He’s just cheap enough to be considered a value if you are looking for salary at first base.
Other Options — Renato Nunez ($3,900)
StudDJ LeMahieu, NYY vs. TOR, $5,100 — Here’s a sentence I didn’t think I would ever write: LeMahieu is averaging 17 DKFP with a 1.446 OPS over his past 10 games thanks to four home runs, two triples and a double on 20 hits while batting an asinine .488. The Yankees play in a phenomenal home park against a pitcher that can miss bats but has home run issues. LeMahieu seems like an easy choice where you have the money.
Other Options — Ketel Marte ($5,400)
EDITOR’S NOTE: Kinsler is not in the lineup for today’s game.
Other Options — Nicky Lopez ($3,200)
StudRafael Devers, BOS vs. CWS, $5,300 — Devers started out 2019 with some issues in terms of making quality contact and he still is striking out at a radical clip, but his power is surging and when he doesn’t strikeout he’s getting on base. He owns a .462 batting average (.488 OBP) in the past 10 contests and will face a pitcher that throws the ball high in the zone, which is where Devers loves to work. He’s expensive but the price is worth it for one of the hottest hitters in baseball.
Other Options — Nolan Arenado ($4,900), Manny Machado ($5,200)
ValueHanser Alberto, BAL vs. SD, $3,500 — Third base is another position devoid of true value plays, so we have to default to an Orioles bat is we want any form of upside. Hanser is a solid hitter even if he has had less opportunity, and his 7.8 DKFP per contest in the past 10 games is by far the best mark in this price range. He’s got great skills against LHPs, and even though I like Strahm, it’s important to consider Alberto for his unique price and upside combo.
Other Options — Vlad Guerrero Jr. ($3,300)
StudFernando Tatis Jr., SD at BAL, $5,500 — I did strongly consider writing up Xander Bogaerts ($5,100) but prefer the idea of a Padres stack in this position to a Red Sox stack, so we are rolling with Tatis. His .323/.392/.585 slash line in 2019 is unreal, and the fact he has nine home runs as well as nine stolen bases shows he has similar upside and potential to Francisco Lindor ($4,900). With Lindor in a worse park and matchup, this decision is easy. Tatis should be an anchor where you have money.
Other Options — Xander Bogaerts ($5,100)
ValueHumberto Arteaga, KC at CLE, $2,000 — Arteaga is an absolute punt play on a slate that has a lot of expensive bats in good positions. He’s not a good hitter and has to face Trevor Bauer ($10,600), who is one of the better pitchers in the game. The fact of the matter is we just don’t find minimum price hitters very often anymore and with the volatility in baseball we have to take shots when they arise.
Other Options — Brandon Crawford ($2,800)
StudCody Bellinger, LAD at ARI, $5,800 — Bellinger has been kind of cold in relation to his start, with a .303/.425/.697 slash line, which has each category noticeably lacking. That’s kind of a nitpicky thing to do as Bellinger still is averaging 11.7 DKFP per game with 25 home runs and eight stolen bases in 2019. I talked about the Dodgers being in a killer spot against a home run liability, so load up Bellinger with confidence.
Other Options — Charlie Blackmon ($5,700), Mookie Betts ($5,300)
ValueRandal Grichuk, TOR at NYY, $3,600– After a pretty hot start to the season Grichuk has cooled down but then heated back up a couple times, and it seems we are on the hot streak again. He only finished last game with five fantasy points, but he is averaging 8.9 DKFP in the past 42-at bats, and his .524 SLG% over the past 10 games is a much healthier rate than his .416 2019 stat. He likely is going to be way too low owned against a pitcher that is home run prone, and I think he could be a cheap home run.
Other Options — Tyler Naquin ($3,400)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Multichem) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.