One expensive pitcher and a whole bevy of expensive bats makes this afternoon’s eight-game slate one of the more interesting slates we have played in a while. The Indians will get to make up the game they had postponed last night and represent one of the best all around spots on the slate, and the Tigers make a lot of sense as a secondary spot to stack. Let’s get to it.
StudGerrit Cole, HOU vs. COL, $11,900– Cole is, by far, the most expensive pitcher on this slate, and that’s exactly how it should be considering the skill gap between him and the rest. He’s averaging 28 DKFP at home this season and will face a Rockies squad that is a bottom-10 team by wRC+ when playing on the road. He will be well worth the cash if you can afford him as your SP1.
Other Options — Brendan McKay ($8,500)
ValueHomer Bailey, OAK at CHC, $6,300– Bailey has been entirely average this year and has provided decent value for those that have dealt with the ups and downs. He’s a solid cheap option priced well below average and will be facing a Cubs group that has been struggling lately. The only truly bad game Bailey has had lately was against the Astros, and I’m willing to take him in this spot and hope for 15 DKFP out of my SP2.
Other Options — Tyler Alexander ($5,900)
StudStephen Vogt, SF vs. WAS, $4,300– It’s pretty impressive what Vogt has been up to this year with career bests across the board, and he’s been on fire recently with a .417/.462/.667 slash line that is somehow only averaging him 5.3 DKFP per game. It’s hard to expect upside in this park, but with how strong Vogt has been at the plate, he represents plenty of upside if you pay up at catcher.
Other Options — Mitch Garver ($5,500)
ValueMike Zunino, TB vs. TOR, $2,700– It’s apparent Zunino has fallen entirely out of favor, but this is a guy who has shown great plate skills in the majors in recent years and he can heat up at any time. He had a home run a couple games ago and just four strikeouts in his past five games, so I think it’s time to start taking shots at him at a discount. Especially in this matchup, he is a great value.
Other Options — Jeff Mathis ($2,000)
FIRST BASEDanny Santana, TEX at CLE, $4,900– You know, at some point Santana is going to stop being entirely too lucky on his batted ball results, but I don’t think today will be that day. Zach Plesac ($7,700) is an extremely event prone pitcher and Santana is averaging 14.2 DKFP per game over the past 10, so I have no issue riding him to victory and worrying about the regression soon to come later on.
Other Options — Travis d’Arnaud ($4,800)
ValueJohn Hicks, DET vs. CWS, $2,800– The Tigers are oddly enough starting to heat up a bit as a unit after trading away their best player, and Hicks is averaging 7.00 DKFP and hitting .278/.333/.472 over the past 10-game stretch. He’s added a couple home runs as well and looks poised to finish the year on a strong note. The Tigers face Ivan Nova ($7,200), who is one of the worst pitchers in baseball, so I like the chances at a hit or two for Hicks.
Other Options — Tyler White ($2,700)
StudOzzie Albies, ATL at MIN, $4,600– Coming away from a massive 32-DKFP outing against the Twins, Albies is on another level of play right now from what we saw in the beginning of the year. He’s got no home runs but does have four doubles and three triples as well as three stolen bases in the recent sample, and he gets another exploitable matchup today. Hopefully he continues today and pays off a quickly rising salary.
Other Options — Eric Sogard ($4,700)
ValueHarold Castro, DET vs. CWS, $3,300– The price hasn’t risen at all on Castro but he has been one of the sneaky-good hitters for the Tigers and he deserves consideration here. He’s batting .288 with 5.7 DKFP per game and will get to face one of the most home run prone pitchers in the league. Castro is a phenomenal value on a slate with a lot to spend up for.
Other Options — Jurickson Profar ($3,500)
StudAnthony Rendon, WAS at SF, $5,200– Rendon was in a mini slump for a bit but has busted out of it nicely and is hitting .333 with a .922 OPS. His 12 hits in the past 10 contests haven’t been for much power, but he’s getting on base a lot and the Nationals will have plenty of chances to drive him in against a pitcher that doesn’t look like he should be in the majors.
Other Options — Alex Bregman ($4,900)
ValueRyan Goins, CWS at DET, $3,300– I wrote about Goins a couple days ago, but until he either stops being awesome or DraftKings adjusts the algorithm to make him more expensive, I have no plans to stop. He’s hitting a ridiculous .333/.440/.540 on the season and draws a matchup with a pitcher that doesn’t make batters miss nearly at all. He’s a great GPP target.
Other Options — Matt Duffy ($3,500)
StudFrancisco Lindor, CLE vs. TEX, $5,000– After getting rained out yesterday, it’s time to jump right back on the Indians as one of the best stacks of the day. Going up against Ariel Jurado ($4,400) the Indians have a terrific spot for upside with him being one of the highest home run rates in the league, and Lindor will be hitting at the top of the order.
Other Options — Carlos Correa ($4,900)
ValueJordy Mercer, DET vs. CWS, $2,600– It’s unfortunate Mercer had such a bad start to the season that resulted in injury, because he’s been killing it in the past 10 games and has a .324/.342/.514 slash line, which is way more valuable than his price. He’s hit two of his five home runs in the past 10 games and has a great chance to hit another one.
StudCody Bellinger, LAD vs. STL, $5,400– For a while it seemed Bellinger was a human being, but he’s got three home runs in his past eight hits and looks to be heating back up to god-of-the-sun status. He’s going to be facing off with Jack Flaherty ($9,400), who is a solid pitcher but has shown struggles with LHBs in his career, so he might end up serving up a nice home run sandwich to Bellinger during this game.
Other Options — Nelson Cruz ($5,700), Yordan Alvarez ($5,500)
ValueTyler Naquin, CLE vs. TEX, $3,400– With Jordan Luplow landing on the IL with a hamstring, Naquin should see some extra time instead of the regular platoon, which is good because he has been making great contact. He doesn’t have any home runs in the past 10 games, but he absolutely mashes RHPs and is facing one of the weakest ones on the slate. He fits great as a one-off or as part of the Indians stack I mentioned earlier.
Other Options — Tyler Demeritte ($3,400)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Multichem) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.