New York Mets v Minnesota Twins

There are going to be some obvious pieces of chalk on this afternoon’s four-game slate. There are a lot of ups and downs but also spots to exploits, so let’s just get our hands in.

PITCHER

Stud

Michael Pineda, MIN at MIA, $9,300– Pineda has been coming into form in the second half of the year and has four quality starts in his past five games as well as hitting the seven-inning mark for just his second time all year. He has the best possible spot in baseball against the Marlins in Miami and is well worth the price.

Other Options — Zack Wheeler ($10,400)

Value

Jake Arrieta, PHI vs. SF, ($6,700) — It’s been a hard fall from grace for Arrieta, but he still is going to be usable in certain spots throughout the rest of the year. This is a position he can win as he faces a Giants team that lacks power and has been lucky to win games recently. With less than four strikeouts in just one of his past five games, I like his ceiling relative to his price.

Other Options — Chase Anderson ($7,500)


CATCHER

Stud

Mitch Garver, MIN at MIA, $5,300 — Garver had gone into the All-Star break with a top-five OPS in the league and has slowed down a bit since but is coming off another fantastic game with a home run, bringing his season-long mark to 20. The 9.3 DKFP per game is the best at the position, and his power should be on full display in this matchup.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Garver is not in today’s starting lineup.

Other Options — J.T. Realmuto ($4,500)

Value

Chris Herrmann, OAK vs. MIL, $3,300 — There have been some struggles to work through with Herrmann, but one of the things we need to consider is just how bad the value plays are for catcher on this slate. When you really look through them, Herrmann is about the cheapest at this position that still has a chance to hit a home run, and that makes him the most valuable around his salary. It’s not pretty, but he’s the best option down low.

Other Options — Bryan Holaday ($3,000)


FIRST BASE

Pete Alonso, NYM at CWS, $5,000 — When you look at batting average alone, Alonso has been in a deep slump in the past 10 games, but the fact his OBP is a healthy .405 you see his floor actually has been better over that stretch. The home runs have sowed down, but he’s still one of the highest upside players in any matchup and he gets one he should win today.

Other Options — Matt Olson ($4,600)

Value

Martin Prado, MIA vs. MIN $2,700 — There are absolutely no lower-tier options that are worth considering at first base, so I’ll default to Prado. He’s averaging only 3.8 fantasy points in 2019 and lacks power, but if you are absolutely desperate for savings at this position and won’t pay up, Prado exists and might get you 5-10!

Other Options — Eric Thames ($4,200)


SECOND BASE

Stud

Jeff McNeil, NYM at CWS, $4,700 — One of the best hitters in baseball this year, McNeil is hitting .336/.396/.513 and gets to face a pitcher that has a lot of potential but has exhibited walk rate issues, which should help with the floor. Coming off of a 19-DKFP game, you can count on McNeil to make solid contact and give you a great chance at 10 DKFP.

Other Options — Keston Hiura ($5,200)

Value

Scooter Gennett, SF at PHI, $3,300 — The recently traded Gennett will make his first start with the Giants, and he gets to go up against Arrieta, who is a solid play but has just as much chance of getting crushed here as he does succeeding. Gennett has been a bit underwhelming but we know he has big upside from the home runs last year, so he’s worth a shot at this price.

Other Options — Jurickson Profar ($3,500)


THIRD BASE

Stud

Scott Kingery, PHI vs. SF, $4,600 — Kingery is making sure people don’t forget how high of a prospect he was last year with an all-around solid 2019 campaign. He’s going up against a bad starting pitcher and bullpen combo in the Phillies’ offensively minded home park and is one of the few players in his price range on this slate that can hit a home run as well as steal some bases.

Other Options — Miguel Sano ($5,000)

Value

Marwin Gonzalez, MIN at MIA, $3,500 — It’s never comfortable playing Gonzalez because his batting average is pretty consistently underwhelming. However, up against a Marlins pitching staff that can bleed upside, the price on Marwin is too good to pass up. His 6.6 DKFP per game in 2019 is serviceable and leaves plenty of room for upside.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Gonzalez is not in today’s starting lineup.

Other Options — Maikel Franco ($3,700)


SHORT STOP

Stud

Jean Segura, PHI vs. SF, $4,400 — It’s honestly pretty impressive Segura is hitting .438 in this recent stretch and still only averaging 6.7 DKFP. He’s making fantastic contact right now and has a matchup that should exploit his power stroke and his speed as well. His price isn’t quite high enough and you get a good bargain for someone with his skillset.

Other Options — Amed Rosario ($4,200)

Value

Brandon Crawford, SF at PHI, $3,500 — There were a few games in Coors and Milwaukee that Crawford was unstoppable, but it was pretty obviously he would regress to the mean sooner rather than later. That’s OK, because his price has come back down as well and we are at the point where his upside is not longer baked into the salary. The matchup is great for LHB power and I like Crawford to find some upside here.

Other Options — Miguel Rojas ($3,600)


OUTFIELD

Stud

Christian Yelich, MIL at OAK, $5,800 — In case you were wondering what a cold streak would look like for Yelich, it would mean he is hitting .366 and maintaining a .585 SLG, and both of those numbers are still hilariously strong. There’s no reason Yelich can’t just own this matchup, so lock him in with confidence.

Other Options — Corey Dickerson ($5,100)

Value

Nick Martini, OAK vs. MIL, $3,300 — After getting called up to take over for Ramon Laureano, Martini wasn’t able to get anything going in his first game. That’s OK, because the main reason we are using him is because the Athletics are a fantastic batting order to be a part of and he’s basically free out in the outfield. There’s plenty of reason to take him in your lineups, and if he gets a cheap homer, I’ll be impressed.

Other Options — Jake Cave ($3,200)


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Multichem) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.