San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers

You’re going to have to make a couple uncomfortable decisions on this afternoon’s slate if you want to afford the bats that offer real upside. The best couple pitchers on the slate are all spread kind of thin and we actually have a lot of directions to go for a seven-game slate, so hopefully I can help you find a direction! Let’s get to it.

PITCHER

Stud

Jon Lester, CHC at SF, $9,500– The Cubs’ ace has been great over the past 10 games with just a couple blow-up spots and seven games of 15+ DKFP. He will travel to the most pitcher-friendly park in the league and take on an offense with minimal power. He’s as good as a spend as you will find on this slate and comes at a discount to the other high-floor options available.

Other Options — Justin Verlander ($12,100)

Value

, Tyler Beede, SF vs. CHC, $6,200 — With three games of 20+ DKFP in a row, Beede appears to have figured something out as of late. He’s been using his slider a lot more and it’s led to much better production, and now he will face an inconsistent Cubs squad in the best pitcher’s park in the MLB. His price is justified due to the downside, but his median projections right now offer a lot of value.

Other Options — Vince Velasquez ($6,200)


CATCHER

Stud

Yasmani Grandal, MIL vs. CIN, $4,200 — Grandal was going through a bit of a cold streak but has appeared to have picked things back up in the more recent sample of games. He will face Lucas Sims ($7,700), who has struggled quite a bit in AAA with a 4.56 ERA in 16 starts and should have ample opportunity to get some hits in a great ballpark for offensive production.

Other Options — Carson Kelly ($4,100)

Value

John Hicks, DET vs. PHI, $2,600 — It’s hard to hit the button to roster him, but Hicks offers good value in a solid matchup for upside. Plus, his price helps you fit the more important parts of your stack of choice. He’s got an unimpressive .135/.158/.216 in the past 37 at-bats but does have moderate power, which can be boosted by his matchup. He’s a good GPP target, but you have to avoid in cash games.

Other Options — Martin Maldonado ($2,600)


FIRST BASE

Trey Mancini, BAL at ARI, $4,900– The Orioles have been crushing and it has helped out Mancini’s bottom line, with a great .250/.325/.667 slash line and 10 DKFP per contest in the past 10. He still is striking out a massive amount, but up against one of the most home run prone pitchers on the slate, he has potential for massive upside.

Other Options — Rhys Hoskins ($4,500)

Value

Chris Davis, BAL at ARI, $3,200– And if you didn’t want to use Mancini, you could use the cheaper first basemen for the Orioles and take Davis! He hasn’t been near as good but still is improving his average across the board and the matchup is the same, so his upside at just $3,200 is terrific and he can be considered in all formats.

Other Options — Jesus Aguilar ($3,600)


SECOND BASE

Stud

Keston Hiura, MIL vs. CIN, $5,300 — It won’t last, but Hiura has been lighting the league on fire since being called up a second time. He’s sporting a .459/.500/.811 slash with a 1.311 OPS in the past 10 games and gets another good matchup against an underwhelming arm in a good park. With how hot his bat has been and his phenomenal floor, he’s a spot to build around on this slate.

Other Options — Danny Santana ($5,000)

Value

Harold Castro, DET vs. PHI, $3,600– Castro has been hitting well all year and gets a great spot in GPPs against Vince Velasquez ($6,200), who has good strikeout stuff but also suffers from home runs quite often. Castro doesn’t have a lot of power reserves, but he’s good at getting on base and should come in handy on the basepaths regardless of his power quantities.

Other Options — Scooter Gennett ($3,500)


THIRD BASE

Stud

Eugenio Suarez, CIN at MIL, $5,100 — Suarez has been one of the hottest hitters in all of baseball in July, hitting with a 1.340 OPS and a 13.7 DKFP average in the past 10 contests. He has as many games over 30 fantasy points as he does under five and gets to face a pitcher that always has problems with home runs in a park that boosts home run percentages. He’s an anchor in a stack or a solid one-off.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Suarez is not in today’s starting lineup.

Other Options — Eduardo Escobar ($5,200), Alex Bregman ($4,900)

Value

Zach Green, SF vs. CHC, $2,400 — The Giants have been on a collective tear ever since facing off with the Orioles (big surprise), and Green is one of their intriguing power prospects who recently got called up. He’s got two hits (one double) in the past couple games and had a 1.099 OPS in AAA, so the power should transfer well. The matchup is tough, but the price mitigates the downside.

Other Options — Asdrubal Cabrera ($3,500)


SHORT STOP

Stud

Trevor Story, COL at WAS, $4,700 — Although the Rockies have had plenty of issues with offense, it hasn’t been because of Story, who has continued to hit for a great average while maintaining power levels and even increasing his SLG%. The matchup for the Rockies is actually pretty good with the pitcher being a contact-oriented fringe starter, and Story should be able to take full advantage. His 10.5 DKFP per game make him a great GPP option at presumed low ownership.

Other Options — Trea Turner ($4,600)

Value

Tim Beckham, SEA vs. TEX, $3,500 — Beckham has a hit in all but one of his past 10 games and has eclipsed 10 DKFP in three of his past four. The RHB will have to deal with Mike Minor ($8,700), who started the season well but has fallen back to earth lately and is extremely vulnerable at the moment. It’s a bummer this game is in Seattle rather than Arlington, but Beckham still represents a good value with upside.

Other Options —Nick Ahmed ($3,800)


OUTFIELD

Stud

Christian Yelich, MIL vs. CIN, $5,700 — The reigning MVP has not slowed down one bit since the All-Star break, with a gaudy 14.9 DKFP per game and a 1.182 OPS (slightly above his 2019 average) while hitting four home runs and scoring 10 runs of his own over the recent sample. His price is prohibitive, but you couldn’t find a better spend on a hitter on this slate as Yelich goes up against a bad AAA replacement arm in his home park.

Other Options — Ketel Marte ($5,200), George Springer ($5,400)

Value

Dylan Moore, SEA vs. TEX, $3,000 — You have to find salary to fit the upside players somewhere, and I think Moore can fit that bill. He’s not a power bat by any means and his contact can suffer, but for the price he has a decent spot against an ailing pitcher. Minor is much worse against RHBs, so Moore will have the platoon advantage, which gives him a good chance to pay off with 5-10 DKFP.

Other Options —Albert Almora Jr. ($3,000)


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Multichem) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.